Author Topic: Wii U Price and Release Date Guess Thread  (Read 67049 times)

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Offline Ceric

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Wii U Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« on: April 16, 2011, 09:37:33 PM »
Hello,
So we don't clog up rumor thread and other put your price and release guess here for future reference.
Playing Price Is Right Rules so its whoever is closest without going over to either the date or the Price. If it's not a simultaneous World Wide release you can win by hitting any of the dates and prices and I'll not the winner for the region.  Whoever gets it get a "Kudoo" or "At'a Boy."

My Guess is $299.99 and 3/18/2012.

NamePriceDatePost
Ceric$299.993/18/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667323#msg667323
Adrock$349.996/10/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667325#msg667325
NeoStar9X$299.993/18/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667326#msg667326
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667484#msg667484
Caterkiller$299.9912/20/2011
3/20/2012
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667341#msg667341
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg670010#msg670010
rad.i.kal$249.9912/25/2011**http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667344#msg667344
Rachtman$349.991,4
$299.99
9/23/2012
3/25/2012
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679322#msg679322
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667374#msg667374
coffeewithgames$199.9911/20/2011http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667440#msg667440
Chozo Ghost$329.996/17/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667446#msg667446
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg669072#msg669072
Shaymin$249.99111/18/2012
6/17/2012
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679194#msg679194
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667448#msg667448
NWR_insanolord$14.995/8/2011http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667451#msg667451
Luigi Dude$299.9911/18/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667473#msg667473
Mop it up$299.9911/18/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667518#msg667518
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667530#msg667530
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679362#msg679362
Tanookisuit$299.99 9/30/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667542#msg667542
nemo$329.123/29/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg667545#msg667545
UncleBoba€2.675,973,529/03/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg668923#msg668923
BlackNMild2k1N/A6/19/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg668972#msg668972
Louieturkey$329.99 10/28/2012
6/14/2012
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg724102#msg724102
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg668990#msg668990
MaryJane$2003/09/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg669100#msg669100
ShyGuy$299.996/17/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg669090#msg669090
GoldenPheonix$299.99
$349.99
4/30/2012**
10/28/2012
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679520#msg679520
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg669161#msg669161
Drago175$349.9911/20/2011http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg669643#msg669643
Lithium$349.9911/19/2012
11/19/2011
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg669648#msg669648
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679365#msg679365
Rhoq$349.994/1/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg669986#msg669986
kraken613$299.9911/20/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679310#msg679310
ThePerm$299.9911/22/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679320#msg679320
FZeroBoyo$350111/18/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679419#msg679419
Bman87301$249.998/12/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679574#msg679574
Quadran€299.9936/12/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg679598#msg679598
Rachtman$279.991,411/16/2012http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/forums/index.php?topic=34112.msg724127#msg724127
 


a Motivating Placeholder till real guess is given

1With Pack in game
2Price ranges are fine and encouraged for discussion but only specific prices will be used for the game.
3In Europe
4Packed with Wii Remote, Nunchuk, and Classic Controller Pro
5Conjectured from post text

*Date ranges and general dates are fine and encouraged for discussion but only specific dates will be used for the game.
 **Conjectured from post text
« Last Edit: March 20, 2012, 03:22:59 PM by Ceric »
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Offline Adrock

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #1 on: April 16, 2011, 10:15:15 PM »
$349.99 on 06/10/2012. I chose a Q2 release because I think Nintendo will revamp 3DS in Q4 2012.

I'd prefer it retail over $299.99, but Nintendo should put a price gap between their console and handheld. Handhelds aren't intrinsically worth less; there just exists the stigma that they do. I would hope Nintendo doesn't mark up the price too much, but considering 3DS is sold for something like $75-$100 more than it's worth after all is said and done, I'm hoping against hope here.

Offline NeoStar9X

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #2 on: April 16, 2011, 10:27:57 PM »
$299.99 is my guess for the console price and Q1 or Q2 for the release. Though they could come out with two skus the way Microsoft did with one priced a bit higher. 

I don't see Nintendo going over that. They thought they could move the 3DS at $250 and it's possible that might not work out for them (I'm glad I had credit at Amazon to buy one so I really just paid $200. $250 did give me pause in the end) and they'll lower it. So I don't think they'll try that premium price game again with a console. At least not with just one sku. Might be a bit to risky for them.

With the way the Wii sales are now, especially in Japan, I see them trying to push the system out sooner rather then later. At this way they can still get versions of the upcoming games being released on the PS3/360 with Nintendo IPs being the draw for the system that separates it from the other systems. There is no significant 3rd party support for the Wii now. Outside of licensed games the Conduit 2 is the last significant core game that isn't coming from Nintendo itself and even that's iffy. There is no harm at all in pushing out a new system if it has the 3rd party support. The Wii can still sell the way the PS2 still sold due to it's library of games you can get that might be more in the used pile or gotten at Amazon.com but it will be clear newer games like the next Mario Kart, Mario, Animal Crossing, etc will be on the new system. There is no negative in pushing out the new system at the beginning of 2012 or even at the end of 2011 if they can actually manage that.

