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Originally posted by: JonLeung
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Originally posted by: Spak-Spang
This generation of gaming is already Microsoft's in America. PERIOD. Now, Nintendo has a chance to get second here and take Japan by storm.
Maybe this year. But unless Microsoft ends their next(-soon-to-be-current)-gen system early again for the Xbox 720 or whatever, I think Nintendo has a chance to be catch up or even be first before the end. If it is second, it will be a close second. All those non-gamers, you know. Yeah. THOSE people. They'll want a Wii before an Xbox 360 or PS3.
I believe the Xbox 360 will have a lifespan of about 4-5 years again. I think that the Wii's lifespan will be around 3-4 years. With those years being much, much stronger than Gamecube's life. I think Nintendo will support Wii until other systems come out, but I expect to see dramatic drops in Wii sales mid 3rd year to early 4th year of the system's life.
I don't think Wii will catch up with Xbox 360 among the US gaming fan market. However, I think it will own Japan. Europe I don't have any predictions for.
As for Sony PS3, I think it will do good, and later in its lifespan it will actually do GREAT. Once Sony can get its price down I think the system will take off, and as such the system will have a strong life of 5-6 years perhaps even 6-7 years. By that time though Microsoft will be prepping its new system again, and Nintendo will be readying its next system as well.
I predict Nintendo to aggressively seek to launch the Wii's successor the same year as Microsoft's Xbox 360 successor.