Author Topic: Yes, Virginia, there are more incompetence "Analysts" than Pachter...  (Read 8456 times)

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Offline UncleBob

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Based on the most current sales figures, if the Wii stopped selling today (lolyahrite), how many units PS3 units would Sony have to sell per year in order to have 44% of the market and how many 360 units would Microsoft have to sell in order to have 40% of the market by the year 2011?<BR><BR>Why is this in das Funhaus?  We have a banner of it... <img src="i/expressions/face-icon-small-wink.gif" border="0">

« Last Edit: February 28, 2012, 01:28:36 PM by UncleBob »
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Offline UncleBob

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RE: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #1 on: November 22, 2007, 07:52:41 AM »
Okay, using made up sales numbers provided by vgchartz.com, here's the solution:


All amounts shown are Millions of Units.

One out of three ain't bad, right?
Fixed...  
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Offline UncleBob

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #2 on: May 16, 2008, 09:21:33 PM »
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Offline ShyGuy

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #3 on: May 16, 2008, 09:43:59 PM »
Nerd.....

Offline nickmitch

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #4 on: May 16, 2008, 10:50:09 PM »
The thread title is misleading. :(
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Offline NinGurl69 *huggles

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #5 on: May 17, 2008, 01:26:10 AM »
there's nothing to play
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Offline UncleBob

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #6 on: May 17, 2008, 05:07:54 AM »
You could double check my math...
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Offline NinGurl69 *huggles

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #7 on: May 17, 2008, 06:56:38 AM »
you forgot sample calcs
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Offline UncleBob

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #8 on: May 16, 2009, 01:17:23 AM »
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Offline UncleBob

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #9 on: May 16, 2009, 01:21:35 AM »
Now, I know this is using made up VGChartz.com numbers and all... but I bet the PS3 really could sell an average of 43.6 Million units per year between now and 12/31/2011.  That's only about five time it's current average.  After all, the PS3 has been picking up steam these last couple of months.
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Offline Invincible Donkey Kong

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #10 on: May 16, 2009, 01:38:33 AM »
UncleBob, you're a great customer AND a Master of Comedy. :reggie:
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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #11 on: May 16, 2009, 01:43:23 AM »
That's only twice it's current lifetime sales per year for 3 years, that's certainly possible.
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Offline UncleBob

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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #12 on: May 16, 2009, 01:45:07 AM »
UncleBob, you're a great customer AND a Master of Comedy. :reggie:
I dunno Reg...  Wii sales have been hurtin' lately and with that PS3 Slim, you might be in for some trouble.
That's only twice it's current lifetime sales per year for 3 years, that's certainly possible.
And that's if the Wii stopped selling right *now*. ;)
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Re: Play with some math for me...
« Reply #13 on: May 16, 2009, 03:43:47 AM »
The Wii isn't going to stop selling until Michael Pachter has confidence in its long term sales, that's when we should worry.
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Offline UncleBob

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Again, using made up VGChartz numbers...



All sales figures are in millions.
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Offline BlackNMild2k1

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Again, using made up VGChartz numbers...



All sales figures are in millions.

Wow. are they serious?after 5 years on the market. Kinect is gonna push Xbox 360 to more than quadruple it's current sales in the market?
and Move is gonna push PS3 to quintuple it's current sales after the 4 years it's already been on the market?

they really need to start packaging up whatever they are smoking over there and start selling it to the general public.

hasn't the Wii already sold over 75million units?

Offline UncleBob

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I dunno.  Like I said, just because I'm lazy, I use the numbers VGChartz provides.
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Offline Mop it up

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The percentage went down ever so slightly since last time. I guess this means the Wii isn't going to sell more than PS3 and XBox 360 combined. Wii is a failure, Nintendo is doomed!

Also, early impressions of Move indicate it does not work very well. If that is indeed the case, it isn't going to sell much better than the item you described in the new topic title...

Offline UncleBob

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Again, assuming my math is correct and VGChatz's sales figures are somewhere in the ball park, the the spirit of a late April Fool's Day, I present to you:


Sony's got 200+ days to do it.  It's not too late.  If I was the idiot genius that made this prediction, I'd totally go out and buy a ****-ton of PS3s just to prove myself right.
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Offline UncleBob

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Re: Yes, Virginia, there are more incompetence "Analysts" than Pachter...
« Reply #19 on: February 28, 2012, 01:37:32 PM »
Okay - a few notes.  Again, made up numbers from VCChartz are used.  I know they're not perfect, but they're good enough for this.

Since banners are long gone, here's a bit about the original "story".
http://www.joystiq.com/2006/08/16/ps3-to-lead-in-market-share-by-44-in-2011-says-yankee-group/

Pachter is still a douchemastersupreme.

And now...



I don't know exactly how this works, but apparently Sony only needs to sell a negative 300,000 units per year to meet the goal of a 44% market share by the end of 2011.
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Offline King of Twitch

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Re: Yes, Virginia, there are more incompetence "Analysts" than Pachter...
« Reply #20 on: February 28, 2012, 04:40:35 PM »
It sounds like the console wars are basically settled by the second Christmas season, no?
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