Standards are funny things. Does anyone remember when CD's came out for computers? There were the ones that had protective shells and the one we all now today. I remember debating with my now step father whether we should invest in a CD drive because we could still get are games and everything on floppy. Now lets go to the future. Now everything is CD, except Ghost and other widely used utilities but that's another topic. Even Multiple CD's even though DVD drives are common place and hold more. I mean Microsoft only recently started sending out DVD's with MSDN. That's got to tell you something. People love new technology. They just don't like to adopt it. We all like hearing about Blu-Ray and Holographic Medium or how a new computer architecture will make are computers 10x faster, believe it or not there are better architectures then Von Neuman. In the end people are scared to move on. Did you know that Intel had no plans what-so-ever to extend x86 to 64-bit? What happened AMD did it and it forced Intel to. Instead Intel was going to use th IA-64 architecture. As a programmer that would have meant more registries for me and overall better perfomance and ease of programming. That was suppose to be coming to Desktop now. It would have been a big change for the better but instead we are getting yet another extension of x86 I think that would make the third. Things happen like that. Consoles are somewhat free of those things but, to much unique technology has a cost associated with it and now we get to the PS3.
I have no delusion right know that the PS3 line will have to sell well for at least a year or more to recoop it's developement cost. I wouldn't be surprised if the system cost is really somewhere around $1000. Sony's on a slippery slope. They are the same place Nintendo was after the SNES. Nintendo took two generations to become somewhat humble. What do you think it will take Sony? Especially since it has a different dynamic. The fact of the matter is that out of the console providers the only one that wouldn't get two big headed after 2 generations at the top would probably be MS and that's simply because people love to pick on MS like people love to pick on the government. No matter what MS does its not good enough. Yes I believe that overall it's a race between the PS3 or the Wii. Here in the States the 360 is a good contender. From what I hear it's not the same the rest of the world, I'm really blurry on Europe and Aus. Now to Digital Content.
Cable providers are really leaning for you to buy something and stream it from the server when you want to watch it. It makes sound sense for them. Though in the end most of us like having Physical Medium that's only real protection is that it's on Physical medium. Meaning that even if it's stolen there is only 1 owner at any given time. Companies like that idea. To Physical Format.
Let's face it. VHS to Disc was a huge physical form factor change. That's probably one of the biggest reasons TV Series sell well on DVD and not on VHS. They just took to much real estate before. Until we see a change to a different better form factor then there won't be a mass move as with DVD. People like the backward compatibility that the Disc physical format gives. Now if Blu-Ray or HD-DVD was say the size of an SD card and had the same amount of storage that be something else. The only medium known right now that holds that sort of promise is Holographic and it's been in developement for longer then I've been around it seems. To the Wrap Up.
People like backward compatibility. People like things there familiar with. Unless there are overwhelming advantages people don't like change. DVD Provided those. Each console provides those. These new standards do not.