Author Topic: Predict the Daily Update Thread.  (Read 303507 times)

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Offline anubis6789

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #675 on: October 18, 2007, 06:30:58 PM »
Friday October 19 Prediction:

I predict Sheik's reveal  
"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." - Francis Bacon

Offline GoldenPhoenix

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #676 on: October 18, 2007, 06:32:28 PM »
Quote

Originally posted by: anubis6789
Friday October 19 Prediction:

I predict Sheik's reveal



You will be wrong, my prediction will be right. Yours is just silly!
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Offline NWR_pap64

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #677 on: October 18, 2007, 06:33:57 PM »
Prediction: Character update. Melee veteran
Specific: Captain Falcon
Super Specific: He will be punching Fox, Bowser and/or Wario

Second prediction:
Prediction: Character update New challenger
Specific: Megaman
Super Specific: Classic Megaman will be used

There will be a trailer along with this update.
Pedro Hernandez
NWR Staff Writer

Offline anubis6789

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #678 on: October 18, 2007, 06:37:14 PM »
Quote

Originally posted by: GoldenPhoenix
Quote

Originally posted by: anubis6789
Friday October 19 Prediction:

I predict Sheik's reveal



You will be wrong, my prediction will be right. Yours is just silly!


"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." - Francis Bacon

Offline Khushrenada

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #679 on: October 18, 2007, 07:02:23 PM »
Well, I've gone back through the past couple weeks and here is a quick backlog of all points awarded with brief explainations starting with Mon. Oct. 8:

Mon:
No points awarded

Tue:
2 - Spak-Spang - music (general)
2 - Khushrenada - music (general)

Wed:
2 - Spak-Spang - character reveal
2 - Luigi Dude - character reveal
2 - capamerica - character reveal
6 - Sessha - general and specific guess correct on Sonic prediction
6 - stevey - general and specific prediction correct on 3rd party reveal (Though this is pretty close to hedging one's bets as it is not specific in naming one character)
6 - Bill - correctly predicting Sonic's profile reveal
6 - Mashiro - general and specific guess correct on Sonic prediction
12 - Khushrenada - general, specific and superspecific all correct on Sonic reveal

Thu:
12 - NinjaWang - general, specific and superspecific all correct on Sonic moves

Fri:
2 - NinjaWang - general prediction of game modes (Yes, he put a slash saying how to play also in the general prediction but when you read his prediction, his specific and superspecific are on the classic game mode. So, I gave him the benefit of the doubt since he's new and didn't divide points here.)
2 - Spak-Spang - correct general guess on game modes
14 - stevey - general, specific, and superspecific all correct on release date prediction, general guess correct on game modes
9 - sonuis - general and specific guesses correct on notice, however, unsure if "new release date" was part of the specific guess or supposed to be superspecific. Mentions a bonus which could mean superspecific. In this case, I will count both as Superspecific and split the difference. Out of 6 points, 3 are awarded for superspecific.

Mon:
2 - PartyBear - correct general prediction of stage update
2 - Luigi Dude - correct general prediction of stage update
2 - NinjaWang - correct general prediction of stage update
2 - Khushrenada - correct general prediction of stage update

Tue:
None

Wed:
3 - PartyBear - correct general guess on how to play, 1 point for taunting prediction. Although the how to play wasn't on taunting, it still mentioned it and showed a button for it.
4 - NinjaWang - correct general guess on items, 2 points for assist trophy prediction but did not get the other two points because wrong character was chosen. 2 out of 4 points on the specific guess
2 - stevey - correct general guess on items
4 - Khushrenada - correct general guess on items, 2 points for assist trophy prediction but did not get the other two points because wrong character was chosen. 2 out of 4 points on the specific guess

Thu:
2 - Wandering - predicting assist trophy but did not give a general guess of items to gain an additional two points

The leaderboard last posted before the Mon. Oct. 8 predictions looked like this:

