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Gaming Forums => Nintendo Gaming => Topic started by: tendoboy1984 on December 02, 2013, 02:20:11 PM

Title: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: tendoboy1984 on December 02, 2013, 02:20:11 PM
With the Wii U's current poor situation, is anyone getting flashbacks to the PS3's terrible launch? The PS3 was ridiculed for being too expensive, and it sold terribly until Sony finally released the PS3 Slim at a cheaper price. So if Sony could turn the PS3 around, then surely Nintendo can turn the Wii U around (they already saved the 3DS from obscurity).
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 02, 2013, 02:29:58 PM
If Wii U was the new PS3, it would actually have some quality third party support despite its many initial failings. If anything, it's the new GameCube (I'd say it's the new Dreamcast except Nintendo isn't discontinuing it). I don't think it needs a price drop especially since it just got one. I have no doubt Nintendo will turn it around. Wii U won't "win" this generation, but they don't have to. Once Nintendo starts releasing games in a timely manner, Wii U will start selling better.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: ShyGuy on December 02, 2013, 02:41:38 PM
Xbox One is the new Xbox (the first one)

PS4 is the new Genesis

Vita is the new N-Gage

3DS is the new Atari 2600

2DS is the new Atari 5200
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: tendoboy1984 on December 02, 2013, 02:48:12 PM
I don't care who wins the "console wars", I just want the Wii U to sell BETTER so it gets more 3rd-party support.
 
Indie developers have no problems supporting Nintendo or any other platform. So why can't the big publishers release their games on all platforms? They'd reach a bigger audience that way.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on December 02, 2013, 03:00:08 PM
I'd certainly take the Wii U being the next PS3. Fairly solid third party support, excellent first party stuff, struggling sales wise out of the gate but basically catching up with the others by the end of the generation. Sadly, only a couple of those are probably applicable.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: ShyGuy on December 02, 2013, 03:09:09 PM
I wonder who the next third party publisher to go bankrupt will be? Bethesda? Xseed?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 02, 2013, 03:33:19 PM
The PS3 benefitted greatly from having hardware that was comparable to the Xbox 360 and PC so that it was included in third party multiplatform support.  So even when it wasn't selling well the third party support was strong.  I think that made a big difference.  Once the price was down you had a console with good first party games and practically the same third party selection as the Xbox 360.  It was a good console that was now also affordable.

The Wii U will not be included in multiplatform development because it is technologically unfeasible.  The Wii U is more like the new Atari 7800 - an out-of-date console from a former big player that was released a good two years too late.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on December 02, 2013, 03:58:13 PM
I just got done saying there wasn't really a good analog in gaming history for the position the Wii U's in, but the 7800 is, sadly, a fairly decent comparison. The one upside is that the Wii U has an infinitely better first party situation, and that should give it at least a somewhat better life than that console had.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on December 02, 2013, 05:15:07 PM
I don't care who wins the "console wars", I just want the Wii U to sell BETTER so it gets more 3rd-party support.
 
Indie developers have no problems supporting Nintendo or any other platform. So why can't the big publishers release their games on all platforms? They'd reach a bigger audience that way.

Regardless of how the Wii U sells for the rest of this gen, I doubt the 3rd Parties with course correct their ships into the Wii U harbor. The ship has sailed, and few straggling boats may come dock on our shores, but I wouldn't hold my breath for any major changing of the tides.
At least not without a MAJOR shift in momentum and/or a tragic falling out of the competition.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Stratos on December 02, 2013, 09:46:15 PM
I wonder who the next third party publisher to go bankrupt will be? Bethesda? Xseed?


If XSeed keeps supporting the Nintendo systems then I don't see them going anywhere anytime soon.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Shaymin on December 02, 2013, 10:03:10 PM
XSEED's parent company is quite healthy, thank you.

It'll have a PS3-like trajectory, but the end total's going to be far lower because Nintendo doesn't have the cash or clout with third parties to ensure they'll keep supporting the platform until that PS3 Slim/PS+ Instant Collection moment happens.

In before broodwars
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on December 02, 2013, 10:34:42 PM
PS3 is the highest selling console of the last generation...Wii U will not achieve that. The PS4 has already outsold the Wii U ltd (at least in the UK...other territories to come soon) and it's only been out for less than a month...
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Sarail on December 02, 2013, 10:46:20 PM
I can't wait to see Xbox One and PS4 sales drastically drop off into nothingness come January/February. Going to be a grand time. It's then that everyone will see just how big each respective console manufacturer's audiences truly are.

Right now, there's about three-and-a-half to four million dedicated Nintendo fans...still. It'll be interesting to see the size of MS/Sony's crew.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Phil on December 02, 2013, 10:50:10 PM
With the Wii U's current poor situation, is anyone getting flashbacks to the PS3's terrible launch? The PS3 was ridiculed for being too expensive, and it sold terribly until Sony finally released the PS3 Slim at a cheaper price. So if Sony could turn the PS3 around, then surely Nintendo can turn the Wii U around (they already saved the 3DS from obscurity).


No. The Wii U is doing much worse at a much lower price tag. It's historic how horribly it is selling. The PS3 actually got third-party support early on, and third-parties stuck with Sony despite the PS3 doing badly at the gate. This is not so with Nintendo.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: azeke on December 02, 2013, 10:50:41 PM
I can't wait to see Xbox One and PS4 sales drastically drop off into nothingness come January/February. Going to be a grand time.
Schadenfreude is bad for your soul. Don't do this or your will turn into jaded cynic (the most pitiful creature in my opinion).
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Sarail on December 02, 2013, 10:54:46 PM
I can't wait to see Xbox One and PS4 sales drastically drop off into nothingness come January/February. Going to be a grand time.
Schadenfreude is bad for your soul. Don't do this or your will turn into jaded cynic (the most pitiful creature in my opinion).
I'm sorry if that sounded as if I'll get pleasure from that situation, but I'm more looking forward to the actual numbers than anything. I just don't think this industry is stable any more. As has been mentioned in another thread on this forum - I, too, wonder which third parties will bite the dust this generation. It's getting quite scary.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on December 03, 2013, 01:43:27 AM
One of the main reasons for why the Wii U sales have been sluggish is because people have wanted to see what the PS4 and Xbone have to offer before making the plunge into the next generation.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on December 03, 2013, 02:46:22 AM
Nah, it's because it has no games.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on December 03, 2013, 05:43:30 AM
I can't wait to see Xbox One and PS4 sales drastically drop off into nothingness come January/February. Going to be a grand time.
Schadenfreude is bad for your soul. Don't do this or your will turn into jaded cynic (the most pitiful creature in my opinion).
I'm sorry if that sounded as if I'll get pleasure from that situation, but I'm more looking forward to the actual numbers than anything. I just don't think this industry is stable any more. As has been mentioned in another thread on this forum - I, too, wonder which third parties will bite the dust this generation. It's getting quite scary.

Well, so far Sony's off to a good start, as they recently announced they'd sold 2.1 million PS4s worldwide (http://blog.us.playstation.com/2013/12/03/ps4-global-sales-update/) as of Dec. 1st 2013.

For comparison, the Wii U sold 3.06 million units (http://www.polygon.com/2013/1/30/3931742/nintendos-earnings-wii-u-sales-had-a-negative-impact-on-profits) by the end of 2013.  I don't think it's unheard of that the PS4's sales could surpass that mark by the end of the year at this rate.  As for next year's sales, we'll see. I suspect that Infamous will prove to be far more of a system seller at that time of the year than its Wii U 2013 Counterpart: Lego City Undercover.


In before broodwars


I'll put up a likely sizeable post later explaining my reasoning, but suffice it to say I see very few similarities between what Sony did with the PS3 and what Nintendo is currently doing with the Wii U.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: ymeegod on December 03, 2013, 06:05:12 AM
The only reason sony didn't sell more it due to shortages.  The demand is there.

Once you lose "hype" with the casual market there's very little you can do to get it back especially if there's other products on the table.

One of the main reasons why the 3DS rebounded like it did was because the Vita fell flat on it's face.   I really can't see that happening with the One or PS4. 

------------
Racht is right about initial sales though because the WII U sold like hotcakes and then it fizzed down to nothing so we'll have to wait and see if sony and MS can do.

-------------

I'm expecting Sony to be the first one to clear the 10M mark.



Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on December 03, 2013, 08:24:21 AM
The Wii U sold like hotcakes for maybe two weeks. I was able to get mine so quickly because people were returning them to GameStop and canceling their pre-orders. There is no hype, there is no demand. There are no third party games. It's awesome that we'll get some really good Nintendo games on the system, but that's not enough to sell consoles to people that aren't in love with Nintendo.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: lolmonade on December 03, 2013, 08:47:51 AM
I hate to say it, but if the Wii U's specs were similar to the PS4/Xbox One, then we'd probably see 3rd party ports even with the lousy install base, if just because of it being easier to include the Wii U on the next-gen ports.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 03, 2013, 09:12:58 AM
I disagree. Third parties could have been porting PS3/360 games this whole time and for the most part, they haven't. Poor support has less to do with specs and more to do with Nintendo's lack of communication with third parties. That E3 sizzle reel seemed awesome at the time. In hindsight, those were probably the few third parties who even knew what Nintendo was planning. Don't expect support when you treat your partners like peons.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: ejamer on December 03, 2013, 09:56:23 AM
One interesting point:
Third parties made a concerted effort to port to PS3 last gen despite poor initial sales and an architecture that wasn't easy to develop for. Claims that it was similar to 360 are only true if you are talking about general power - the differences were pretty significant and you certainly saw that in game performance early on. Obviously this whole idea that an early loss is acceptable isn't happening with Wii U.


Wii U is what it is. At this point, I don't think that Nintendo will have any meaningful turnaround when it comes to sales figures or serious third party support.  As long as the Xenoblade "sequel" still gets released in the West, I'm ok with accepting Wii U as nothing more than a way to play exclusive first-party games.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: lolmonade on December 03, 2013, 11:58:30 AM
I disagree. Third parties could have been porting PS3/360 games this whole time and for the most part, they haven't. Poor support has less to do with specs and more to do with Nintendo's lack of communication with third parties. That E3 sizzle reel seemed awesome at the time. In hindsight, those were probably the few third parties who even knew what Nintendo was planning. Don't expect support when you treat your partners like peons.

It's probably a mixture of all these factors.  I think most businesses would put up with a partner they don't necessarily enjoy working with if it was equitable for them.  Regardless of the reason why, EA & some other publishers decided it was not worth the opportunity cost to release a port of some of these games on Wii U, and I don't fault them for that.  They're simply doing what a business does, looking at their options and choosing those that they believe will net them the biggest earnings.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 03, 2013, 12:17:37 PM
I disagree. Third parties could have been porting PS3/360 games this whole time and for the most part, they haven't. Poor support has less to do with specs and more to do with Nintendo's lack of communication with third parties. That E3 sizzle reel seemed awesome at the time. In hindsight, those were probably the few third parties who even knew what Nintendo was planning. Don't expect support when you treat your partners like peons.

They have to bring their teams up to speed on the Wii U in order to do a port.  The Wii U was going to be on par with the other major consoles for literally only one year.  So you go to all the trouble to get your teams familiar enough with the Wii U to include it in multiplatform development that will only work for a year?  Why bother?  Plus it isn't like the weak sales are surprising to anyone that thought the weak specs would be a problem.  So if you're a third party and any company releases a console you predict will fail, why would you bother supporting it?  Everyone knew the Wii U would be lapped by the other consoles within a year and then made some assumption about how the market would react to that.  Third parties would naturally make decisions regarding support based on that knowledge.

I can't wait to see Xbox One and PS4 sales drastically drop off into nothingness come January/February. Going to be a grand time. It's then that everyone will see just how big each respective console manufacturer's audiences truly are.

Right now, there's about three-and-a-half to four million dedicated Nintendo fans...still. It'll be interesting to see the size of MS/Sony's crew.

Dedicated fans don't make up the bulk of the videogame market.  It doesn't matter who has more fans, it matters who the gamers who don't have any personal attachment to any specific company choose.  If the market had such loyalties then we would never have seen that exodus from Nintendo to Sony.  Sega probably had more dedicated fans than Sony did but that was pretty much all Sega had while Sony had the support of the general public that just goes to where the games they're interested are.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 03, 2013, 12:46:19 PM
They have to bring their teams up to speed on the Wii U in order to do a port.  The Wii U was going to be on par with the other major consoles for literally only one year.  So you go to all the trouble to get your teams familiar enough with the Wii U to include it in multiplatform development that will only work for a year?  Why bother?
This is not the first time we've been over this. Support for PS3/360 didn't stop abruptly when PS4/One came out. And please stop ignoring the fact that Vigil Games ported the assets for Darksiders 2 in a matter of weeks.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: pokepal148 on December 03, 2013, 06:21:34 PM
Isn't it a bit early to make these judgements?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Khushrenada on December 03, 2013, 06:28:35 PM
It's never too early for knee-jerk reactions!
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 03, 2013, 10:30:47 PM
They have to bring their teams up to speed on the Wii U in order to do a port.  The Wii U was going to be on par with the other major consoles for literally only one year.  So you go to all the trouble to get your teams familiar enough with the Wii U to include it in multiplatform development that will only work for a year?  Why bother?
This is not the first time we've been over this. Support for PS3/360 didn't stop abruptly when PS4/One came out. And please stop ignoring the fact that Vigil Games ported the assets for Darksiders 2 in a matter of weeks.


