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Originally posted by: Mario
I want to vote Stabby cause he looks suspicious, and he started the Unclebob bandwagon without a care in the world, but I think that every game and he always turns out innocent.
Remember, Stabby does suspicious things every game--thus far it's always just been that he doesn't care. (Anyone remember the first game where he used to walk around the thread with a shotgun?) Also, I better take this opportunity to stress that I'm not defending Stabby--I have no idea if he's mafia or not. So don't think we're in cahoots.
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Originally posted by: [CrAsH]SlAyA
well, if anyone could tell me how to vote better on day 1 please let me know, but from what i can tell its all random.
For the first couple of days it pretty much is random. (This is why I typically don't vote for the first couple days.) You don't have much to go by, so you're left reading too far into people's posts and guessing at random.
After a couple days have passed, it gets easier to spot who's mafia. If you notice patterns of people voting the same way then either (a) they're townies who had a MSN conversation and decided there who they thought was mafia or (b) they're mafia and are trying to vote out a townie (or a member of the other mafia). It's even easier once a member of one of the mobs is dead. Unfortunately for us, Garnee died before he voted, so his death isn't really helpful to us in finding out who else is siding with him. However, if he had voted a couple times before he died, you could look back and see who voted with him. It's not a perfect system, but it will generally at least give you a vague idea of who has a better chance of being mafia than someone else.
Depending on how much time you're willing to put into the game, you might benefit from going through old mafia threads and comparing how people post from one game to the next. If in Mafia II someone was a townie and posted a lot and in Mafia III they were mafia and didn't post very much, it could give you insight to their role this game based on their current posting habits. Obviously, this method isn't fool-proof because it could just be that the person was busy with outside activities during the second game or just wasn't as interested that time around.
When in doubt, take cues from the more experienced players (BlackNMild, Dasmos, IceCold, KnowsNothing, MysticGohan, Pale, ShyGuy, Stabby, SUPER, TVMan, TYP), keeping in mind that at least some of them are going to be mafia.
EDIT:
Hey Pryo, question: If the Emissary investigates a mafia leader, does he come up as a regular townie like in previous games or does he appear as mafia?