Khushrenda - 20
Spak-Spang - 16
Mashiro - 14
Sessha - 14
Stevey - 13
UERD - 11
PartyBear - 10
Luigi Dude - 8
Bill Aurion - 6
LuigiHann - 6
Louieturkey - 6
Pap64 - 6
Anubis6789 - 4
Golden Phoenix - 4
Rachtman - 4
Smash_Brother - 4
TVMan - 4
Nuclearspeed - 2

With the points of the past two weeks added in, the leaderboard before the Fri. Oct. 19 predictions is this:

Khushrenda - 40
Stevey - 35
Spak-Spang - 22
Mashiro - 20
NinjaWang - 20
Sessha - 20
PartyBear - 15
Bill Aurion - 12
Luigi Dude - 12
UERD - 11
Sonuis - 9
Louieturkey - 6
Luigihann - 6
Pap64 - 6
Anubis6789 - 4
Golden Phoenix - 4
Rachtman - 4
Smash_Brother - 4
TVMan - 4
Capamerica - 2
Nuclearspeed - 2
Wandering - 2

If you notice any error in my math on your points between the old leaderboard and the new leaderboard, just mention it in the thread. But, the game is back on track now.
Whoever said, "Cheaters never win" must've never met Khushrenada.

Offline Khushrenada

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #680 on: October 18, 2007, 07:04:32 PM »
Prediction for Oct. 19, 2007:

(General) Character Profile
(Specific) Captain Falcon
(Superspecific) Falcon is fighting Sonic in one of the pictures.

Don't stop, believin'. Hold on to that feelin'.
Whoever said, "Cheaters never win" must've never met Khushrenada.

Offline GoldenPhoenix

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #681 on: October 18, 2007, 07:13:58 PM »
Wow I actually have 4 points? didn't even know I had 1!
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Offline UltimatePartyBear

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #682 on: October 19, 2007, 04:52:19 AM »
Last time I didn't think there'd be a character announced on a Monday after I expected one on Friday, I got burned.

October 22 - Characters - Captain Falcon - Screens will be taken on the Halberd stage.

Second update - Music - F-Zero Big Blue - by Toshiyuki Sudo.

Offline Luigi Dude

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #683 on: October 21, 2007, 09:19:10 AM »
CHARACTER PROFILE: CAPTAIN FALCON!!!!!

IT'S FALCON TIME!!!
I’m gonna have you play every inch of this game! - Masahiro Sakurai

Offline NinjaWang

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #684 on: October 21, 2007, 09:27:15 AM »
General : Character
Specific: C. Falcon
Super: Fighting Fox or Snake in the pictures

2nd Update:
General : Stage
Specific: F-Zero Stage
Super: Remake of Big Blue
My mother hung me on a hook once, ONCE!

Offline anubis6789

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #685 on: October 21, 2007, 09:49:59 AM »
Monday October 22 Prediction:

I predict Sheik's reveal and special move update along with a Zelda special move update
"Imagination was given to man to compensate him for what he is not; a sense of humor to console him for what he is." - Francis Bacon

Offline stevey

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #686 on: October 21, 2007, 12:41:29 PM »
New character: megaton: Malon/3rd

2nd Story update: movie!
My Demands and Declarations:
nVidia is CRAP!!!
BOYCOTT Digest mode and LEGEND OF OO!

Your PM box will be spammed with Girl Link porn! NO EXCEPTION!
Wii want WaveBirds

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Offline Tanookisuit

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #687 on: October 21, 2007, 02:02:51 PM »
Can I get points by predicting there will never be an update for Malon?  

I'll jump on the C Falcon character update for Monday.

Offline nickmitch

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #688 on: October 21, 2007, 02:31:29 PM »
Ganondorf for tomorrow. He'll have a sword now.
TVman is dead. I killed him and took his posts.