Yeah, I think that the reason Wii U isn't getting games is because Nintendo has driven 3rd parties away with policies.  Most 3rd parties can easily port from one system to another with assets.  The first thing they would do is downgrade assets to 720p.  If that's not enough they could reduce frame rate to 30 FPS.  That should be enough for 95% of the games that don't have some ridiculous physics engine.  Otherwise physics tweaks may be necessary but not impossible. 


PS3 had third parties because Sony catered to the market they were catering too.  Nintendo has largely ignored the dominant FPS market and mature horror/adventure market.  It's not enough to get one game like a Darksiders too.  You need to get all the games that most people are interested for them to take notice of Wii U as a platform that they should consider purchasing. 


The only way for Nintendo to get third parties back is to pull an MS (with the first xbox) and commit to losing money to drive third parties to the Wii U.  We all know this won't happen, but Nintendo has been ignored so long by third parties that something drastic like that is the only way to pull them back.  I'm convinced that if Wii U was more powerful or if say Nintendo drops the Wii U and comes out with a new mid-life console that is more powerful than the PS4/Xbox1 that third parties will still ignore them.  They have a business model that says they can't make money on a Nintendo platform.  And if we are realistic we have to agree.  How often has Nintendo had the worse selling version of COD or Madden or some of the games that sell boatloads now a days. 
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: ymeegod on December 03, 2013, 10:56:53 PM
"Vigil Games ported the assets for Darksiders 2 in a matter of weeks."

Actually they had another team working on just the WII U port.  When you factor in manhours vs copy sold do you really think it was profitable for them?

How many third party titles failed to sell 50K on the WII U?  That's your reason why 3rd parties left Nintendo, it was because the core WII U owners weren't buying the software to begin with and I really wouldn't be surprised if AC and the Batman series skip the WII U down the road in the future.



Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on December 03, 2013, 11:06:49 PM
The difference between the Wii U and the PS3 is that Nintendo does not have to bleed billions of dollars trying to push their system into the market the same way Sony did by trying to get Blu-ray to be popular.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on December 03, 2013, 11:07:52 PM
I hate to say it (though I don't exactly know why), but Nintendo becoming a third party development company (for consoles at least) starts to make more sense every day.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Stratos on December 03, 2013, 11:09:52 PM
I really do think that all these good ports will dry up once devs fully extricate themselves from the PS360 gen. This is more of a trickle-down from those projects if anything. I would be happy if they kept doing WiiU ports and it is possible if sales can build over the holidays. For what it is worth, every Walmart I've gone to is clean out of Wii Us and their stock of games is visibly drained. My next concern is will they restock come January?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on December 03, 2013, 11:12:28 PM
Stratos you're crazy.

http://www.businessweek.com/news/2013-12-02/nintendo-seen-missing-target-sony-microsoft-sales-dwarf-wii-u (http://www.businessweek.com/news/2013-12-02/nintendo-seen-missing-target-sony-microsoft-sales-dwarf-wii-u)

If that's not a kick in the balls, I don't know what is. Microsoft and SONY did in 24 hours what Nintendo did in NINE MONTHS.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 03, 2013, 11:13:16 PM
Certainly Darksiders lost money and certainly business plans don't support most third parties developing for the Wii U. 


Maybe it's semantics, but I'd argue it's a cause and effect thing and the Wii U poor sales are the effect while previous generations of poor third party relations are the cause.  Some 3rd parties left during the Gamecube era.  Most left during the Wii era.  Now there are only a few left on the Wii U.  Because the third parties already left, people that are buying a Wii U are buying with the intent of using it for Nintendo games or family centric games. 


The Wii U needs a bunch of third party games to get people to consider it a competitor to Sony/Microsoft.  I'm largely pleased with the Wii U, but I have a PS3 for third party games (and maybe eventually a PS4) and I knew exactly what I was getting with the Wii U.  It's frustrating to watch Nintendo fall like this, but it was pretty obvious that their previous generations third party losses were going to hurt their console viability in the future.   
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on December 03, 2013, 11:30:31 PM
I hate to say it (though I don't exactly know why), but Nintendo becoming a third party development company (for consoles at least) starts to make more sense every day.

Nintendo will never go third party. They will simply leave the home console market until they get their bearing back and the market will support them once again. They will simply shift their resources to developing handheld games in the mean time. The 3DS successor will be some kind of portable home console hybrid any way.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Spak-Spang on December 03, 2013, 11:33:53 PM
I don't know if I would want Nintendo to go 3rd party.  But I do think it would be interesting if Nintendo HELPED design and collaborated with another console company to make a joint console.  I don't think Nintendo would do that with Sony, though, because they are both Japanese companies and there is much bad blood between them. 

But imagine for a second, Nintendo partners with Microsoft.  Nintendo and Microsoft's development teams together create a new handheld and console experience.  Both playing to each others strengths.  Nintendo can focus on the handheld experience and connecting the experience to the future console.  The Handheld would come out first in like 5-6 years after the 3DS is a huge success. 

Then the console could come out in 7-8 years.  It is launched with a lineup including the best Microsoft and Nintendo could have to offer, and all Nintendo games and Microsoft games are exclusive to the system, and Nintendo gains support from Microsoft for its handheld division. 

It sounds like an incredible win/win scenario. 
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Stratos on December 03, 2013, 11:38:15 PM
Before the XBox, Microsoft approached Nintendo to buy them and make them their gaming division. Nintendo flat out refused. They didn't want to be owned by a 'westerner'. I don't see Nintendo working with either of the major console devs.


Equally as unlikely is them teaming up with Valve or EA. I think most Nintendo fans would love to see a Nintendo-Valve teamup. I still wish that we could see a pointer-control version of Portal.

I need to get my WiiMote hooked up to my PC some time so I can dominate in TF2.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 03, 2013, 11:39:24 PM
Actually they had another team working on just the WII U port.  When you factor in manhours vs copy sold do you really think it was profitable for them?
Actually, TJ, according to (former) Vigil Games designer Haydn Dalton (http://www.polygon.com/2012/10/17/3518550/vigil-games-designer-says-wii-u-is-one-of-the-easier-consoles-to), "Initially, the base code port was tackled by our internal tech team, but as Darksiders 2 started to ramp up heavily, we handed ownership over to a separate team at THQ Montreal." So they started it themselves then handed it to another team. Ian keeps claiming that developers have to "bring their teams up to speed on the Wii U in order to do a port," and acting like it's a larger problem than it really is. Well, a designer from one of those teams that worked on a Wii U game flat-out said it's one of the easier platforms to develop for and they had their "core game up and running on it in a very short amount of time."
Quote
How many third party titles failed to sell 50K on the WII U?  That's your reason why 3rd parties left Nintendo, it was because the core WII U owners weren't buying the software to begin with and I really wouldn't be surprised if AC and the Batman series skip the WII U down the road in the future.
Based on a bunch of old ports? That's a rigged game. Releasing the entire Mass Effect Trilogy for $60 on PS3/360 weeks before a $60 port of just Mass Effect 3 on Wii was setting itself up to fail.

Here's a pretty telling reason why third party support sucks so hard on Wii U:
Quote
from Time for convincing third parties to support Wii U 'long passed,' says Bethesda's Pete Hines (http://www.polygon.com/2013/9/3/4689208/time-for-convincing-third-parties-to-support-wii-u-long-past-says)
"The time for convincing publishers and developers to support Wii U has long passed," Hines said. "The box is out.

"You have to do what Sony and Microsoft has been doing with us for a long time," he added. "And it's not that every time we met with them we got all the answers we wanted, but they involved us very early on and talked to folks like Bethesda and Gearbox [sic] and saying, 'here's what we're doing, here's what we're planning, here's how we think it's going to work.' To hear what we thought, from our tech guys and from an experience standpoint, what we thought.

"You have to spend an unbelievable amount of time up front doing that. If you're going to just decide, 'we're going to make a box, and this is how it's going to work and you should make games for it,' well, no. No is my answer."
He doesn't speak for every third party company, but I wouldn't be surprised if that's the prevailing attitude. Sony and Microsoft keep their partners in the loop, constantly bouncing ideas off them and asking for feedback. A lot of Nintendo fans like to blame third parties entirely, but it's Nintendo too. If third parties want better communication, I don't really see how this is a problem. I'm sure some companies want ridiculous payouts for exclusive content and whatnot, but a more open channel for communication is key. Nintendo has to be exponentially more proactive and third parties have to stop thinking Nintendo console owners want their scraps as if we should just take it because it's given and do so with a smile. This is not complicated. As a Wii U owner, if you treat me like you give a ****, you can have my money.
But imagine for a second, Nintendo partners with Microsoft.  Nintendo and Microsoft's development teams together create a new handheld and console experience.  Both playing to each others strengths.
Except Microsoft is a software company trying to move into hardware. I wouldn't want Nintendo to partner with a company that apparently knew about hardware overheating problems and sent the console to market anyway. In that regard, **** Microsoft right in the face. With a tire iron.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on December 03, 2013, 11:50:25 PM
Yeah, I'm sure the next DS/Handheld will be some Gameboy Ultra that doubles as a Wii U Controller, plays Wii U games, and is essentially the portable handheld version of the Wii U in the form of it's own GamePad with a little extra added to it.
This will be their "3rd Pillar"  of the gen and an experiment to phase out the failing Wii U by merging it with their successful handheld business.

This new handheld portable console will also have a Chromecast-like device that will allow streaming of content (2nd screen) directly to your TV using an additional HDMI port. It will be the size of a Roku just because Nintendo wants some brand presence on your shelf. It will also handle multiplayer family/party games by also allowing the use of wiimotes and connection of the sensor bar (Just Dance, Wii Sports, etc etc)

All to be announced in 2015.
you heard it here first.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Luigi Dude on December 04, 2013, 02:42:40 AM
We're still a long ways away before Nintendo releases a hybrid console.  The Wii was their most successful home console at 100 million units.  Even if the Wii U goes down as their worst selling home console, they'll still release one more home console to see if they can get Wii level sales again.

When Nintendo has a successful portable and home console, they make a lot more money then if they have just one successful hybrid console.  They're not going to say good bye to billions in potential profits even if the Wii U continues to struggle.  Since there's always the chance the next home console can be more successful, Nintendo isn't merging their systems no matter how the Wii U performs in the end.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on December 04, 2013, 02:59:49 AM
If you look at Nintendo's history they have all ways tried to merger the home console and handhelds together. The technology exists today for them to do this to an extent with the Wii U and 3DS.  If the broadband and wi-fi technology ever improves to allow what the Wii U is doing know away from home then I think Nintendo will have the 3DS successor as powerful as say the Vita with a clam shell design, and a hi-tech screen, and the ability to play console games miles away from the home console itself.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: ymeegod on December 04, 2013, 03:58:58 AM

"Based on a bunch of old ports? That's a rigged game"

Assassin's Creed IV, Batman Origins, Injustice, and hell even freaking CoD Ghosts haven't sold worth a **** on the WII U.  Even the exclusives haven't done much, Zombiu barely breaking the 1/2 million mark and not to mention Wonderful 101. 

--------------------



Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 04, 2013, 08:17:51 AM
You're citing poor sales of Wii U titles as the reason why third parties left Nintendo. While that's certainly not helping things, that's not the reason why third parties left. Rather, that's part of the reason why they haven't come back. And they won't come back if they're expecting fantastic sales on mostly old ports or if they're comparing sales on Wii U to sales on platforms that have been out for seven and eight years.

Besides skeleton support, third parties left Nintendo long before poor performance on Wii U. One of the main reasons being Nintendo sucking at communicating with them hence the rest of my previous post in response to you. This has always been a problem with Nintendo; it finally reached the tipping point when Sony gave third parties a viable alternative with the original Playstation. No one wants to deal with Nintendo's draconian policies when they don't have to. If things are ever going to change, it has to start there.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 04, 2013, 12:30:43 PM
The inferior hardware, even if it did attract ports, ultimately ensures that the Wii U will get the worst version of any multiplatform game.  Now that wouldn't be the case with PS360 ports but by this time next year the only games we'll still see on those systems will be sports games and scaled down versions of Call of Duty that only the poor kids will be stuck playing.  So maybe a third party is willing to go to the trouble to scale down their game and tweak it to get it to work on the lesser hardware.  What is the selling point to the consumer?  "Hey the Wii U has all the same games except that they're always shittier with downgraded textures and choppier framerates!"  You'll not win anybody over with that.  All you'll do is have some games for the Nintendo-only die hards to make do with, like the N64 port that's missing the FMV and red book audio or the Gamecube port that's missing the online mode.  Hey, I'm noticing a trend here!  You know why Madden doesn't sell well on Nintendo systems?  It's because it's the **** version for losers that can't afford a second console to get the "good" version.  No one who owned both a Nintendo console and another one would ever buy the inferior Nintendo version.  It's just a token effort to get a few extra sales from the Nintendo-only niche.

Though I do agree that Nintendo's policies do them no favours.  I don't think if they had their act together there but still had last gen hardware that that would have changed everything.  I think their lack of communication and their last gen hardware together creative a huge barrier of entry.  Nintendo had comparable hardware on the Gamecube but the same shitty policies and while they didn't do great they had better support than they did on any other console post-N64.  We got included in multiplatform games as often as we got excluded and until everyone else went online and Nintendo didn't, we didn't get inferior versions either.

