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Originally posted by: BlackNMild2k1
Remember what the analyst says; PS3 will take off in 2009 and reclaim the lead by 2010.
If the analyst says it will happen.... it.will.happen.
Analysts are full of crap. They get paid to draw conclusions and talk rubbish and theorize on the future. WHAT IF A BUTTERFLY FLAPS ITS WINGS IN SOUTH AMERICA? BET YOU DIDN'T ANALYZE THE BUTTERFLIES SONY!
Just because Blu-Ray is out there, doesn't mean its going to take off anytime soon. Hell, there's already plans for a HD-BR-DVD hybrid disc so that both systems can play the movie. I don't see either making inroads on DVD while HDTV uptake is slow and TV broadcasts are still mostly in analog.
Sure, its probably different in the States or Japan, but in Australia they've pushed back the cutoff date for analog broadcasts to 2009, and there's been talk of digital TV here since 2002 (i think, well that's the first I've heard). Again, we're not a huge market, but the lack of interest in cutting edge video and audio technology will hurt the PS3 from the moment it launches here. But if we're not going to make use of the features, then what's the point? Most people can't tell the difference between standard digital TV and HDTV anyway (unless your TV is over 50 inches wide you're just wasting money on expensive players and media).
Also, I laughed at how much time they hyped up the PS3 as being "the centre of your home entertainment system" on some breakfast TV show today. They also demonstrated how to make a photo slideshow with it. Yeah, great use of the Cell processors. Pity no-one's interested in that price tag. Or the games.
I wonder how long Sony will hold onto that price tag before they realise that shipped != sales. Even Harvey Norman is promoting it to death, and I reckon the launch will be a huge failure. Stay tuned folks!