I think they could get 2011 if their OS and online systems are ready. I wouldn't be surprised if they were working on that while developing the 3DS OS. The two are most likely going to be siblings anyway. There is no reason for them not to simply copy what PSN or Xbox Live have either.
« Last Edit: April 16, 2011, 10:34:24 PM by NeoStar9X »

Offline Caterkiller

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #3 on: April 17, 2011, 01:23:52 AM »
$299.99 on 12/20/11.
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Offline rad.i.kal

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #4 on: April 17, 2011, 01:45:58 AM »
With the Wii 1 down to 150 soon It may be 249.99! I say This year, Dec 2011! Why not a christmas release, we have no good wii games to hold us over for two years? Nah no way.

Offline Ceric

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #5 on: April 17, 2011, 08:03:29 AM »
First a maintenance note update the top thread with everyone's guesses. Now on to the Discussion...

I don't think Nintendo will ever do the 2 Sku at launch thing.  They are fully willing to do iterations but, they have been resistant over the years doing anything else because they are big on known hardware.  Also if you still are going for the casual market multiple SKU on new Hardware, even if its just something like space, will cause confusion and probably delay sales and in some case stop it all together.  I know I've personally waited on different skus to get the one with the more space and then it was time for a new iteration etc., actually this is what happened with the 360 and I just never got one.
With the Wii 1 down to 150 soon It may be 249.99! I say This year, Dec 2011! Why not a christmas release, we have no good wii games to hold us over for two years? Nah no way.
That is a good point but DQX could make a whole quarter for them in their core market of Japan.  Never felt Nintendo gave a flying flip about US this latter half because they have a real competitor in the 360 here and people are still steadily buying the Wii for Wii Sports.  Hence why it seems the normal anemic Europe support is getting better from the outside looking in even though it is more work to properly move a game, more languages etc.
« Last Edit: April 17, 2011, 08:06:14 AM by Ceric »
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Offline Sarail

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #6 on: April 17, 2011, 09:22:15 AM »
$299.99 at 3/25/12.
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Offline coffeewithgames

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #7 on: April 17, 2011, 05:10:01 PM »
$199.99 on November 20, 2011.
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Offline Chozo Ghost

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #8 on: April 17, 2011, 06:05:25 PM »
It needs to come out THIS year, but all the rumors seem to be hinting at a late 2012 release. It may be possible that Nintendo themselves leaked out a false rumor in order to throw off the competition. If the rumors are correct then it will come out late 2012, but I'm going to be hoping the rumors are wrong and we will see it this year.

Put me down at 11/19/2011 at $329.99. I'm making this guess on the assumption that all the rumors pointing at late 2012 are due an intentional false leak by Nintendo. This date also makes it exactly 5 years to the day when the Wii launched on 11/19/2006 and 11/19/2011 is a good date because that happens to be a Saturday, which is probably the best day of the week to launch a console. So it makes sense. As for the price, I just went with $329.99 to be different, because no one else guessed that.

I really don't think they will price the console at $299.99, because that would match up with the price of the 360/PS3 and they want their console to appear to be more powerful (which it will be), so it needs to be priced higher so that it appears to be the superior system. When you also factor in the inevitable shortages they need to go with a higher price anyway, because if they don't thousands of scalpers will and it will be just like the Wii when it launched all over again.

As unlikely as a $299.99 price is, anything less than that is just absurd. If its priced $249.99 or $199.99 then it will be priced less than the 360/PS3 which would be ridiculous for a technologically superior system.
« Last Edit: April 17, 2011, 06:17:36 PM by Chozo Ghost »
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Offline Shaymin

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #9 on: April 17, 2011, 06:08:36 PM »
June 17, 2012
$249.99 w/packin game
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Offline NWR_insanolord

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #10 on: April 17, 2011, 06:26:13 PM »
May 8, 2011
$14.99
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Offline Luigi Dude

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #11 on: April 17, 2011, 08:03:48 PM »
November 18th, 2012 in North America for somewhere between $299.99.

If you look at how Nintendo was barely able to have anything ready for the 3DS at it's launch earlier this year and won't have much until at least this fall and it's basically a portable Gamecube, no way in hell they'll have anything ready for a system that's suppose to be stronger then the 360 before at least the end of 2012.
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Offline Ceric

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #12 on: April 17, 2011, 08:17:13 PM »
Agree the 3DS was not a properly supported launch but neither was the DS.
I agree Chozo I think that it should be this year.
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Offline NeoStar9X

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #13 on: April 17, 2011, 08:43:45 PM »
I'll go with March 18th, 2012 list a firm date. I don't think this year but would love it if that were the case. However I'll admit that might be pretty fast. However around the same time as they launched the 3DS but next year might be something they could try. The 18th as that's a Sunday and Nintendo likes their Sunday launches.
Still the rest of the year is pretty much dead and I think they really should push for this year. Nintendo might have some titles coming and that's a big might but I don't see anything else from anyone else. Unless Nintendo is willing to let the Wii go down with just cheap licensed titles.