I like the idea of Nintendo working with someone else on a console.  It would never happen but Nintendo is capable of both brilliance and massive stupidity so they would benefit greatly from a filter to kibosh the stupid ideas.  Third party wouldn't be so bad because I frankly think that game development is pretty much the only things in regards to consoles that they're good at anymore.  They don't even seem to want to make current hardware anymore.  At least if they were working on someone else's console they wouldn't be able to shoehorn in gimmick controllers or have idiotic online policies.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 04, 2013, 01:27:38 PM
Changing their policies and poor communication has to be the first step. Even if Wii U was closer to PS4/One, third parties would still tell Nintendo to take a hike until they start treating their partners better. I'm not claiming that better hardware wouldn't also be great, but Nintendo has proved in the past that third parties will support less powerful hardware if there's money to be made. Nintendo stuck with Gameboy for 37 years and DS trounced PSP. Opting for lower spec hardware is perhaps an additional barrier though one companies have overlooked in the past in favor of profits. If Nintendo can include higher specs and do so responsibly, they absolutely should. That's a topic for another time though. (I might finally write that topic tonight)

Ultimately, it's give and take. Nintendo shouldn't have to bow to third parties, but better communication is a reasonable request. I wouldn't even consider it a concession because it should go without saying. This is how to build stronger relationships. Since forever, Nintendo has just demanded things. Nope, back away not today, Disco Lady.

Nintendo is slow to change, but they've been known to be receptive to criticism. I'm glad Pete Hines from Bethesda put Nintendo's BS under the spotlight. For too long, third parties would regurgitate nonsense like "The controller is too unique." What? We all kind of knew Nintendo's policies were antiquated and sucky, but we would mostly hear anonymous murmurs. Now, Nintendo can't pretend it's not a problem. This time they got called out publicly while their console is struggling. It's pretty obvious what they should do. It's unfortunate that it should get to this point, but if it works (and hopefully, it will), so be it.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Phil on December 04, 2013, 02:25:11 PM
Going third-party would mean a whole change of Nintendo-- mass exodus of employees, less risks, no ability to work on games that are on hardware they're comfortable with, no features that come from Nintendo hardware that can't be found elsewhere, etc.


Those thinking it would be the same Nintendo and the same quality are sorely mistaken.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on December 04, 2013, 02:29:29 PM
If Nintendo had reached outside of it's bubble to talk to 3rd parties and share what they were working on and ask what would you like to do with what we are building, then they may have realized further potential in the product beyond what they were setting it up to be. They could have placed more importance on tweaking small things like CPU speed and RAM to be better optimized to achieve the things it's partners wanted to do.
Now that the partners have had input, and are able to do things they want to do, they are excited to work on the hardware and produce software that does the things they were excited about.

But nope. MS or Sony might steal our ideas for a tablet/touchscreen controller or secondary screen. Someone might come to market with a FLUDD like device in their game or have their character travel by bird or boat or something stupid like that. Secrecy takes importance over Support. Ignorance over Input. Control over Cooperation.
Changes need to be made, and if it's not gonna start at leadership, then it has to start at policy.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 04, 2013, 02:47:42 PM
That's pretty much the way I see it. +1, good sir. You are, as always, a gentleman and a scholar.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 04, 2013, 03:05:21 PM
Going third-party would mean a whole change of Nintendo-- mass exodus of employees, less risks, no ability to work on games that are on hardware they're comfortable with, no features that come from Nintendo hardware that can't be found elsewhere, etc.


Those thinking it would be the same Nintendo and the same quality are sorely mistaken.

It already is a different Nintendo.  Once the N64 scared off all the third parties we got a different Nintendo.  When the Wii started a new trend of Nintendo having out dated hardware we got a different Nintendo.  And I would say that with both changes the overall experience for a Nintendo console owner got worse.  It's happened and it can happen again.

Something will change.  Either they get out of consoles altogether or they switch to a handheld/console hybrid or they go third party.  They could change their policies and get their act together and come back but that would still be a change.  They could keep doing things the way they're doing and if the Wii U ain't the console that crashes and burns the next one is and then change comes.  We're getting a different Nintendo no matter what.

Really Nintendo just made some big mistakes with the N64 and have never gone back and addressed them.  They just introduced bad habits and policies that have dragged them down to this day.  The refusal to admit and address mistakes has become part of the company's culture: "Nintendo is always right.  Everyone outside of Nintendo is our enemy."  They need to step back, acknowledge when the train derailed and try to turn into the company they SHOULD have been at this point if they corrected the mistakes at the time they needed to be addressed.  And it isn't like Nintendo's historical quality is because of these negative traits.  Being an asshole to third parties, retailers, the media and their own damn customers has nothing to do with Mario and Zelda games being great.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 04, 2013, 03:31:55 PM
Phil - I think you have it backwards. Nintendo has totally refused risk and instead become a Mario factory. 3 core Mario games in year 1 of  the.Wii U?  This right after NSMB 2 and 3D Land were pumped out to save the 3DS. Titles like Fire Emblem Wii U publically spurned because they don't sell enough. Wii U product line is still not profitable per 10/31 reports. Iwata has spurned layoffs thus far. It's easy to do when you project 9 million units sold in 5 months or whatever their target is. When Nintendo misses that target (and they will)  Iwata is going to have a lot of pressure to do something. That could be to lay off or start supporting tablets or to have a plan to move away from the Wii U.

Either way there is no reason to believe Nintendo would have to lay off or wouldn't be able to optimize hardware they didn't create. Actually I think it would be great that software developers could focus on developing quality software and not be forced to use hardware features. Latest example being the tablet only 3D World levels. Does that really make the game better?



Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: ShyGuy on December 04, 2013, 03:53:20 PM
If Nintendo software developers could focus on quality software and not forced to use hardware features, we would have never had shoulder buttons or the analog stick.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on December 04, 2013, 03:55:43 PM
To say that Nintendo's developers have been hamstrung by the requirement to use hardware features anytime recently is insane. That was a valid criticism on the Wii but if anything they're not doing enough to showcase the Wii U functionality.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Luigi Dude on December 04, 2013, 03:59:38 PM
Phil - I think you have it backwards. Nintendo has totally refused risk and instead become a Mario factory. 3 core Mario games in year 1 of  the.Wii U?  This right after NSMB 2 and 3D Land were pumped out to save the 3DS. Titles like Fire Emblem Wii U publically spurned because they don't sell enough. Wii U product line is still not profitable per 10/31 reports. Iwata has spurned layoffs thus far. It's easy to do when you project 9 million units sold in 5 months or whatever their target is. When Nintendo misses that target (and they will)  Iwata is going to have a lot of pressure to do something. That could be to lay off or start supporting tablets or to have a plan to move away from the Wii U.

And yet we're still getting Shin Megami Tensei X Fire Emblem for the Wii U.  I like how you also forget the funding of games like The Wonderful 101, Bayonetta 2 and Monolith Soft's X.  Or the fact we finally got a Pikmin 3, a sequel to a game that came out 9 years ago and wasn't a big seller either, but was still allowed a more expensive full HD sequel instead of a cheaper 3DS one.

If Nintendo refused to take risks like you say, then non of the above games would exist.  And yet they do, since every single game above is 100% funded and released by Nintendo.  All the money spent on these titles could have been used for more Mario and yet they spent it on riskier new IP's or lesser known current IP's.  Hell The Wonderful 101 was originally suppose to star Nintendo characters but Nintendo allowed Kamiya to make it a completely knew series when he complained.  If that isn't risk taking then I don't know what is in your world.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 04, 2013, 04:29:57 PM
If Nintendo software developers could focus on quality software and not forced to use hardware features, we would have never had shoulder buttons or the analog stick.

The funny thing with hardware features is if they're great features you can't tell if anyone is forced to use them because it is so obvious that you would anyway.  The L&R buttons clearly weren't forced since Super Mario World barely uses them and I don't think A Link to the Past does at all.  On the SNES, games use the L&R buttons when it makes sense to or they pretty much never use them at all.  On the N64 I'm having trouble thinking of a Nintendo game that didn't use it so it's harder to tell if it was forced or not.  It didn't feel like it because the games controlled great.  Now Nintendo didn't really emphasize those features much anyway.  Those systems were mostly sold on the obvious technological leap they provided over the previous generation.  It was all Mode 7 and the leap to full 3D.

Now on the Wii the controller was the center of the marketing so there was obvious pressure to use it.  I think a good indicator is how much third parties, who are not going to feel any need to "sell" us on questionable features, actually use it.

On the Wii U though, they do seem to be a lot less interested in pushing the Gamepad than one would expect.  Okay, so why are you making us buy this expensive controller and likely compromising the specs to keep the system at an affordable price point?  It's like they learned from the forced remote usage but didn't realize that basing the whole system around a pack-in accessory kind of requires you to force the usage to justify it.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 04, 2013, 05:24:55 PM
To say that Nintendo's developers have been hamstrung by the requirement to use hardware features anytime recently is insane. That was a valid criticism on the Wii but if anything they're not doing enough to showcase the Wii U functionality.

I stand by my criticism that they are forcing it in games where it doesn't make sense. With the Wii, it made games worse at times. With the Wii U it doesn't make things worse. It's just annoying and doesn't make them better. Another example is Pikmin 3. I plop down with my pro controller to play since I preferred the smaller Gamecube-like controller. I wasn't 5 min into the game when I got a message. Well okay how do I answer it?  Oh, I can't get a gamestopping message to show on the tv?  I have to go pick up the gamepad sitting in the cradle?  That was stupid and I felt like I was forced to use the gamepad and the pro controller was useless except for multiplayer. Now did using the gamepad to play the game make the game substantially worse the way motion controls did in making me spin jump to my death in NSMB?  No they didn't and that's not my argument. My point is it was forced and added nothing to the game.

Shy - You're missunderstanding me. I don't hate the gamepad and games that take advantage of it like Nintendoland are welcome to use it. My problem is when they force it into traditional games where it doesn't make sense like the two examples I've given where it clearly adds nothing to the game.

Luigi - I'm not really going to get in a big argument because I feel that's offtrack and goes back into the history and decisions of each console to know if Nintendo's riskier or more adverse to risk at this time. I feel Nintendo has been safe and I don't recall a time when they've gone to the well this much with their main franchises. I also think Nintendo thought the Wii U would sell much more making those choices less risky st the time. For instance, I don't think Nintendo would greenlight Pikmin 3 today knowing what they know about the Wii U and in general Nintendo has filled their schedule with delayed titles rather than announce anything new and exciting recently.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 04, 2013, 06:05:14 PM
To say that Nintendo's developers have been hamstrung by the requirement to use hardware features anytime recently is insane. That was a valid criticism on the Wii but if anything they're not doing enough to showcase the Wii U functionality.
I don't think management is forcing the developers to use certain hardware features as a requirement or something. However, I believe sometimes Nintendo's developers force themselves and that's why it's been somewhat uninspired in certain games. For example, the GamePad doesn't really work that well in Super Mario 3D World. It felt like they decided to use the GamePad because it's there, not because they had any interesting ideas that couldn't be implemented within the confines of their design otherwise.

I agree that they aren't doing enough showcase it. A sequel to 3D Land isn't the right game to do it with while Zelda Wii U might. I really want to see another game from Nintendo that revolves around the GamePad. They have to design a game with the GamePad in mind from the get-go, not design a game then think of ways the GamePad might be useful.
On the Wii U though, they do seem to be a lot less interested in pushing the Gamepad than one would expect.  Okay, so why are you making us buy this expensive controller and likely compromising the specs to keep the system at an affordable price point?  It's like they learned from the forced remote usage but didn't realize that basing the whole system around a pack-in accessory kind of requires you to force the usage to justify it.
I don't think it's fair to make that assumption. Third parties aren't interested in Wii U in general, but I doubt it's rooted in the GamePad. If there was no GamePad, we'd probably be looking at the same level of support.

And for the love of Jebus, man, would you stop calling the GamePad expensive without context? We've been over this 42716261717473818 times already. You keep complaining about this without also acknowledging that every other controller on the market today is obscenely and insanely expensive because these companies are selling them for like $50 to $60 when it costs them $5 to $20 (for the new consoles, maybe) to make. There's nothing that expensive in the GamePad itself.

You keep pushing the same nonsense that the GamePad compromised the specs. Explain, please. Seriously. Are you claiming research and development cost? Every company has sunk millions on research and development, but those are operating costs. It apparently bears repeating that Nintendo has been following Gunpei Yokoi's philosophy for decades, well after he left Nintendo. This is not new. Even without the GamePad, Nintendo wasn't shooting for the stars with the specs. Look at 3DS. It's a sizable spec bump over DS and perhaps a bit higher than expected, but when you look at Vita, it's obvious Nintendo could have taken it so much further. As long as Nintendo keeps their policies the same, the specs Nintendo chooses will always be modest. People always point to GameCube, but had Nintendo released GameCube a year earlier, directly against PS2, the specs undoubtably would have been reflective of the year it was released. Wii is the oddball. It's the only Nintendo console that was deliberately behind where Nintendo would have traditionally ended up hardware wise.

