This makes me think the Switch 2 won't release until the Fall.
Yeah, the guess of a possible June / July release for Switch now feels too soon if they want to talk about a few more Switch 1 games. Of course, with Switch 2 being backwards compatible, perhaps Nintendo is ok with a few old ports releasing later in the summer and fall for those that can't get a new system right away as something to tide them over while Switch 2 grows its userbase. It's the Just Dance dilemma. Do you keep releasing software on an older system even when its replacement is out? That old system has a big userbase and if it is still purchasing games then wouldn't it be smart to keep supporting it until sales show its better to stop and move on.
This is Nintendo's PS4/PS5 test. Look at how developers keep releasing PS4 version games along with PS5 versions because that userbase keeps buying games for the system and has been slow to upgrade to PS5s. As a result, the PS5 has had a hard time with gaining an identity this gen and it has resulted in first party games getting ported to other systems to generate more sales since the PS5 userbase alone isn't enough anymore due to the cost. Nintendo should be looking to avoid that and make sure Switch 1 isn't hurting Switch 2's growth potential.
Nintendo tried keeping the 3DS going for a year after the Switch released. This may be that same strategy of giving the Switch a few more titles to give it a gentle ride into the sunset instead of immediately turning off the tap of software releases for the system like Wii U. However, if Nintendo is still making software for Switch 1 next year then I will be surprised and feel like that means Switch 2's growth hasn't been as strong as hoped.
All the big announcements are going to be held for the real Direct in a few months when Switch 2 can finally be discussed.
Months or next week on Apr. 2? I suppose it depends on the Switch 2 release date. If it is summer then there should be a lot of software and launch titles releases talked about. If later in fall time then they may hold back on software releases for a Direct during the ghost of E3 in summertime.