Offline coffeewithgames

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #14 on: April 17, 2011, 08:48:52 PM »
It needs to come out THIS year, but all the rumors seem to be hinting at a late 2012 release. It may be possible that Nintendo themselves leaked out a false rumor in order to throw off the competition. If the rumors are correct then it will come out late 2012, but I'm going to be hoping the rumors are wrong and we will see it this year.


.......

As unlikely as a $299.99 price is, anything less than that is just absurd. If its priced $249.99 or $199.99 then it will be priced less than the 360/PS3 which would be ridiculous for a technologically superior system.


If it releases this year, it can perhaps be $299.99.  Otherwise, I honestly don't see how they're going to be competitive against two systems in 2012, that will be probably $250 or less, with a HUGE library of games and HD graphics already...
From what we know, it's a mix of power between the Xbox 360 and PS3...so it's not a huge leap at all if the "rumors" are true...which should mean the cost to produce it should be low as well.


If they release it at $199.99 with HD though, that would be a huge way to get current Wii owners to accept it, and not buy another system...and to remain competitive with prices.


Otherwise, they're abandoning this "Blue Ocean" idea they claim to use, I think...
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Offline Luigi Dude

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #15 on: April 17, 2011, 08:49:49 PM »
Agree the 3DS was not a properly supported launch but neither was the DS.
I agree Chozo I think that it should be this year.

Yeah but the Wii was released 2 years after the DS though so most of Nintendo's studio's had plenty of time to finish their DS games and then start to work on Wii games well before the Wii was even offically shown at E3 2006.  With the 3DS first year looking like the DS first year, it's not giving me a lot of confidence in the studio's being able to start working full time on the Wii's successor until at least end of 2011/early 2012.

Which is why fall 2012 is the very earliest I can see Nintendo having anything ready.
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Offline Chozo Ghost

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #16 on: April 17, 2011, 08:50:55 PM »
If they are only just now approaching 3rd parties with dev kits then there's no way they can launch it this year. If developers are only getting the dev kits now then there's no way anything more than tech demos could be complete by the end of the year. They can't launch a new console with zero launch titles.... well, they could but...
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Offline NeoStar9X

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #17 on: April 17, 2011, 08:57:21 PM »
If they are only just now approaching 3rd parties with dev kits then there's no way they can launch it this year. If developers are only getting the dev kits now then there's no way anything more than tech demos could be complete by the end of the year. They can't launch a new console with zero launch titles.... well, they could but...
That is a problem. We have rumors just to go on right now. They might only be getting kits out to developers now or some might already have them. Then there is the case of them maybe giving equivalent kits but not the official ones. Something that might allow them to port current games they might have or already have in development and get started on new games until the official ones are ready if they aren't already. Now if the system upscaled games that might be something that could take up a small amount of time until new system games arrive. Give a new lease on life to a number of older titles if only for a short amount of time.

Offline Ceric

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #18 on: April 17, 2011, 09:04:00 PM »
If they are only just now approaching 3rd parties with dev kits then there's no way they can launch it this year. If developers are only getting the dev kits now then there's no way anything more than tech demos could be complete by the end of the year. They can't launch a new console with zero launch titles.... well, they could but...

Would that really surprise you from Nintendo?
 
If the past generation is any indication their probably getting non-final concept dev kits.  Which will be later, and problematically, be traded in for Final Dev Kits...
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Offline Chozo Ghost

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #19 on: April 17, 2011, 10:10:31 PM »
I guess something simplistic like Wii Sports and Carnival Games type stuff with cheap graphics could probably be slapped together between now and the end of the year for a late year launch. Combine that with hardcore games like Zelda which have been in the works for the Wii for several years rush ported to the new hardware then you might have some semblance of a launch lineup by the end of the year. It wouldn't be a great lineup by any stretch, but it probably could be slapped together by December.
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Offline Mop it up

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #20 on: April 17, 2011, 10:11:29 PM »
For me, it's really difficult to say if it will be $249.99 or $299.99 because I can think of reasons for both price points. I just can't decide. As for date, sometime in mid November 2012. What's the Sunday closest the middle of the month?

Offline Ceric

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #21 on: April 17, 2011, 10:13:58 PM »
I'm thinking any Nintendo game at this point have been going for a while.
 
Mop it up: the 11th or 18th
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Offline NWR_insanolord

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #22 on: April 17, 2011, 10:16:29 PM »
The 18th then. Nintendo launches hardware the Sunday before Thanksgiving. GameCube, DS, Wii and I'll bet they tried like hell to have the 3DS out in time for that slot, but it fell to DKCR.
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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #23 on: April 17, 2011, 10:24:01 PM »
That sounds about right. Put me down for the 18th then.

Offline Ceric

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Re: Price and Release Date Guess Thread
« Reply #24 on: April 17, 2011, 10:29:57 PM »
The 18th then. Nintendo launches hardware the Sunday before Thanksgiving. GameCube, DS, Wii and I'll bet they tried like hell to have the 3DS out in time for that slot, but it fell to DKCR.
See what the Launch lineup is like that was just another nail in the coffin on hitting that.
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