So what's gone wrong?
Nintendo said for MONTHS they'd have one million systems available for the U.S. launch, with two million by the end of 2006 in North America alone. Four million worldwide.
The million systems at launch turned out to be 450,000.
They claimed they'd would be able to ship 200,000 systems every week after launch. After one week, retailers have received ZERO systems.
Nintendo missed Black Friday, the biggest shopping day of the year. The only retailers with systems available on Black Friday were those who held over systems from the initial launch.
There are now almost 700,000 Wiis missing from Nintendo's promised shipments. If Nintendo comes up empty next weekend, we'll be getting close to a million.
What happened?
What disaster destroyed Nintendo's ability to manufacture this machine? Their entire hype campaign leading up to launch was based on the premise they'd have plentiful supplies (the "four million systems worldwide" number was quoted in EVERY SINGLE ARTICLE). Some reports even claimed they were far ahead in production. The ease of manufacturing this system was one of its strong suits, far fewer internal parts than the PS3.
But when launch came, the supplies have been disastrously short instead. Now Sony is following through on their promise to deliver one million systems to the US by year's end, and the Wii is looking to be produced in fewer numbers than the PS3.
This is the big story of the industry right now, trying to figure out what has gone so badly wrong on Nintendo's end. Typically it winds up being a single component or chip that has come up in short supply or high in defect rates. Whatever it is, it's going to slash two million systems off Nintendo's 2006 projections, and nearly a billion dollars off Nintendo's hardware and software sales for 2006.
In other words, it's the biggest disaster in Nintendo history. Their console division, gasping on life support with 15% market share, was depending on this system to expand that user base, to draw in third parties. Now, the launch is going to wind up with fewer systems in users' hands than the Gamecube. Whatever has gone wrong with the Wii, whatever has destroyed their ability to manufacture it, may be a nail in the coffin for Nintendo as a manufacturer of consoles.