TLDR: You're killing me, Smalls.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Spak-Spang on December 04, 2013, 06:22:44 PM
Phil - I think you have it backwards. Nintendo has totally refused risk and instead become a Mario factory. 3 core Mario games in year 1 of  the.Wii U?  This right after NSMB 2 and 3D Land were pumped out to save the 3DS. Titles like Fire Emblem Wii U publically spurned because they don't sell enough. Wii U product line is still not profitable per 10/31 reports. Iwata has spurned layoffs thus far. It's easy to do when you project 9 million units sold in 5 months or whatever their target is. When Nintendo misses that target (and they will)  Iwata is going to have a lot of pressure to do something. That could be to lay off or start supporting tablets or to have a plan to move away from the Wii U.

Either way there is no reason to believe Nintendo would have to lay off or wouldn't be able to optimize hardware they didn't create. Actually I think it would be great that software developers could focus on developing quality software and not be forced to use hardware features. Latest example being the tablet only 3D World levels. Does that really make the game better?


It is interesting you mention the smaller games.  It is like Nintendo is willing to give us 1 or 2 smaller less known franchise every few years.  However, they never build those franchises up, because they don't sell Mario and Zelda numbers...or even Metroid numbers.  But you know what...THEY SHOULDN'T have to.  If Nintendo had more realistic expectations for some of their other franchises and built them up and allowed them to mature they could do better.  And if they MARKETED these games, Nintendo could have some great IPs grow into larger mainstream IPs.

But right now, Nintendo is focused on what games sell a system, and Nintendo thinks all Mario and all Zelda games sell and push systems.  This just isn't true.  Re-releasing a Zelda game that most gamers at the time viewed as a lower quality Zelda game, with few additions does not make a system seller.  Nor does creating 3 Mario games within 1 year.  Especially, because I feel all those Mario games despite being great games feel kinda lazy.  New Super Mario Wii U is old school gaming with unimaginative 3D modeled Mario graphics and traditional Mario game play.  I personally LOVE those games.  However, I am not naive, I know others look at it as been there done that.  If Nintendo wanted to make waves with the New Super Mario series, they would do something with beautiful HD sprites.

Now, Super Mario 3D World is the Mario game that should have been available at launch to lead the new console.  Also, Wind Waker HD if it was going to be released at all is a launch game, not a lead up holiday title. 

At this point Nintendo really needs to rethink their franchises and be more careful with when and how they release them. 

Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on December 04, 2013, 06:55:08 PM
The thing is that there is so much Nintendo could do with that GamePad that would instantly improve the perceived value of it and the system, but alot of it has nothing to do with the games.

Full on Universal Remote would make owning this worth the hassle.
A Logitech Harmony remote can cost anywhere from ~$80 for basic w/ small screen up to $500 for a GamePad sized one. Nintendo could have swooped in on that whole market, and included a gaming system/netflix machine to go with it..... at a fraction of the price of their comparable highend model too. Not to mention it could probably outshine it in features since it's more than just the remote to control, but an internet capable device w/ a camera and other such tech inside.

and that is just one of the more obvious things they could have done, and probably still can do if they wanted to.

So it's one thing to make the tech and then force the software to somehow utilize it.
But it's another thing entirely to make the tech, and then gimp it from being useful by limiting the scope of the software for it.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Spak-Spang on December 04, 2013, 07:20:09 PM
Nintendo are old school video game visionaries.  Nothing wrong with that.  In fact, in this era of gaming we really NEED that.  But we also NEED visionaries in all areas.  And we need for Nintendo to not just look at the market now, but into the future. 

I feel Nintendo is too conservative.  They release each new system with a gimmick, and they look into how the future for the next gimmick.  For example.  Nintendo should have never needed a Wii remote plus.  Nintendo knew the technology wasn't perfect.  And they had probably been experimenting with how to make it more perfect.  They should have perfected the controller then released.  heck even if it meant the Wii was out a year later, Nintendo then could have upped the specs to be closer to the Xbox 360 or PS3 for cheaper. 

Nintendo has some great ideas with the Wii U.  But if Nintendo would have been less secretive, and went to their partners they could have developed a better system, and had more features ready from the start.

I really think Nintendo is a great company, that needs to get new visionary leadership.  They need to keep their talent they have, but completely shake up management and direction, and begin to push the limits again. 
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 04, 2013, 07:41:46 PM
I don't see how the Gamepad could possibly NOT be expensive.  It has a giant touchscreen in it.  If it isn't expensive why do we even have the cheaper Pro option?  Every extra doodad that goes into the standard package has some manufacturing cost.  It is just logical that a controller with a touchscreen in it costs more than the "normal" controller the Pro is because they're like the same thing but one has more parts.  Well Nintendo isn't taking a loss on the Gamepad, they're incorporating it's more expensive manufacturing costs into the price (or at least they were prior to the price cut).  Well perhaps that manufacturing cost could have come towards hardware specs that are a little more comparable to modern consoles.

The Wii was basically a rebranded Gamecube with a new controller.  Controller vs. up-to-date hardware.  Well the Wii U is the same thing.  It's last gen hardware (and was so when it came out; it is not conventional hardware for 2012) but it's got a fancy controller.  Once again we have controller vs. up-to-date hardware.  Up-to-date hardware matters, gimmick controllers only impress rubes.  Give me the up-to-date hardware or I don't buy your obsolete-from-birth product.  If you have to ditch the stupid touchscreen to make such a console an affordable product then so be it.

Of course this whole thing brings up another issue with the whole Wii U design.  It's clearly another Wii.  It's last gen hardware with a gimmicky controller that will inspire gameplay "innovation" that will provide the "newness" for the console.  Well that means that everyone knows what to expect from it: good or bad.  Nothing about the Wii U surprises me.  I knew the third party support would suck and that the controller would be nothing but a lame gimmick that only a handful of titles would make any decent use of.  I knew that because that's what happened with the Wii.  Well what person that owned a Wii couldn't guess what they would be getting into with the Wii U?  Do people want to buy another Wii and deal with all the shortcomings that system had?  Anyone who was not happy with their Wii purchase was not going to take a chance on the Wii U.  The Wii's sales don't matter.  How satisfied were people with their purchase?  Whenever a videogame series loses its popularity it isn't the bad game that has the weak sales, it's the one that follows it.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Spak-Spang on December 04, 2013, 09:39:23 PM
Well, technically, it isn't much more expensive to manufacture.  It is probably 10-15 dollars more a controller to make, but then businesses need to make a profit, so they need to have a profit margin that helps eliminate the risk and provide profit for the manufacturing of the product. 

I don't want to sound down on Nintendo.  I believe Nintendo's mind and heart are in the right places.  I think they realize hardware and new specs alone are not enough to truly be next generation.  However, they fail to see that a gimmick alone is not enough.  You need both. 

This is where I wish Nintendo would start to think and act more like a global business.  I feel they behave like they are strictly a Japanese company.  They do not give true control and authority to NOA.  They need to allow NOA to pursue games for Western gamers and develop experiences that will help increase Nintendo's public perception.  That does not mean making M rated games...you can do all this without doing that.  And for goodness sake...don't just do something differently, because you think it is the Nintendo way to do it.  Try to do the best way...even if that is copying others.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 04, 2013, 10:05:54 PM
Ian, certainly the Wii U is not perfect from a hardware perspective.  But's its much closer than the Wii was and a good looking game on the Wii U will look comparable enough to most people.  That and the Gamepad is so much better than the Wiimote for most traditional games so I think it is much better than a Wii-redux.  Yes, they tried to sell a gimmick, but Madden on the Wii U is awesome unlike Madden on the Wii because you can easily get around the gimmick. 


I think the key is, if the Wii U was the PS4 (better tech, no gamepad), except priced at $300 does it make a difference?  In my mind no.  I don't think third parties flock to the Wii U (PS4), I don't think consumers flock to it.  Marginally more sales from techies but most consumers pick a console based on games and the Wii U in my opinion would be as lacking as it is now. 


It does make me wonder though.  I'm not big into "mature games" for the sake of mature games, but clearly the demographics for gaming have increased and mature games lead the market in sales (other than Nintendo games).  I wouldn't want a mature Mario/Zelda/Metroid, but what if Nintendo were to release a Watchdogs or Uncharted or some new mature series that would knock peoples socks off?  I think if they were to come out with a AAA mature series that was exclusive, that may get more people to consider buying a Wii U even if it's just in additional to a PS4/XBO.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on December 04, 2013, 10:07:53 PM
The initial costs of the GamePad were probably pretty high, but I'm sure producing them now is not very expensive. LCDs are cheap and so are resistive touch screens. Buttons are cheap. Bluetooth is cheap. WiFi is cheap. I can't see the GamePad costing more than $30 to make at this point.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: MagicCow64 on December 04, 2013, 11:42:43 PM
I don't think either moving the Wii U up two years or releasing a PS4-tech competitor now would have made much of a difference. For the earlier Wii U, you might have received more PS360 ports then and now, but probably still less than even the Gamecube, which would still dry out next year as major titles moved to PS4/XBONE. And in that scenario, Nintendo would have been even less prepared with their own software. So then they would have needed to have gotten on the ball circa 2008, a time period in which the Wii was still doing gangbusters. And then you could argue that the Wii should have been PS360 equivalent, which they would have started ramping up for in 2004. Etc., etc. Basically, you're asking for them to have been a different company with a different philosophy for the last 10+ years.


On the other hand, a jump to PS4 specs now would likely have been a bigger disaster. It would have cost more, sold less, and have a negligible software differential. That could have been a console they pulled the plug on. They won't drop the Wii U, but I could see them retiring it early for whatever comes next. You can be certain that they have all their teams working on WiiU software through 2015. If the holidays go as badly as they seem poised to, in the next year Nintendo will have to map out a post-Zelda gameplan. A confounding factor is how to appease stockholders without publicly revealing long-term strategy, RE: the console wars.


I would caution, however, about being too credulous about hot air from Bethesda or whoever. I think it's been pretty clear for a while that the western players want Nintendo out of the hardware game, and they'll talk all the trash they can. As I recall, Nintendo did indeed perform unprecedented outreach to the west when designing the WiiU, and it still got them nowhere, aside from blackballed from EA.


Finally, I'm seeing a lot of poo-pooing of the gamepad. Sure, it's not revolutionary, and probably will never be (nor was the DS), but offscreen play/video streaming is fucking rad. I get a ton of use out of it. Given the choice between purchasing a game on a platform with offscreen play or full online features, I'd go for the offscreen. I think it's a major undersold strength of the WiiU, much more compelling than mini-maps, inventories, or what-have-you.




Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Spak-Spang on December 04, 2013, 11:58:30 PM
I do wonder what Nintendo's long term gameplay is for the Wii U. 

Obviously, they were wanting to make a mass market appealing device that can be affordable quickly, and have new ways of playing.  They also saw that the technology wasn't quite there yet for 2 Game Pads to be supported. 

I wonder if Nintendo is looking at constantly building upon previous generations.  The Wii U still uses all the accessories of the Wii.  Not only that but the Wii Technology is mostly perfected.  The Wiimote + controllers are very good, and work as they should.  You could enhance that Nunchuk attachment, but it is not necessary. 

I wonder if the Wii U successor was going to go that same direction.  Perhaps enable multiple streaming Gamepads, and come with a Game pad with a higher resolution screen and perhaps multi-touch sensors?  If this is truly Nintendo's game plan, then I think they can ride the Wii U for 4-5 years and release this next system early.

Nintendo will still need to leap frog some the Xbox One and PS4 in grahics, but it is possible that doing this will put them in a good position for the Wii reNU. (As I would dub it.)
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 05, 2013, 01:20:40 AM
I don't see how the Gamepad could possibly NOT be expensive.  It has a giant touchscreen in it.  If it isn't expensive why do we even have the cheaper Pro option?
Is that a serious question? Nintendo originally only had one GamePad working. They eventually managed to get two working before launch. The Pro Controller exists for four-player games. Jebus, man, it's like you're not even trying.

See, this isn't about being expensive; it's about Nintendo being shortsighted again. The main problem with the GamePad is Nintendo had this idea and didn't run with it. It's like they didn't even consider having more than one per console. What the? It reminds me when Nintendo didn't include Motion Plus in the original Wii Remote. Fortune favors the bold. Want an idea to catch on? Do everything to help it catch on. For Motion Plus and the GamePad, it may have been wise to eat the cost initially. If an extra GamePad cost Nintendo $X, sell it for $X-Y. Eventually, the price of components drops as it always does and they no longer take a loss. More importantly, Nintendo releases a better product and more people have it.
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Every extra doodad that goes into the standard package has some manufacturing cost.  It is just logical that a controller with a touchscreen in it costs more than the "normal" controller the Pro is because they're like the same thing but one has more parts.
For the eleventy billionth time, every controller on the market is marked up egregiously. You're out of your damn mind if you think a Pro Controller costs Nintendo anywhere close to MSRP to make. The Pro Controller even has fewer things in it than a five year old Dual Shock 3 which I don't believe has ever dropped in price. Why is this a problem when Nintendo does it and not a problem when Sony does it?

