I trust the general opinion of gamers on sites like this more than I do these "analyists" who probably don't even play video games themselves, or understand what the hell they're talking about. Its obvious this guy was basing his prediction on the outcomes of the 6th generation of consoles.
This article came out only a few months before the Wii launched, but that should have been enough time for any intelligent person to sense all the hype and excitement that the Wii was generating ever since E3. Only an idiot could think the Wii was going to do even worse than the Gamecube did.
The GC sold, what, 22 million LTD? Yet this moron predicted the Wii would only sell half that number. 11 million???! WTF?