For me I don't care at all about being wrong or right. I just don't like the direction Nintendo has gone in from the perspective of game quality and I don't like the influence it will have on the industry. I'm concerned Nintendo is leading videogaming into a dark age critically, despite financial success. Thus I, deep down, want their strategy to fail in the longrun. It's the same reason I always wanted Sony to fail though ironically Nintendo has become worse than Sony was. What I've always wanted is for quality games to be a requirement for success and shovelware doesn't sell. Nintendo has made things worse and made shovelware a more successful venture than quality games. I don't care about looking like a fool because I made the wrong prediction. The Wii is number one but is the least deserving of the three consoles. That is wrong, that is bad for gaming, that needs to stop. Thus I hope for failure.
Though really I don't care for all three console makers. It might be best if we have another crash, all three die off, and we start fresh. But then it would just be nice if Nintendo could make it so that the Wii is WORTHY of its success. A better Nintendo and a better Wii would be great for gaming.
I disagree COMPLETELY.
The Wii is making Nintendo do what I've always wished they'd do as a fan. No, not winning. The N64 didn't win, and that was my golden age.
Instead, Nintendo is actually exploring new directions in gaming. What you call a critical dark age I call a ripe expansion in the genres, types, styles, customers, and definitions in gaming. You think this is going to bring down gaming. I think the opposite: this is Nintendo preemptively waging a war on behalf of gaming's survival by bringing in new consumers, popularizing the activity, gaining mainstream acceptance, and making gaming something that's accessible and appealing to more than the select in-danger-of-becoming-like-comic-book-fans few.
And to lay the "shovelware" charge at Nintendo's doorstep is ludicrous. Not only has Nintendo delivered its biggest core franchises in an amazingly short while, but they've spend vast amounts of time, money, and ShigeruMiyamotoHours on delivering games like Wii Fit and Wii Music. They may not be aimed at you, but with their levels of sophistication, detail, and their price, they're far from shovelware. However, even Wii Play shouldn't be given that term given the inherent oldschool appeal of several of its minigames, and the unique price point strategy that Nintendo is attempting with it. Wii Play is almost like the first WiiWare sized game, a unique twist on how to position, and sell, games with much less epic scope than oscar-worthy-10-winning Grand Theft Auto IV. And of course, Wii Sports is this genre's killer app.
Even among the strangest third-party success stories, there's new unexplored facets of interactivity to be mined. Carnival Games surprised me excessively in how appealing it was, almost like an arcade compilation with microgames, but with a fairground simulation and the excitement of trading up prizes. Deca Sports I reviewed with a 6.0, but I can't deny that there were elements of that which I found worthy and which left me thirsting for more. As for Rayman Raving Rabbids, I may have been underwhelmed with it, but my older cousin swears by it. And I trust her. She played Donkey Kong Country with me during all-nighters when I was a kid, also Marble Madness on the NES and Aladdin on the Genesis. If she stopped playing games, it would be this industry's loss, and mine.
Nintendo, in creating an environment where my cousin can keep playing games, where companies can keep costs down in this tough time, where more people of different graphics view games not just as acceptable but also as enjoyable, is creating an industry with diversity as its strength, breadth as its insurance, and versatility as its virtue. There's still the obsession, depth, and competition of traditional core gaming, but the world is bigger than the young male demographic, and the videogame world is too.
Sure, I'm not holding the keys to the kingdom anymore. But on this journey I'm willing to give up my supposed right to bend a multi-billion dollar industry to my will. In exchange I gain new travelling companions, new ideas, and new possibilities for the future. Those things give my future more security than past privileges gripped tightly in a clenched fist.