CNN Money (http://money.cnn.com/video/technology/2013/03/18/t-ts-nintendo-wii-u-teardown.cnnmoney/) hired a company to estimate the cost of Wii U. They valued the GamePad at $79.25. Let's just assume that's true for argument's sake. In 2012, Nintendo is still not coming close to a PS4 if that $80 was put towards better hardware. Nintendo would still be left with a console that requires developers to scale down their games. It's the same problem without the GamePad so your point to put the cost of the GamePad toward more powerful hardware is moot.
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Once again we have controller vs. up-to-date hardware.
You can't be this daft. We've been over this so many times. Nintendo has had the same philosophy on hardware since ALWAYS. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gunpei_Yokoi) It's not controller vs up-to-date hardware by a damn sight. It's hardware with new controller vs. the same hardware without new controller. You need to drop this if-Nintendo-didn't-include-a-gimmick-controller-they-would-have-included-better-hardware line of thinking because it is patently false. Nintendo didn't choose one over the other. They have only ever chosen modest hardware.

Going back to what spurred this discussion, you can't just throw better hardware at third parties and solve all the problems. A Wii U with better specs is still a Wii U released by a Nintendo with limited communication and ass policies. They don't fix those things, they don't fix anything.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Stogi on December 05, 2013, 01:33:46 AM
This is an interesting debate but it's definitely not analogous. PS3 was higher end and came out later. There's no comparison here.

There is however some interesting aspects of the PS3 that made it successful that could be applied to the Wii U. For one, allow linux. Despite the high price, people bought the PS3 because it was potentially a powerful linux box. it wasn't until Sony decided to renig that all hell broke loose with hackers, but that's besides the point. The point is that a linux box with a touchscreen could be a huge deal for those looking to customize their living room experience. Both Sony and Microsoft are trying to become Apple in the living room, i.e. provide a platform that they have complete control over. Adding linux to the Wii U could be a very definitive move in garnering support from even the most jaded of videogame enthusiasts.

EDIT:

Nintendo should really make a real theme park.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on December 05, 2013, 07:55:47 AM
PS3 launched a week before the Wii.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Stogi on December 05, 2013, 12:06:23 PM
But a year after the xbox.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Khushrenada on December 05, 2013, 12:21:20 PM
So then, PS4 is the new Wii?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 05, 2013, 12:26:56 PM
You can't be this daft. We've been over this so many times. Nintendo has had the same philosophy on hardware since ALWAYS. (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gunpei_Yokoi) It's not controller vs up-to-date hardware by a damn sight. It's hardware with new controller vs. the same hardware without new controller. You need to drop this if-Nintendo-didn't-include-a-gimmick-controller-they-would-have-included-better-hardware line of thinking because it is patently false. Nintendo didn't choose one over the other. They have only ever chosen modest hardware.

Don't fuckin' insult me, particularly when your "fact" is revisionist history.  Nintendo has gone with last gen out-of-date hardware since 2006 and no earlier.  The NES, SNES, N64 and Gamecube were all cutting edge console hardware at the time of their release comparable to the competing consoles of the same generation.  The Wii was the exception and the Wii U continues this new direction.  We've only been over this many times because this outright Nintendo propaganda Reggie-might-as-well-have-written-this LIE keeps coming up.  Do you know how big of a jump the Famicom was over consoles like the Colecovision and Atari 5200?  It supported scrolling and you could play music in the background the whole game and every sprite was multiple colours.  It was incredibly advanced future-proofed hardware, while the Wii U got lapped after one single lousy year.

Anyway, I find it very odd that Nintendo feels this need to rely on gimmick controllers to stand out.  It shows a real lack of confidence because Nintendo has always had something that stands out: their first party lineup is better than everyone else's.  If they had comparable hardware and features and had the same third party games then the whole comparison goes to exclusives, which Nintendo could easily win no-contest (unless they just made 2D sidescrollers that could have been done on 20 year old hardware).  Nintendo's attempts to be unique means that Mario and Zelda don't just have to compete with Halo and Uncharted but also GTA and Bioshock and Elder Scrolls and Fallout and Street Fighter and Metal Gear and Soul Calibur and Final Fantasy and so on and so on.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on December 05, 2013, 01:35:04 PM
Ian Sane, you are silly. And wrong. The SNES has been underpowered since the SNES days. Sega does what Ninendon't? Sonic able to go really really fast and Super Mario could not? Ring a fucking bell? No, sorry, Nintendo has never been cutting edge, but the gap has certainly gotten larger.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on December 05, 2013, 01:47:44 PM
If you were to put aside the storage medium the N64 was fairly cutting edge, at least as far as game consoles go. And the SNES was a weird case where it did a bunch of things better than the Genesis but Sega had advantages of their own. The GameCube on paper was underpowered but could do just about anything the Xbox could if you knew how to use it. There's a huge difference between that kind of thing and the way in which the Wii and Wii U were and are underpowered.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Sarail on December 05, 2013, 01:51:00 PM
I see Oblivion has fallen into SEGA's marketing hype. You're about 21-22 years late, though.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 05, 2013, 01:59:45 PM
Don't fuckin' insult me, particularly when your "fact" is revisionist history.  Nintendo has gone with last gen out-of-date hardware since 2006 and no earlier.
No. Nice try. Nintendo released a non-color handheld when color LCDs were available yet impractical. So, there's that. Additionally, Wii U is the first piece of hardware Nintendo sold at a loss at launch. They've profited from day one with every other piece of hardware prior. Do you really think Nintendo managed to sell cutting edge hardware for under $200? No, sir, they have never used cutting edge hardware ever. There was always better hardware available and Nintendo chose modest hardware in order to profit day one at a mass market price. You can take back that revisionist history nonsense because there's no evidence for that and tons of evidence to the contrary.

Sony tried launching with cutting edge technology and they lost like $300 per unit. Wii is only an exception in that it still would have been underpowered even if Sony and Microsoft had not forced the HD era. Nintendo aimed really low while the other two aimed really high.

Let me put it this way: The Wii U Basic Set was $300 and sold at a loss. Subtract the $80 CNN estimated the GamePad cost at launch. That's $220 for a console (and say $10 for a Pro Controller in lieu of the GamePad) in 2012. Would they sell at $200 at a loss or $250 and profit? If I had to guess, I'd bet on the latter because Nintendo selling a console at launch was unheard of (especially after the 3DS fiasco). In any case, that price is around what Nintendo has set MSRP for their consoles in the past. Point being Wii U's hardware is right where one would expect them to be in 2012

You keep insisting (incorrectly, I might add) that Nintendo chosing modest hardware is this new, unheard of thing. It's not new, not even remotely. Wii U is underpowered compared to PS4/One. No one is going to argue that. However, stop acting like Nintendo has changed. What has changed is that their completion isn't Sega or any other company that couldn't/wasn't willing to incur massive losses to push more powerful hardware. Nintendo, for better or worse, has been acting like Nintendo pretty consistently since always

I should add that since their competition has changed, perhaps Nintendo should as well. How and what they should change is a different discussion.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: ShyGuy on December 05, 2013, 02:43:45 PM
I like the word 'daft'.

It's classy.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 05, 2013, 02:50:45 PM
Being underpowered compared to the other competing consoles is a change.  Prior to the Wii it did not happen.  You can call the SNES "modest" if you want but you're hanging on the semantics of the word.  I expect a console to be of comparable hardware to the other consoles of the same generation.  I got that from Nintendo for four generations and then they changed and they don't offer that anymore.  That's different.  Maybe Sony and MS have raised the bar but Nintendo used to match and I expect them to do so.  And if they don't want to do that, then they should get out of the console biz and go third party.  They used to match, now they don't.  They changed.  From the perspective of a consumer they are now offering a different type of product than they did when I first became a fan.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 05, 2013, 03:10:32 PM
/facepalm

Nintendo has been so consistent with how they've always built hardware that they changed? How the **** does that even...

Actually, no... I'm done here. If anyone needs me, I'll be in my rocket ship because I don't want to live on this planet anymore.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on December 05, 2013, 03:28:50 PM
Nintendo's philosophy has been consistent, but the way it's been implemented has changed. There's no denying that, relative to their competition, Wii and Wii U were pretty different from their previous consoles. Whether that's good or bad can be debated, but I don't see how you can argue there's no difference.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on December 05, 2013, 04:16:41 PM
Being underpowered compared to the other competing consoles is a change.  Prior to the Wii it did not happen.  You can call the SNES "modest" if you want but you're hanging on the semantics of the word.  I expect a console to be of comparable hardware to the other consoles of the same generation.  I got that from Nintendo for four generations and then they changed and they don't offer that anymore.  That's different.  Maybe Sony and MS have raised the bar but Nintendo used to match and I expect them to do so.  And if they don't want to do that, then they should get out of the console biz and go third party.  They used to match, now they don't.  They changed.  From the perspective of a consumer they are now offering a different type of product than they did when I first became a fan.

Starting with the NES, Nintendo used to set the bar, everyone else attempted to meet or raise that bar with differing results (3DO, CDi, Saturn, etc etc)
Starting with the introduction of the Xbox, Sony and MS have started a Tech War for the livingroom, so Nintendo is no longer the bar setter (so to speak). We are now in round 2.5 of that battle for the set-top box that rules the living room. This is not the battle Nintendo wanted to fight, but it is one they are apart of.
They can pretend that this isn't happening and bury their heads in the sand, march to their own beat or whatever, but when the dust settles, Nintendo is the one that is going to be buried in the rubble if they don't find a way secure a victory in this war. Companion box w/ only Nintendo games is losing it's appeal quite quickly, so Nintendo better play ball or become find themselves becoming quite obsolete.

I'm not saying they need a monster spec machine to compete. But they need to do the best they can with what they have, and they have left so much on the table with the Wii U that it's not even funny. Their frugality with the Wii U may have actually crippled the machine from being all it can be, but it still doesn't even appear that they are trying to achieve that anyway.

That is something Nintendo should have learned from Sony.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 05, 2013, 04:32:21 PM
Well, I'm back from space...
Nintendo's philosophy has been consistent, but the way it's been implemented has changed. There's no denying that, relative to their competition, Wii and Wii U were pretty different from their previous consoles. Whether that's good or bad can be debated, but I don't see how you can argue there's no difference.
It's not that there's no difference. Rather, I'd argue that the industry changed around Nintendo and if anything, they failed or decided not to adapt. If you've always worn polka dots and continue to do so even after everyone starts wearing stripes, you're now different, but you didn't change at all. The circumstances have changed; Nintendo has not.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 05, 2013, 04:45:05 PM
I think the difference is that Adrock is looking at the internal policies of Nintendo the company and I'm looking at the product that is released to the public.  Perhaps Nintendo has not changed their policies internally when designing the Wii U.  They're thinking "we're still making modest hardware".  As the consumer I see that prior to the Wii their consoles kept up in the hardware arms race and now they don't.  Now they're consistently one generation behind.  To me it seemed their philosophy was "make an impressive console that's future proofed to keep up with competitors".  That's what the product used to be, and perhaps that came about by coincidence as it fit within Nintendo's internal approach.  But I became a fan of Nintendo partially because their hardware was impressive and compared well with the competition and now they don't offer that so I'm not buying their product.  And the Wii U ain't selling so I imagine the public perception in general is similar to mine.

Internally Nintendo's policy towards third parties is probably hardly no different than it was in the NES days (it actually is LESS restrictive now).  Ah, but the NES and SNES had great third party support and everything since the N64 has had horrible support.  So while Nintendo hasn't really changed their internal policies, the market has changed and sticking to these policies has resulted in a different product going out to the consumer.

Now what matters more?  Nintendo's philosophies or the market's expectations?  Since I'm a consumer, and not an employee of Nintendo, all I really care about is the resulting product.  They used to have good third party support, now they don't.  They used to keep up with the console hardware of their competitors, now they don't.  I don't really give a **** how this is accomplished within Nintendo's offices.  Nintendo, you used to offer a console with "current" hardware that had healthy third party support.  That's what you made when I became a fan.  That is what I will buy and nothing less.  I put up with the loss of third party support, mostly because I assumed in good faith that you would address the issue, but compromising the hardware was too much for me.

Hell I have a similar approach to Mario.  I observed the innovation and creativity of each Mario game as a key element of the Mario experience.  I lost interest in NSMB because it's approach compromises my interpretation.  Perhaps when Nintendo was making SMB3 they were just thinking "we've got to improve this until we have a good template we can milk with later sequels."  But from the consumer perspective I just noticed that each Mario game was more ambitious and creative than the last so that's what I expect.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 05, 2013, 08:52:24 PM

Sony tried launching with cutting edge technology and they lost like $300 per unit. Wii is only an exception in that it still would have been underpowered even if Sony and Microsoft had not forced the HD era. Nintendo aimed really low while the other two aimed really high.


That's not a fair determination.  Sony lost tons of money to push Blu-Ray.  As the price of blu dropped, the price of the PS3 dropped and they were eventually able to make a profit on it. 


The past really is irrelevant though.  Look at current gen.  By Nintendo's account they have sold the Wii U at a loss and are still selling it at a loss.  Sony/Microsoft haven't officially commented, but according to tear downs they are both making a day 1 profit.  Price isn't as important as meeting consumer demands.  Hardware alone isn't the reason Sony/Microsoft are winning, but they are clearing meeting consumer demand better at this point and it will likely be a big bump to their financials. 
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on December 05, 2013, 09:30:59 PM
If Nintendo is still selling the Wii U at a loss (which I doubt) it's only because the sales have been so terrible and the costs have not dropped. I have a hard time believing that it was ever sold at a loss and if it was, it couldn't have been that much.

