Mid-2006 just makes sense for what they're trying to accomplish. They want to launch before Sony. If they go with November again the odds of them beating Sony to the market are pretty much nil. They have to launch earlier in the year. And summer is a great time to launch because kids are home from school. Summer is always a dead zone for games and I have never understood why because that's when elementary, secondary, and college students have free time.
Of course a mid-2006 launch would mean the Cube wouldn't quite make the five year mark before getting replaced but I think it's close enough being the same calender year and all. Plus with the N64 we got the last first party game around May or June and then got nothing until the Cube launch in November. Odds are we'll get a similar drought with the Cube so if we get nothing after May anyway then they might as well move the Rev launch up for a smoother transition.
So if they launch in mid-2006 what do they have to show at E3? Spaceworld 2000 was the debut of the Cube and it occured in August 2000, over a year before the Cube launch in November 2001. So realistically at the least they should show something comparable at E3 which would actually be closer to the next launch than Spaceworld 2000 was. At Spaceworld we saw the console itself, the controller, and some video demos so I think Nintendo should at least show the same stuff at E3. Yes that means showing the fabled wacky new controller. Cut this "they'll steal our idea" crap. The Xbox 360 launches this year. They CAN'T steal the idea and odds are it's too close to launch for the PS3 to steal the idea as well.
E3 2006 is too close to launch to debut the launch lineup. They could possibly get away with that being the playable debut but we need to know what the games actually are sometime this year. I say they should just do what everyone else does and attend TGS. It would be good PR to mix in with the rest of the industry instead of doing everything different for no good reason. Whatever they decide to do that we need to see Rev games some time in 2005.
Now how does this work with the Japanese launch? Usually they launch first over there. I suppose they could pull another DS launch but I was pretty underwhelmed by that launch lineup so I don't think it's a good idea. With the DS they launched first in North America but it was clear Nintendo's Japanese dev teams were aiming for the Japanese launch so we got, well, pretty much nothing. It seems to be working out okay for the DS from a sales perspective but the Rev has a bigger fight ahead of it and a really weak launch isn't going to cut it. They can launch first in North America but it has to have been part of their plan all along so that the games are ready.