I trust the 7 million thereabouts number for the X360. In America, the Xbox 360 sold only 500k units in November, and has been consistently outsold all year long by the PS2. According to NPD numbers up to Novermber 2006 reported
here, the X360 only has about 3.7 million units sold in the U.S. If you multiply that by a factor of 1.1 to account for Canada and the rest of the Americas, the X360 has only moved about 4.07 million units in America. Japan is practically nothing with maybe 190k lifetime sales there, and with the X360 reportedly quite lukewarm in Europe, estimates range at about 2 - 2.5 million in sales there. All that together means we can weather a guess at 7 million X360's sold worldwide QUITE easily.
NPD numbers discourage any higher estimates in the North American Market, and the numbers are very clear about Japan. Europe has no such independent reliable and public tracking service, but all indications point that the X360 Is not exactly gangbusters over there, definitely not enough to account for 2 million "phantom" units that MS needs to make its magical 10 million number.
... which they're gonna say they did by giving us shipping numbers instead anyways.
~Carmine "Cai" M. Red
Kairon@aol.com