One other thing to mention is that the bill of materials is not the total cost, there is, assembly (which may be included in the BOM), shipping to the US, etc, shipping to each state, etc. It doesn't increase total coss by *that much* but it isn't free. Also these are being sold to retailers (unless you buy direct) and they don't pay MSRP. Profit margins are typically pretty low on game consoles (around $12 from last generation, IIRC).
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 05, 2013, 09:42:51 PM
The point wasn't that it was all encompassing. Its impossible for us to know all those costs. The point is Sony/Microsoft came with an economical box this time because they are ready to make $ on consoles. Both actually need it as Windows and offuce software is tanking and Sonys electronics division is tanking. They no longer can afford to subsidize consoles so not competing on that ground doesn't make sense anymore.

I'll find the Iwata quote when I get home. 10/31 he admitted Wii U was still a financial drain. That may be because its not selling enough to cover r&d, overheads ect.  But that just means they've made mistakes and the Wii U is thus far a failure.

Psn and live are now mandatory and will be cash cows too.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: shingi_70 on December 05, 2013, 10:10:10 PM
The point wasn't that it was all encompassing. Its impossible for us to know all those costs. The point is Sony/Microsoft came with an economical box this time because they are ready to make $ on consoles. Both actually need it as Windows and offuce software is tanking and Sonys electronics division is tanking. They no longer can afford to subsidize consoles so not competing on that ground doesn't make sense anymore.

I'll find the Iwata quote when I get home. 10/31 he admitted Wii U was still a financial drain. That may be because its not selling enough to cover r&d, overheads ect.  But that just means they've made mistakes and the Wii U is thus far a failure.

Psn and live are now mandatory and will be cash cows too.

Windows and Office are tanking. Reality says differently. I'm not sure about Sony but I must question a statement about Microsoft not being able subsidize consoles.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/25/technology/microsoft-reports-higher-sales-and-profit.html?_r=0


With that said if Nintendo doesn't get their **** together they're going to be on deathrow in 5-6 years.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: alegoicoe on December 05, 2013, 10:56:04 PM
its funny how mainstream video games news site such as ign and gamespot are not talking about the long loading times the ps4 has in between task and back when the wii u lauched it was top headlines.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on December 05, 2013, 11:01:57 PM
Because they don't exist. Load times on the PS4 are nothing like the long loads on the Wii U when starting a game, and the multi-tasking is instant.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 05, 2013, 11:19:22 PM
That's not a fair determination.  Sony lost tons of money to push Blu-Ray.  As the price of blu dropped, the price of the PS3 dropped and they were eventually able to make a profit on it.
How is it not fair? The point was that cutting edge technology is expensive. Ian was claiming that Nintendo previously used cutting edge technology in their hardware which doesn't make sense because Nintendo profited day one on sub-$200 MSRP ($250 for Wii). There was better technology available and Nintendo wasn't even close.
If Nintendo is still selling the Wii U at a loss (which I doubt) it's only because the sales have been so terrible and the costs have not dropped. I have a hard time believing that it was ever sold at a loss and if it was, it couldn't have been that much.

One other thing to mention is that the bill of materials is not the total cost, there is, assembly (which may be included in the BOM), shipping to the US, etc, shipping to each state, etc. It doesn't increase total coss by *that much* but it isn't free. Also these are being sold to retailers (unless you buy direct) and they don't pay MSRP. Profit margins are typically pretty low on game consoles (around $12 from last generation, IIRC).
That CNN link I posted estimated Wii U bill of materials (including the GamePad) at $227.50. I believe Nintendo when they said they sold Wii U at a loss because I don't think they would have said anything if they made a profit. This is also in contrast to 3DS where Nintendo gloated about it being expensive due to the reaction it got at E3 then they had that ridiculous pricedrop. It was like they were saying, "This is as low as we're willing to launch because we're already losing money on it." I suppose they could have just been saying that, but didn't they also say that they make up that loss with the sale of a single first party title? I doubt anyone would have believed Nintendo was taking a huge loss even if they didn't say that, but a loss at launch from them is still unprecedented.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on December 05, 2013, 11:29:17 PM
I remember Iwata saying that the Wii U is profitable after selling a single Wii U game.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 06, 2013, 12:08:23 AM
I couldn't find the exact quote I thought about before but here is their third quarter investor update. 

http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/events/131031/index.html (http://www.nintendo.co.jp/ir/en/library/events/131031/index.html)

2nd paragraph:

For the six-month period ended this September, ordinary income was in the black for the first time in four years. However, in connection with the price reduction of the Wii U hardware in the overseas markets, the effects of absorbing the inventory markdown at retail, revaluating the hardware as finished goods, and loss arising from the hardware for production in the second half of the fiscal year, led to an operating loss situation.

Nintendo is still in an operating loss position.  All the reasons they gave are because of the Wii U.  Heck, who are we kidding, we know the 3DS is insanely profitable.

I remember Iwata saying that the Wii U is profitable after selling a single Wii U game.

See B-dogs comment.  There are several manufacturing costs and overheads associated with selling hardware.  My guess is if they would have hit their targets, those overheads would be spread over a greater number of consoles and they could have gained profitability with just one game sold.  Clearly they are still losing money on the Wii U business as indicated in their quarterly financial information.  This means that due to lower console sales and the corresponding lower than expected software sales, the entire Wii U business is in a loss position right now (which includes software). 

An easy example is software.  Let's say for instance, Pikmin 3 cost $20M to make and we'll assume Nintendo gets the full $60 for simplicity sake.  Let's say they expected to sell 1 million copies.  Then the cost per game is $20 and every game adds $40 to their margin.  What if they only sell 0.5 million copies?  Then their cost per game is $40 and every game adds $20 to their margin.  There's a similar calculation with consoles.  It's easier to pick apart the component costs, harder to determine the overheads.  Missed sales means each console and software title picks up more overhead and they are losing money in total now although each Wii U has probably sold more than one software title. 
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 06, 2013, 12:17:26 AM
The point wasn't that it was all encompassing. Its impossible for us to know all those costs. The point is Sony/Microsoft came with an economical box this time because they are ready to make $ on consoles. Both actually need it as Windows and offuce software is tanking and Sonys electronics division is tanking. They no longer can afford to subsidize consoles so not competing on that ground doesn't make sense anymore.

I'll find the Iwata quote when I get home. 10/31 he admitted Wii U was still a financial drain. That may be because its not selling enough to cover r&d, overheads ect.  But that just means they've made mistakes and the Wii U is thus far a failure.

Psn and live are now mandatory and will be cash cows too.

Windows and Office are tanking. Reality says differently. I'm not sure about Sony but I must question a statement about Microsoft not being able subsidize consoles.

http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/25/technology/microsoft-reports-higher-sales-and-profit.html?_r=0 (http://www.nytimes.com/2013/10/25/technology/microsoft-reports-higher-sales-and-profit.html?_r=0)

There are rumors Microsoft is looking to sell the console business and the hardware teardown costs suggest that Microsoft is not looking to subsidize the XBO but rather get it in a gain position. 

I'm not going to get in a big argument about Microsoft because that will mostly derail this thread.  They had a good quarter that wasn't expected driven by their business services.  They have been struggling with consumers moving from PCs into apple tablets and the loss of Windows revenue associated with that movement.  They have been losing additional office software volume as business workers choose ipads and apple has aggessively been including free software that can view and edit spreadsheets.  That article you posted indicated as much that they are really struggling in the consumer markets and they don't really seem to have an answer there so I think they'll need help to continue that trend.  It's also one good quarter after several disappointing quarters for them. 
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on December 06, 2013, 01:50:25 AM
As I previously posted, I do not think the Wii U is the next PS3, and here's why: Nintendo's approach to business isn't Sony's and the Wii wasn't what the PS2 was in its day.

When the PS3 released, the PS2 was the most massively successful console in recent memory in terms of hardware sales; software sales; software support; and software variety. In my mind, it's library is right up there with the SNES as possibly the biggest and best in the history of gaming.  It made Sony a seemingly unstoppable juggernaut with the clout to convince 3rd parties to support their future platforms, and it was a console seeing notable new releases well into the PS3's life cycle.  The Wii, meanwhile, was massively successful in terms of hardware sales; party games; and Nintendo's 1st party software sales, but little else.  The Wii also stopped seeing significant software development from anyone after 2010 (2 years BEFORE the Wii U released), and it took public outcry from a fan campaign to get some of the Wii's best titles even RELEASED over here in NA (and no, I'm not buying Reggie's insistence that the public shaming they took from Operation Rainfall didn't influence Nintendo of America to do their goddamn job).  When the party games stopped selling, Nintendo was DONE with the Wii.

Sony also spent the PS2 years and the early PS3 years building their infrastructure, expanding their development roster and partnerships both within and outside Japan. Sony saw the shift in the industry towards the Western market and Western studios, and they embraced it. The end result was a steady stream of quality titles from a variety of studios such as Naughty Dog; Sucker Punch; Sanzaru; Quantic Dream; Sony Japan Studios; Sony Santa Monica; etc. Nintendo spent their Wii years building their excuses; delaying Wii titles (Pikmin 3); delaying cash-in Wii U titles (Wii Fit U) regurgitating tired franchises; and paying one of Japan's most continually underwhelming studios (Platinum) to make more games that don't sell. Please Understand.

The PS3 is a machine with technical parity with its chief competitor, the Xbox 360.  It took developers a few years to understand how to code for it, but after a few years games across both platforms were more or less the same.  And while the PS3 versions of multiplatform games were routinely outsold by the 360 versions, they still sold respectably enough to maintain developer support and Sony has always had good relations with their 3rd party developers.  Meanwhile, the Wii U is a machine with technical parity with consoles produced 7 years ago, and it can't even compete with THEM in terms of software sales. Its UI is a joke and runs like **** on its own merits. It's completely outclassed on a technological level by the consoles it's supposed to be competing with, and those consoles right now are on pace to pass it in hardware sales by the end of Q1 2014.

3rd parties are still making PS3 games.  They've shown no sign of wanting to make Wii U games after how badly they've sold so far.  The Wii U routinely misses out on even basic ports of the most popular 3rd party games on the last-gen platforms, despite it not being a considerable technical challenge.

Sony spent the PS3 years building for the future, and in the meantime they managed to completely turn around their public image through programs and features such as PlayStation Plus and Cross-Buy.  Nintendo spent the Wii years running from the future, and the Wii U seems to continue that trend. We don't even have a true unified account system on the Wii U with a single download history, something Sony's had on the PS3 for the vast majority of the PS3's life cycle.

So no, the Wii U is not the next PS3. I don't see ANY sign that Nintendo has learned the lessons from the last generation that Sony did.  They have NOT planned for the future. They have NOT built the infrastructure to continually turn out 1st party Wii U software. So long as Iwata is in charge, I do not see Nintendo making the necessary changes required to make them a relevant company in the modern gaming industry that Sony made.

So no, the Wii U is not the next PS3. This Nintendo isn't capable of producing a home console worthy of being considered on the same level as it in terms of software development and 3rd party relations.  And they're OK with that because the Japanese will predictably buy any random **** thrown on the 3DS.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on December 06, 2013, 03:24:41 AM
The argument that everyone is making towards the Wii U could also be said about the Vita. The Playstation Vita is Sony's Wii U. It was initially overpriced, and no third parties would develop for it, and it's first party titles were few and far between. Although the Wii U stands a greater chance of surviving due to Nintendo's persistence of maintaining their presecence within the gaming community.

http://www.gamespot.com/articles/wii-u-sales-in-japan-surpass-ps3-vita-and-xbox-360-this-week/1100-6416036/
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on December 06, 2013, 03:38:42 AM
The argument that everyone is making towards the Wii U could also be said about the Vita. The Playstation Vita is Sony's Wii U. It was initially overpriced, and no third parties would develop for it, and it's first party titles were few and far between. Although the Wii U stands a greater chance of surviving due to Nintendo's persistence of maintaining their presecence within the gaming community.

http://www.gamespot.com/articles/wii-u-sales-in-japan-surpass-ps3-vita-and-xbox-360-this-week/1100-6416036/ (http://www.gamespot.com/articles/wii-u-sales-in-japan-surpass-ps3-vita-and-xbox-360-this-week/1100-6416036/)

Not quite.  The Vita would be Sony's Wii U if its software library massively underwhelmed and its tech was vastly inferior to its competition. The Vita has quite the respectable software lineup (especially 1st party), and while it's sad that the handheld seems to have shifted into being the PS4's backup controller, I've been quite satisfied with my Vita. I already own more software for it than I likely ever will my Wii U, and there's probably still more software being made for it in Japan than the Wii U.

And incidentally, the Vita's never been overpriced. It's those damn memory cards that make the price ridiculous.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: MagicCow64 on December 06, 2013, 03:58:51 AM
As I previously posted, I do not think the Wii U is the next PS3, and here's why: Nintendo's approach to business isn't Sony's and the Wii wasn't what the PS2 was in its day.

