Day 1: I switched the vote after Maxi asked me if I'd be willing to target Dasmos over vudu. I said I'd be willing to, and I'd go ahead and do it first to show that. That's what happened. I had a protection space.
Day 2: I had a red space, so technically I didn't have a vote. Vudu and jrlibrarian both had blue spaces, oddly enough, double-negating my vote negating. I still wanted to vote out vudu on this day, but then decided I'd vote out Maxi because of his picture-mongering ways. I voted maxi after vudu placed his vote, but before jrlibrarian did. No one else who had a vote against them seemed to have had lost any votes, so it looks like no one transferred votes away. No hit is made, message says the mafia, stunned at the loss of two people from the vote, did nothing.
Day 3: We vote out Bustin pretty resoundingly. While what Maxi did was wrong, there's no arguing with the facts. I had a blue space here.
Day 4: I had a protection space, which now seems relevant. I voted for Stratos for his Day 2 inactivity, which could mean he dropped the ball placing the day's hit. Today we see a message that the mafia focused on trying to hit someone, but failed.
All the way, I've mostly only talked to Toruresu. I've made it no secret I've been pretty busy this entire game, with a 5-page paper due in class and 3DS coverage to hammer out over at PixlBit. Normally, I'd be more active, but reality just hasn't allowed for that.
Anyway, at this point, looking at the coverage and knowing both I and stevey had protection spaces yesterday, I can see something interesting. First off, only Toruresu swapped the votes yesterday. That's a townie-only ability. No one has claimed otherwise. At this point, suspecting Toruresu of anything other than making a move to save his own life is stupid. Really stupid. Naturally, he voted against Jrlibrarian because he was saving his own skin. If anyone comes forward and claims to have changed the vote yesterday, fine, I'll have doubt, but as far as I know, no one has.
Second, there's one person who claimed to have vote-changing power, but didn't do it for claim of being nullified yesterday. What I can't figure out is why the mafia would nullify his ability, but not nullify the protection of their target. Since players have about a 1/6 chance of being protected and a 1/6 chance of outright blowing up, killing the mafia member who chose them as the target, it seems odd to me that the mafia would have nullified someone who wasn't their hit target over someone who was. That doesn't make much sense to me. I don't see much reason for apdude to have a "side" alliance with ShyGuy, keeping him from talking with stevey much, given apdude claims to have investigated ShyGuy himself.
The point is, apdude's story doesn't seem to check out much. I think the mafia didn't have any nullification abilities yesterday, or else they'd have nullified their target. I also think the mafia targeted me, not stevey, because it sounds like it was relatively common knowledge that stevey had protection among PMs. I mean, of course, if anyone else was nullified yesterday, it kind of spoils my idea, but if not, there's reason now to suspect apdude.
I'm keeping my vote on Stratos for the time being. If anyone was nullified yesterday, please speak up, and we'll have more of an idea about apdude, but right now, I'm not buying his story. There's a chance I'm wrong, so speak up if you're were nullified yesterday, so we know if the mafia is just a little dumb in choosing their targets or if apdude is just making his vote-switch story up outright.
Topic: Mafia XLIX: Mafia Party II, Turn 5, Toy Dream (Read 15365 times)