Offline Khushrenada

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #689 on: October 21, 2007, 06:12:48 PM »
OK. Since it's been awhile since the rules have been posted, I just thought now would be a good time to re-post them. This may also help Spak out in knowing how points are awarded since he was unsure sometimes while I was away. So, this is how I distribute points:

You get two points for a general guess. I.e. what section will be updated. Those general sections are:

Character Profile
Character Move/Action
How to Play
Game Modes
Stages
Items
Music
Notices


After that, there is the specific guess. Elaborate further on what is going to be updated in that section. Specific guesses would be for:

Character Profile - Name of character
Character Move/Action - Name of character and what moveset - Final smash, special moves, regular moves.
How To Play - What technique, rule or lesson would be given
Game Modes - Single Player, Custom, Classic, Sticker, Trophy, Multiplayer, etc.
Stages - What the stage name is and what franchise it represents or game. Delfino Plaza from Super Mario Sunshine. Smashville from Animal Crossing.
Items - What type of item - smash item, assist trophy or pokeball and the item or character it would be. I.E. Smash Item - Ray Gun. Assist Trophy - Toad. Pokeball - Psyduck.
Music - The franchise that will be represented by the music. I.E. Animal Crossing Music. Star Fox music.
Notices - What the notice will be. Announcement. Video. Audio. I'm just throwing it in for the heck of it.


Of course, extra bonus points of 6 could be awarded to people who are even more daring in their prediction. I.E., correctly guessing which composer was responsible for arranging the music, predicting a feature of a stage like Bridge of Eldin collapsing, Nintendogs assist trophy blocks screen, etc.

In some case, half points may be given. I.E. chose the right franchise or character for stage but not the game it came from, choose pokeball but not the right pokemon, choose the right character but not the right move update.


Double Update Posting

Finally, in the case of double updates, write out your first prediction and then specify that if there is a second prediction, this is your guess. However, the snag of double predictions is this. If there is only one update that day and your first prediction is incorrect but your prediction for the second update is the correct update, it doesn't count. The double update prediction isn't a two for one guess. I'll illustrate if you are confused.

Example:

Sep. 14/2007 Prediction

Music Update
Star Fox Music
Venom theme

2nd Update
New Character
Captain Falcon
Bounty hunter who punches fast

In the case of Sep. 14, there was only one update. The Ice Climbers. Therefore, the second update guess does not comply since there is only one update. Yes, the second guess was a character reveal but since that was the second guess and not the primary guess, it does not count.

Now let's say there had been two updates. The Ice Climbers and Kirby's Final Smash. Even though the primary guess is wrong, since there are two updates, the second update is allowed and it gets two points because of the Ice Climber update. So, I hope this gets everybody clear on how I keep track of points and award them.


Finally, there is not rule for how you phrase your prediction. You can do it like PartyBear, keep it general like Mashiro or you can follow what I've been doing. It's up to you.
Whoever said, "Cheaters never win" must've never met Khushrenada.

Offline Khushrenada

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #690 on: October 21, 2007, 06:27:07 PM »
The reason I re-posted the rules is because I'm seeing a lot of double guessing lately. For instance, Stevey has a prediction of a 3rd party character or Malon. While Malon should be considered a joke, stevey is probably serious. In any case, by putting two names and not even being specific (3rd party can mean many characters) it comes off as trying to be as broad as possible. So, a warning. After Monday's update, you will not gain full points when you are using multiple guesses.

Another example would be NinjaWang and his superspecific guess of Falcon fighting Fox or Snake. Commit to one or the other or both. I could just as easily post that Falcon will fight Fox or Snake or Mario or Lucas or Diddy Kong or etc.

I'm not trying to be harsh on you two since others have done it. I just want to illustrate what I consider double guessing and warn you before I start re-enforcing the rules for points.

In addition, if someone guesses Ness from Mother 2 but doesn't list the general guess of character reveal or character profile, I won't be giving them those 2 points for a general guess. While I may give some points for correctly guessing Ness, not giving a general guess keeps me from knowing what you were guessing for Ness.