When the PS3 released, the PS2 was the most massively successful console in recent memory in terms of hardware sales; hardware sales; software support; and software variety. In my mind, it's library is right up there with the SNES as possibly the biggest and best in the history of gaming.  It made Sony a seemingly unstoppable juggernaut with the clout to convince 3rd parties to support their future platforms, and it was a console seeing notable new releases well into the PS3's life cycle.  The Wii, meanwhile, was massively successful in terms of hardware sales; party games; and Nintendo's 1st party software sales, but little else.  The Wii also stopped seeing significant software development from anyone after 2010 (2 years BEFORE the Wii U released), and it took public outcry from a fan campaign to get some of the Wii's best titles even RELEASED over here in NA (and no, I'm not buying Reggie's insistence that the public shaming they took from Operation Rainfall didn't influence Nintendo of America to do their goddamn job).  When the party games stopped selling, Nintendo was DONE with the Wii.

Sony also spent the PS2 years and the early PS3 years building their infrastructure, expanding their development roster and partnerships both within and outside Japan. Sony saw the shift in the industry towards the Western market and Western studios, and they embraced it. The end result was a steady stream of quality titles from a variety of studios such as Naughty Dog; Sucker Punch; Sanzaru; Quantic Dream; Sony Japan Studios; Sony Santa Monica; etc. Nintendo spent their Wii years building their excuses; delaying Wii titles (Pikmin 3); delaying cash-in Wii U titles (Wii Fit U) regurgitating tired franchises; and paying one of Japan's most continually underwhelming studios (Platinum) to make more games that don't sell. Please Understand.

The PS3 is a machine with technical parity with its chief competitor, the Xbox 360.  It took developers a few years to understand how to code for it, but after a few years games across both platforms were more or less the same.  And while the PS3 versions of multiplatform games were routinely outsold by the 360 versions, they were still respectible enough to maintain developer support and Sony has always had good relations with their 3rd party developers.  Meanwhile, the Wii U is a machine with technical parity with consoles produced 7 years ago, and it can't even compete with THEM in terms of software sales. Its UI is a joke and runs like **** on its own merits. It's completely outclassed on a technological level by the consoles it's supposed to be competing with, and those consoles right now are on pace to pass them in hardware sales by the end of Q1 2014.

3rd parties are still making PS3 games.  They've shown no sign of wanting to make Wii U games after how badly they've sold so far.  The Wii U routinely misses out on even basic ports of the most popular 3rd party games on the last-gen platforms, despite it not being a considerable technical challenge.

Sony spent the PS3 years building for the future, and in the meantime they managed to completely turn around their public image through programs and features such as PlayStation Plus and Cross-Buy.  Nintendo spent the Wii years running from the future, and the Wii U seems to continue that trend. We don't even have a unified account system on the Wii U with a unified wallet and download history, something Sony's had on the PS3 for the vast majority of the PS3's life cycle.

So no, the Wii U is not the next PS3. I don't see ANY sign that Nintendo has learned the lessons from the last generation that Sony did.  They have NOT planned for the future. They have NOT built the infrastructure to continually turn out 1st party Wii U software. So long as Iwata is in charge, I do not see Nintendo making the necessary changes required to make them a relevant company in the modern gaming industry that Sony made.

So no, the Wii U is not the next PS3. This Nintendo isn't capable of producing a home console worthy of being considered on the same level as it in terms of software development and 3rd party relations.  And they're OK with that because the Japanese will predictably buy any random **** thrown on the 3DS.


That's a right fancy hagiography of Sony, a company teetering on the brink of disaster after 15 years of obsessively pageant-momming their entrants in the video game wars. And as as mentioned, post-Ballmer Microsoft restiveness is pointing toward decoupling their distracting and at-best minisculely profitably video game arm. I don't have the energy at present to address all of your points, for which I apologize, as many are legit, but to me the back-and-forth here about how Nintendo has changed or not changed based on hardware power is absurd. The technological world that existed during the Genesis vs. SNES pissing match is so different from today as to render this a meaningless comparison. Yeah, so I guess the SNES was at parity with the Genesis? Both of which systems and their entire libraries could be replicated on a smallish SD card today? **** got different quick, and, again, as has been mentioned, Nintendo was abruptly facing two giant differentiated companies that could afford to blow stupid amounts of money on loss-leader tech strategies. Meanwhile, Nintendo's closest analog, Sega, ruined its **** by chasing novel upgrades and abandoning nascent platforms. You have to believe that Nintendo took note. it happened to be that they were fundamentally better at games and business than Sega, and lasted out, but comparing pre Cube/Box1/PS2 era competition to the aftermath just doesn't work.


NOW, the complaints after are that Nintendo didn't adapt to the new paradigm. Probably true! I don't happen to give a **** about online play, so most contemporary feature-parity grousing is irrelevant to me. But then the cries are that Nintendo isn't in sync with current mass-market preferences. Definitely true! But do you consider videogames art? I do, in a sense, and I also believe incredibly strongly that market preferences are fundamentally at odds with the creation of worthwhile art. See: the proliferation of dumb blang-blang corridor design, the ubiquity of reality television, nuTrek, Transformers, whathaveyou. Not to say that that stuff shouldn't exist, or doesn't have its place, but being the market leader isn't the goddamned point, despite Iwata's arguably craven beholdenness to shareholder demands and the bottom line. So fucking what if the WiiU is in a distant third place in the coming years? If Nintendo can stay above keel and keep producing software that is fundamentally about interaction, then who cares if Gears of Glory Theft are sucking up all the mainstream oxygen?


People, we are on a motherfucking hobbyist website. Why the hell are most of you here if you just want to get into the Killzone? Mario 3D World is fucking beautiful. It's an incredible aesthetic object. After playing it at my house, my nephew insisted on getting a Super Mario Bros. 3 GBA cart for my old DS and is glued to it. This is a kid who only ever wanted to play GTA or Kane & Lynch or Max Payne previously. Stop treating Game Informer like it's the arbiter of worth. It's like basing your taste of movies on Entertainment Weekly.


What won't Nintendo be able to do with WiiU hardware? Not have as many hundreds of zombies on the screen at the same time? No 64-player deathmatches? Fewer facial pores? Less jiggle? No sharing COD killstreak vids? If that's what you need and want, take up residence on IGN forums.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on December 06, 2013, 04:16:00 AM
What won't Nintendo be able to do with WiiU hardware? Not have as many hundreds of zombies on the screen at the same time? No 64-player deathmatches? Fewer facial pores? Less jiggle? No sharing COD killstreak vids? If that's what you need and want, take up residence on IGN forums.

I hate that "if you have so many problems with Nintendo, then get the **** out attitude" that some have adopted here. You can still like Nintendo and have serious issues with them, and my general problem with Nintendo can pretty much be summed up by Kyle Bosman's little analogy with Nintendo regarding Super Mario 3D World here: http://www.gametrailers.com/videos/1hpws1/the-final-bosman-thanks-for-nothing (http://www.gametrailers.com/videos/1hpws1/the-final-bosman-thanks-for-nothing) (you have to scroll through the video a bit to get to it).

On Gametrailers, he's just about the ONLY guy on the site who sticks up for Nintendo and generally mocks the indifferent attitude of the rest of the site towards them. However, despite this even he compares Mario 3D World to an incredibly lazy student who spends their time slacking off and screwing around, only to show up and ace the big test at the last possible moment.  They are a company whose software I can seriously enjoy, but they are also a company whose business doctrine seems to be doing the absolute minimum they need to do to get by. No ambition whatsoever. They're a company that could be so great if they just applied themselves, but they're Nintendo and that's not how they do things. And their handheld domination ensures that they never really have to try.

That's the thing with me about Sony: Sony often feels to me how I wish Nintendo would be, embodying the spirit I thought Nintendo had once upon a time. Yeah, their games can sometimes be a bit clunky and they don't have this amazing library of characters that Nintendo has.  However, I feel like when Sony steps up to the plate, they swing for the fences. They may swing and miss, but at least they ****ing try.  They still experiment and play with ideas and strategies that might not work, and the results are often at least interesting.  Occasionally, they're amazing.  And they do all this without scaring away or pissing off everyone who could potentially want to work with them or put out games on their platforms.  Nintendo has only managed such levels of cooperation when they ruled the gaming industry with an iron fist and browbeat companies into submission back in the 80s and 90s.

I feel like Nintendo has such a huge library of characters and such conservative leadership that they hold themselves back.  They keep themselves from achieving their true potential, because taking that creative risk and putting themselves out there isn't 100% safe.  And that wasted potential infuriates me.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on December 06, 2013, 04:40:59 AM
Look at how the industry imitates Nintendo and their gimmicks to get an idea of how important Nintendo is to business. Sony has reduced the Vita and PS4 to a more expensive version of the Wii U. Look at how they tried their own version of motion controls.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 06, 2013, 10:12:26 AM
Magic Cow - Discussing business and playing armchair CEO can be fun and I think should be part of this site. Part of the problem with the Wii U stagnating is criticising Nintendo is like shooting fish in a barrell. Sometimes criticism overtakes the board because there are wide gaps in the release schedule and we don't have much to talk about on the game front.

Most people here are Nintendo biased and enjoy Nintendo titles best and couldn't care if Killzone comes to a Nintendo console. Where my concern lies is whether or not Nintendo will continue to come out with high quality software I enjoy. I'm not naive enough to think that Nintendo will keep status quo with their current results. After decades of profits they've are going on their 4th straight year of operating loss. I think they are going to do something drastic after their fiscal year ends.

Will Iwata get fired?  Will they have mass layoffs?  Will they go third party or develop a new console to replace the Wii U?  Maybe not any of those things. But I think drastic changes are coming for Nintendo and that it will affect the games they develop. The Wii U has not brought profit to Nintendo so it is no Gamecube in that respect.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on December 06, 2013, 10:26:03 AM
Look at how the industry imitates Nintendo and their gimmicks to get an idea of how important Nintendo is to business. Sony has reduced the Vita and PS4 to a more expensive version of the Wii U. Look at how they tried their own version of motion controls.

Quote
Interactivity between Sony's video game consoles and handheld video game console is traced back as far as 2006, prior to the PlayStation 3's launch, when journalists noticed a PlayStation Portable icon, with the title "Remote Play", on pre-release versions of their PS3.[4] The functionality was officially revealed just prior to the PS3's launch in October 2006, at Sony's "Gamer's Day" event, where Sony demonstrated the ability to transfer the PS3's output to a PSP instead of a television, through showing downloaded PlayStation 1 games and movie films being transmitted to a PSP's screen and speakers.[5] Sony announced that all original PlayStation 1 games would support the feature, but they had to be digital, not disc-based, media from the PS3's internal harddrive.[6][7] This later changed by the end of 2007, when a firmware update made it so any PlayStation 1 game was compatible with Remote Play, even disc-based ones.[8]


Quote
The console was first conceived in 2008,[17] after Nintendo recognized several limitations and challenges with the Wii, such as the general public perception that the system catered primarily for a "casual" audience.[18] With Wii U, Nintendo explicitly wishes to bring "core" gamers back.[19] Game designer Shigeru Miyamoto admitted that the lack of HD and limited network infrastructure for the Wii also contributed to the system being regarded in a separate class to its competitors' systems, the Xbox 360 and PlayStation 3.[20] It was decided that a new console would have to be made to accommodate significant structural changes. Within the company, there was much debate over the idea for the new console, and the project was scrapped and restarted several times.[21] The concept of a touchscreen embedded within the controller was originally inspired by the blue light on the Wii that illuminates to indicate new messages.[22] Miyamoto and his team wanted to include a small screen to provide game feedback and status messages to players (in similar vein to the VMU for Sega's Dreamcast). Much later in development, this was expanded to a full screen that could display the game being played in its entirety, a concept which was suggested but not financially viable earlier in the project.[23]

Hold up there fanboy. Remote play has existed far longer than was a twinkle in Nintendo's eye. Let's get that straight right now. Motion control? Sure, I'll give you that. But we aren't talking about motion control, we are talking about GAMES, dude. Stop grasping at straws when you know broodwars just kicked your ass logically.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 06, 2013, 10:37:44 AM
So no, the Wii U is not the next PS3. I don't see ANY sign that Nintendo has learned the lessons from the last generation that Sony did.  They have NOT planned for the future. They have NOT built the infrastructure to continually turn out 1st party Wii U software.
I'd argue that Nintendo has done a better job of planning for the future than both Sony and Microsoft because Nintendo is the only one of the three that has a business model that revolves around turning a profit as soon as possible. They're in a far better position to face hard times than their competition. Now, this isn't to say that Nintendo couldn't be doing more. However, they're doing okay considering the circumstances. Wii U had a rough start, but it's in a decent position to be profitable for Nintendo within the next year. They're stubborn in many ways but not completely clueless. While they clearly hoped motion controls would be more sustainable, we've seen them move away from it so they've shown some degree of self-awareness.

I find it strange that people tend to give more credit to Sony than Nintendo considering how much money Sony's games division lost last generation. Sony operates mostly on a "We'll make it back later" philosophy. It's a slow process, one that consumers don't see. Sony lost a lot of money and while Sony eventually made money on PS3, they haven't made up for those losses. They have done a better job with PS4. I read that the bill of materials is approximately $380 so they're probably losing less than $100 this time.

