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TalkBack / RE: It's Already Over ...
« on: March 10, 2004, 04:27:17 AM »
I don't think that raw specs are going to matter as much for next-gen consoles in the long run. It doesn't even matter in this generation, as Sony has won out with arguably the weakest hardware of the three consoles. Microsoft, often touted as 'ahead-of-its-time' in terms of hardware and specs, is currently in third place. As for the BBCi reported prediction, those things are routinely projections of market conditions that already exist...and should be taken with more than a few grains of salt everytime. It operates in the same way as you might see 'analysts' predicting who will win the World Series this year. They usually pick the same teams that either won or came close in the previous year, and that doesn't guarantee anything. Notice that the same analysts didn't make predictions regarding sales of the PSP for 2010 versus Nintendo handhelds. No old sales numbers to project for a Sony handheld.
I don't doubt that Sony will have an early advantage (although they may be the last to launch), but it's going to be closer than 30-10-5 four years from launch. To me, the real question about the next generation is how the flow of quality titles may be effected by the higher technical specs and consumer expectations...even longer development cycles and with more delays than before? I hope not, but it's likely.
I don't doubt that Sony will have an early advantage (although they may be the last to launch), but it's going to be closer than 30-10-5 four years from launch. To me, the real question about the next generation is how the flow of quality titles may be effected by the higher technical specs and consumer expectations...even longer development cycles and with more delays than before? I hope not, but it's likely.