#1 is impossible nowadays, Ian. To have this previous generations systems all at their debut costs, amounts to roughly $797. Now, that is a $1250 dollar investment before tax. I may be a game enthusiast, but I am not made of money. And I sort of resent the idea that simply having more money makes somebody "hardcore." If Paris Hilton bought a PS3, an Xbox 360, and a Wii, would she be a hardcore gamer?
Sony may have made several mistakes, but their assault on the middle-class and poor gamers is definitely going to be their biggest. IIRc, 70% of the PS2 userbase got theirs after the first price drop. And that was a price drop from $300 to $250. Try doubling those amounts and see if there is an actual "price drop" in the mind of the average consumer. Even worse is if you are a Sony fan and want to support the PS3 and PSP. That's a pretty tall order, considering that it's not even confirmed that PS3 games won't be more than $60.
It is a shame that both Microsoft and Sony have made me a Nintendo fanboy by default. I normally did strive to get all the systems and have the most eclectic selection of games. Now, however, I can't even afford an Xbox 360, so a PS3 is certainly out of the question, so much so that I hate it whenever a game is announced for it. I mean really, the game may as well just not exist, even if it is the next installment of a series I like or just something interested.
But seriously, the price is the biggest screwup ever. They basically are throwing away the Walmart crowd, which is one of their strongest supporters, to grab technical enthusiasts who are dwarfed in comparison. And considering tha launch shortages admitted to by Sony and the ebay madness which will surely accompany it, it might be 2 years before the PS3 is available enough and affordable enough for your average consumer. And the average consumer is, like Ian said, Sony's biggest user bloc.
And you know, it's funny. I heard this "System and games aren't hardcore" schtick two years ago about the DS, citing that the PSP will obviously steamroll it. I'm not sure how that worked out for the PSP, what with having all of those hardcore gamers mulling about it, but I am leaning towards blinding success, especially in Japan, which is hardcore gamer central.