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Originally posted by: Mario
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Honestly, I wouldn't be surprised to see a new GB in early 2006
That would be a terrible move, and it won't happen. Who's ever going to buy a Nintendo handheld again when they know it will only have a 1-2 year lifespan and the next one will be even better?
It's not that bad of a move, a little earlier yes, but the fundamentals are correct.
Nintendo has 2 main objectives, which are:
-- Killing the PSP
-- Killing the PS3
Nintendo could single-handedly do that, but timing is everything. He said he wouldn't be surprised to
see a new GB in 2006. That should mean it being revealed at that year's E3. The problem with launching a new handheld shortly after another is the smuthering affect caused by the new one. Nintendo can save the DS if the new GB is revealed, but how? It has to prove to us that it provides a new way to play, that (this is important) can't be mocked or replicated by later handhelds or handhelds seen today. Nintendo should be now, busting their ass to make the touch-screen, two-screen handheld an interactive and fun handheld.
Once the DS "blossoms" into the handheld to own (which seems likely at the end of the year), with a great annoucement of more games, features (PDA for the love of God!), and interenet updates to come (soon that is), they could have a firm grasp on marketshare as well as a big enough loyal userbase. This userbase plays a role in keeping the DS alive. They bought it for it's interactivity, and they will continue to buy games for that sole purpose.
E3 2006 comes around. Nintendo shows the new GB that is set to launch september, along with complete compatibilty with cube games. The combatibility for multi-player games will be limited, unless of course, Nintendo planned this all along (not likely, but you never know). This news along with the REV being backwards compatible, allows for a spread of the same software over three consoles, meaning a obvious boost in sales for software respectively.
The REV acts like a GBE player, and everyone knows how popular the GBA player was. Now, instead of packing the player at a later date, it's automatically there. The GBE has potential to smuther the DS, but like I said, if popular enough, the DS can live on due to two things: It holds the GBA line BWC, which wasn't a last minute adaptation, and it is unique, yet amazingly fun (has to be proven).
The GBE should launch with about 6-7 new titles, but it would be allowed not to launch with many titles though (unlike the DS), considering it has a huge GameCube line-up from the start. This allows let's Nintendo to focus almost all it's game developement for the REV. The only problem is supporting two launches almost side-by-side. If they can do it though, new adopters of the GBE (and there will be many) will get frustrated that they can't play multi-player games completely, then the REV launches with that feature in tow, a seamless transition.
Many third-parties, already familiar with the GameCube will jump on board, seeing as how it's the new GameBoy and it's games can be sold for 3 different systems. The REV will gain sales due to it's new functionality (has to be good) as well as for playing GBE games at home. Let's not forget the possibility of it playing HD-DVD's either.
The DS might get lost in the surge of consumer awareness for the new systems, but as long as there's something for those consumers, it'll survive. The DS summer will benchmark how fully the DS has matured. If it proves that even with a GBE annoucement it can still gain revenue, I think Nintendo could not only successfully killed off the PSP, but keep the "third pillar" promise. Something would have to get DS sales going though, during that vast summer period. PDA functionality, with chat-on-the-go capabilities with normal computers sounds like a nice move. Give it a surge of online titles, such as SSB Online, Pokemon Online, and an RTS, and it'll sell.
For the first time EVER, a handheld can actually generate console sales, forming some kinda allaince between the two. Not to mention, the possibility of using the GBE as a controller.
After that hectic year, things will pan out smoothly for all Nintendo hardware. Games released for the GBE will sell better due to the REV fans that buy the games. The REV third-party list will hopefully grow fuller, with a wide-range of developers due to the secret "concept," and the outstanding REV sell through (due to GBE compatibility). The DS can be the friendly developer's system, for those that don't want to spend the vast amounts of money needed for the two other hardwares. With the PSP out of the way (hopefully), the DS and GBE are the only handhelds that developers would develope for. Most may go with the GBE's very broad user-base, but the DS will become the "portable computer" handheld, letting developers easily transfer (not port) game play mechanics to the DS. An RTS, ORPG, twitchy FPS, compelling 2-D games, puzzle games, 3-D/2-D nostalgia classics, innovative new-twists (JSRF) would thrive on the DS. More functionality can be given to the PDA software, allowing it to grow as time passes. A web browser comes to mind, as well as VOIP (voice/video chat rather than net2phone).
Wow I said alot.....sorry if this sounds like throw up (as in information digested and brought up again), but I can't help it, it seems too plausible.