Is there much interest in TS4 beyond the next Pixar film? Seems like most diehard fans of the series are lukewarm, at best, on it.
I don't see TS4 or Frozen 2 breaking $2B. Star Wars is also quite unlikely to repeat the success of TFA. All depends on word of mouth early on. Skywalker can do almost anything.
But, considering Disney is at about $4B now and has six big releases left, if they can average $1B each, they can hit it.
SW should. The only one of Disney's that hasn't is Solo - and it isn't surprising.
Beauty and the Beast hit $1B - and Lion King/Aladdin are from that same era and will hit a lot of those same nostalgic notes, whereas Dumbo did not.
TS3 and Frozen 1 both hit $1B... but I really haven't seen much excitement for either. I'm not sure Frozen 1 is old enough to have gone from "kid stuff" to nostalgia for the intended audience. But, if anyone can push those buttons, it's Disney.
Maleficent? Did anyone really want a sequel to this?
I'm kinda wondering how X-Men will end up. No way it'll break $1B... and Disney seems to be downplaying the marketing for it. My gut feeling is if it were just terribad, they would have yanked it from the schedule the moment the ink was dry on the FOX deal to not risk damaging the Marvel brand. I suspect it will be an *okay* send off to the FOX-Men that will please fans of the series, but not much else.
It's a long shot, but Disney's action blockbuster side of things looks really light between X-Men and Star Wars. Come on, Disney, give us a six hour Infinity War/Endgame double feature with bonus scenes (including Ant Man and the Wasp, Ragnaok, GotG2, and Captain Marvel end credit scenes tastefully spliced in) and push that needle higher.