Well, now that I've done my best to be strict and take the fun out of this game, let's go and have some fun!

Prediction for Oct. 22, 2007:

(General) Character Profile
(Specific) Captain Falcon
(Superspecific) Falcon is fighting Sonic in one of the pictures.
Whoever said, "Cheaters never win" must've never met Khushrenada.

Offline stevey

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #691 on: October 21, 2007, 06:38:41 PM »
What about my game mode and delay update points from last Friday!

PS I'll show you MALON WILL BE REVILED TODAY!!!    
My Demands and Declarations:
nVidia is CRAP!!!
BOYCOTT Digest mode and LEGEND OF OO!

Your PM box will be spammed with Girl Link porn! NO EXCEPTION!
Wii want WaveBirds

Stevey Duff
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NWR Staff All Powerful Satin!

Offline LuigiHann

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #692 on: October 21, 2007, 07:49:52 PM »
Quote

Originally posted by: stevey
PS I'll show you MALON WILL BE REVILED TODAY!!!  


Bad Malon! Bad! Don't do that again!

Anyway, I predict:

(General) Stages
(Specific) Norfair from Metroid
(Superspecific) He simply repeats what we already know about it from the demo.

Offline Spak-Spang

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #693 on: October 22, 2007, 02:15:46 AM »
Sweet new rules.  Now I just need to go way, way back and figure points again...eek.


Offline Luigi Dude

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #694 on: October 22, 2007, 10:46:17 AM »
CHARACTER PROFILE: CAPTAIN FALCON!!!

This will finally be the night, I'm positive this time.
I’m gonna have you play every inch of this game! - Masahiro Sakurai

Offline UltimatePartyBear

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #695 on: October 22, 2007, 11:40:30 AM »
I have a feeling I'll regret it, but I'm tired of predicting a new character.

October 23 - Items -  Assist Trophy - Tetris blocks fall from the sky, smashing all in their way, until the stack is cleared by an I block scoring a tetris.

Offline stevey

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #696 on: October 22, 2007, 11:55:34 AM »
New Character: Megaton: Girl character: Ashley / Malon!: it will be teh HAWTNESS!

2nd Game Modes: Costumes: Bikinis: The New character in a Bikini
My Demands and Declarations:
nVidia is CRAP!!!
BOYCOTT Digest mode and LEGEND OF OO!

Your PM box will be spammed with Girl Link porn! NO EXCEPTION!
Wii want WaveBirds

Stevey Duff
NWR HAWTNESS Inspector
NWR Staff All Powerful Satin!

Offline Khushrenada

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RE:Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #697 on: October 22, 2007, 01:09:11 PM »
Quote

Originally posted by: stevey
What about my game mode and delay update points from last Friday!

PS I'll show you MALON WILL BE REVILED TODAY!!!  


You got them. I posted that and an updated leaderboard Thursday evening. It's the last post on page 34 if you go by 20 posts per page. I see Spak missed it also and didn't update the first page with it. You got 14 points that day. The highest point total in one day yet.

Quote

Originally posted by: Spak-Spang
Sweet new rules.  Now I just need to go way, way back and figure points again...eek.


No you don't. See above. I went through and updated the leaderboard and even posted day by day who got points, how many and why. The game is up to date right now. You just need to post that updated leaderbaord in the first post.
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Offline Mashiro

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #698 on: October 22, 2007, 01:16:05 PM »
It's been a long time since I posted a prediction and I feel bored so here I go:

Tuesday Oct. 23 prediction: Game Mode Update

Offline NuclearSpeed

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RE: Predict the Daily Update Thread.
« Reply #699 on: October 22, 2007, 03:09:20 PM »
reading about algorithm analysis makes me see numbers so for my perdiction

Gen: Item/Assist Trophy
Specific: Pikmin Franchise
S.S.: You pluck them and throw them and they then attack the oppents