Both Sony and Nintendo could stand to be more balanced in their approaches. Nintendo's is safer which I consider better since it allows for greater flexibility in the future regardless of whether Nintendo actually does anything with it.
However, I feel like when Sony steps up to the plate, they swing for the fences. They may swing and miss, but at least they ****ing try.  They still experiment and play with ideas and strategies that might not work, and the results are often at least interesting.  Occasionally, they're amazing.
I don't see how you can rightly say that when Nintendo bet their console future on motion controls. I don't even particularly like motion control games and I even hated it in Skyward Sword, but as it stands, this is pretty much what you're commending Sony for. It's just not the way you wanted it which is understandable, just unfair to claim Nintendo isn't doing this.
Sony has reduced the Vita and PS4 to a more expensive version of the Wii U.
Sure, Remote Play kind of gives PS4 feature parity with the GamePad (note I didn't say Wii U since PS4 is more feature rich), but your statement is ridiculous to the point of parody.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on December 06, 2013, 11:12:38 AM
I guess I give Sony more credit because they made lots of money on PS1 and PS2. With PS3 they made 2 incorrect assumptions that led to them losing money. 1 They thought blu ray playing ability would drive consumers to their product despite its high cost. It did not. 2 They thought people would pay 600 for a box with playstation on it.

 I think its false to assume they aimed to go into that generation to subsidize the PS3. It turns out they did but it appears they've immediately corrected those issues with the PS4 and want to get profitable. There is no trojan horse in the PS4 the way blu ray was. The 400 is reasonable and where the 360 started last gen. PS4 is much more diversified and set up to do well this gen.

I feel Sony made some bad decisions that hurt them in short term profits but they are set up well long term. I feel like Nintendo did the opposite. They made decisions with the Wii that made them tons of $ in the short term. But essentially saying screw you to third parties has put them in a tough long term situation. It's cliche at this point, but if you don't like Zelda, Mario, Metroid it's hard to recommend a Wii U.

Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on December 06, 2013, 11:28:42 AM
It's cliche at this point, but if you don't like Zelda, Mario, Metroid it's hard to recommend a Wii U.
True. At the same time, the people who like Zelda, Mario etc., know what they're getting because Nintendo has always taken care of their franchises. They may get overzealous with releases (namely Mario), but they're still good games.

Nintendo and third parties turned their backs on each other when they could be making more money together. It's a shame. Nintendo has set up a business model to be able to support themselves without third parties in the present and future which ultimately sucks for consumers, like myself, who would prefer to buy one console and have most games available. However
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: MagicCow64 on December 06, 2013, 02:51:48 PM

I hate that "if you have so many problems with Nintendo, then get the **** out attitude" that some have adopted here. You can still like Nintendo and have serious issues with them, and my general problem with Nintendo can pretty much be summed up by Kyle Bosman's little analogy with Nintendo regarding Super Mario 3D World here: http://www.gametrailers.com/videos/1hpws1/the-final-bosman-thanks-for-nothing (http://www.gametrailers.com/videos/1hpws1/the-final-bosman-thanks-for-nothing) (you have to scroll through the video a bit to get to it).

On Gametrailers, he's just about the ONLY guy on the site who sticks up for Nintendo and generally mocks the indifferent attitude of the rest of the site towards them. However, despite this even he compares Mario 3D World to an incredibly lazy student who spends their time slacking off and screwing around, only to show up and ace the big test at the last possible moment.  They are a company whose software I can seriously enjoy, but they are also a company whose business doctrine seems to be doing the absolute minimum they need to do to get by. No ambition whatsoever. They're a company that could be so great if they just applied themselves, but they're Nintendo and that's not how they do things. And their handheld domination ensures that they never really have to try.

That's the thing with me about Sony: Sony often feels to me how I wish Nintendo would be, embodying the spirit I thought Nintendo had once upon a time. Yeah, their games can sometimes be a bit clunky and they don't have this amazing library of characters that Nintendo has.  However, I feel like when Sony steps up to the plate, they swing for the fences. They may swing and miss, but at least they ****ing try.  They still experiment and play with ideas and strategies that might not work, and the results are often at least interesting.  Occasionally, they're amazing.  And they do all this without scaring away or pissing off everyone who could potentially want to work with them or put out games on their platforms.  Nintendo has only managed such levels of cooperation when they ruled the gaming industry with an iron fist and browbeat companies into submission back in the 80s and 90s.

I feel like Nintendo has such a huge library of characters and such conservative leadership that they hold themselves back.  They keep themselves from achieving their true potential, because taking that creative risk and putting themselves out there isn't 100% safe.  And that wasted potential infuriates me.


I wasn't really saying GTFO, I more so was actually asking why so many people hang out here to take turns pissing in Nintendo's face. I've been visiting this site off and on for probably 15 years, and I've never seen such an era of bad feelings. Maybe it's kind of like fans of local sports teams that always lose. I guess it's starting to chafe because one of the things I hold in high regard about Nintendo is how uncynical and bright their approach to video games is, which I think is more important than ever in the sea of bullets and microtransactions and TV-watching achievements that is ever rising. (As for Sony's alleged game design daring-do, that's pretty debatable, especially given how mediocre the results tend to be. But whatever, not really the place for that argument.)


Nintendo failed, mostly on purpose, to adapt to the increasingly Western-dominated and online-focused video game market. In a way, that's the definition of bad business. But I'd rather see them where they are today than turn into Sega or start releasing Bomberman Zeros. I think people need to come to terms with the fact that Nintendo is a niche. Most of the Wii's mass-market success was ephemeral, like when a band gets 15-minutes of fame for a novelty song that bears little relation to their actual sound. Nintendo will never have another SNES. If you think the $300 buy-in for a niche console is too much, that's a perfectly defensible position, but given how much people drop on phones and tablets and crap I don't think it's unreasonable. And I certainly don't think you can argue about the 3DS' value. Asking for a PS4 tech-equivalent is asking for an even higher buy-in with extremely dubious benefits (I doubt we'd get more ports than the main Ubisoft releases, although those are probably about to cease in this universe). When you wish for Nintendo to go third party, you're wishing for a much-reduced entity. How many games a year do you think they could viably release on PS4? If they released 10 games a year 8 out of 10 would get swamped. Game journalists still wouldn't take them seriously, and they'd be even easier to ignore. 



Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Ian Sane on December 06, 2013, 03:17:54 PM
There are a lot of people hanging out here to piss on Nintendo's face because we're Nintendo fans, we like Nintendo, and we're frustrated with how things are right now.  The Wii was controversial and split the fanbase.  Now the Wii U isn't selling, has horrible third party support, and first party releases have been infrequent.  The whole future of the console, and thus Nintendo's whole existence as a console maker, is up in the air.  It's a rough time for Nintendo and thus their fans.

Personally I find it frustrating because I know Nintendo is capable of better.  I want the Wii U to be a product I would want to buy or I would like there to be a Nintendo console I would want to buy if the Wii U can't accomplish that.  I want Nintendo to be successful and I want that success to be earned, so the product has to be good.

I became a Nintendo fan for a reason and find that that fandom is less and less justified each year.  I want to be excited about Nintendo but I need a reason to do that.  I see no reason in just accepting what I perceive as an inferior product and an inferior effort.  That will just encourage bad habits and it is the good things about Nintendo I became a fan of, not the bad ones.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on December 06, 2013, 04:24:34 PM
@ Oblivion.

Nintendo had been experimenting with bridging the gap between home consoles and handhelds as far back as the SNES days with the Super Gameboy. They also tried it with the GBA player for the Gamecube. As for Sony unveiling their remote play feature, they under utilized it in the past  five plus years, and only got serious once Nintendo showed off the Wii U.


Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on December 06, 2013, 05:15:56 PM
@ Oblivion.

Nintendo had been experimenting with bridging the gap between home consoles and handhelds as far back as the SNES days with the Super Gameboy. They also tried it with the GBA player for the Gamecube.

You're seriously using two devices that played Game Boy & GBA games on a home console as your basis for saying that Sony's been ripping off Nintendo with Remote Play, a feature where you stream full console games onto a handheld for true portable play. I don't even know what to say to an argument so mind-numbingly stupid.  The process is literally the exact opposite and uses a completely different technology, and (frankly) until modern WiFi technology it didn't even work (which is why Sony really didn't support it much).

Seriously, your argument is so inane it would be like me claiming that Nintendo ripped off Sony with the Wii Remote because Sony had the EyeToy on the PS2.  Similar ideas, but radically different approaches to executing them with completely different technology.  I could at least understand the argument (though not agree with it) if you wanted to bring up the GBA->GameCube Connectivity with Crystal Chronicles, but the GBA Player & Super GameBoy? That's quite a stretch there.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on December 06, 2013, 07:30:05 PM
@ Oblivion.

Nintendo had been experimenting with bridging the gap between home consoles and handhelds as far back as the SNES days with the Super Gameboy. They also tried it with the GBA player for the Gamecube. As for Sony unveiling their remote play feature, they under utilized it in the past  five plus years, and only got serious once Nintendo showed off the Wii U.


That's a completely opposite thing. Remote Play is not putting a handheld game on your television through the console. Remote Play allows for the handheld to display the console game.


Like I said earlier: you're a desperate fanboy grasping for straws, even moreso than the last time you posted in this thread.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: tendoboy1984 on December 06, 2013, 08:15:54 PM
Going third-party would mean a whole change of Nintendo-- mass exodus of employees, less risks, no ability to work on games that are on hardware they're comfortable with, no features that come from Nintendo hardware that can't be found elsewhere, etc.


Those thinking it would be the same Nintendo and the same quality are sorely mistaken.

Exactly, look at what happened to Sega (though they've rebounded recently with Sonic Colors and Sonic Generations).
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: tendoboy1984 on December 06, 2013, 08:20:37 PM
I guess I give Sony more credit because they made lots of money on PS1 and PS2. With PS3 they made 2 incorrect assumptions that led to them losing money. 1 They thought Blu-Ray playing ability would drive consumers to their product despite its high cost. It did not. 2 They thought people would pay 600 for a box with PlayStation on it.

Ah but the irony is people are perfectly fine with buying a $500 Xbox with Kinect functionality built in.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: tendoboy1984 on December 06, 2013, 08:25:10 PM
There are a lot of people hanging out here to piss on Nintendo's face because we're Nintendo fans, we like Nintendo, and we're frustrated with how things are right now.  The Wii was controversial and split the fanbase.  Now the Wii U isn't selling, has horrible third party support, and first party releases have been infrequent.  The whole future of the console, and thus Nintendo's whole existence as a console maker, is up in the air.  It's a rough time for Nintendo and thus their fans.

Personally I find it frustrating because I know Nintendo is capable of better.  I want the Wii U to be a product I would want to buy or I would like there to be a Nintendo console I would want to buy if the Wii U can't accomplish that.  I want Nintendo to be successful and I want that success to be earned, so the product has to be good.

I became a Nintendo fan for a reason and find that that fandom is less and less justified each year.  I want to be excited about Nintendo but I need a reason to do that.  I see no reason in just accepting what I perceive as an inferior product and an inferior effort.  That will just encourage bad habits and it is the good things about Nintendo I became a fan of, not the bad ones.

This whole post reminds me so much of the GameCube era. It's like we've come full circle. Nintendo bounced back from the GameCube by sheer luck. They took a huge risk with the Wii and it paid off. Hopefully they can do it again with their next console (if the Wii U fails to sell well during the next 6-7 years).
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on December 06, 2013, 11:13:00 PM
But the Gamecube is far better than the Wii U. And if they do in the next gen they did with the last gen, I will quit being a Nintendo fan.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on December 06, 2013, 11:33:35 PM
But the Gamecube is far better than the Wii U. And if they do in the next gen they did with the last gen, I will quit being a Nintendo fan.

The Gamecube is better than the Wii U at this point. However, what is say that by the end of the Wi U's life that it has even more high quality titles than the Gamecube? Just because it is struggling now does not mean it will be once the good games are released for it next year.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Phil on December 07, 2013, 12:19:51 AM
But the Gamecube is far better than the Wii U. And if they do in the next gen they did with the last gen, I will quit being a Nintendo fan.


It's not like Nintendo stopped producing great games with the Wii. 2008 notwithstanding.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on December 07, 2013, 01:19:52 AM
But the Gamecube is far better than the Wii U. And if they do in the next gen they did with the last gen, I will quit being a Nintendo fan.


It's not like Nintendo stopped producing great games with the Wii. 2008 notwithstanding.


I ain't talking software. I'm a strong defending of the games that released during the Wii's lifetime. I'm talking hardware.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: tendoboy1984 on December 09, 2013, 11:37:55 PM
Honestly yes the Wii was severely underpowered, but the games and unique controller more than made up for it. Wii Sports is tons of fun, and the Wii Remote's pointer controls revolutionized shooters.
 
Sony's PlayStation Move is clunky and difficult to calibrate properly. The Wii Remote automatically calibrates itself when you point it at the sensor bar.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Spak-Spang on December 10, 2013, 12:00:46 AM
In the end, the Wii had software that was fun and enjoyable to play, and even if it was a fad, it was an enjoyable enough experience to get people buying and playing those fun games. 

Now, the Wii U doesn't have that catch on craze of the Wii.  I think the controller is part of that reason.  There is real confusion about what the Wii U is.  Partially because all these controls and new game pad. 

But the biggest reason the Wii U wasn't an immediate hit was no killer app that sold the experience.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: tendoboy1984 on December 10, 2013, 12:28:59 AM
There was a Nintendo holiday event at my local mall. There were probably 30 people all playing the Wii U and having fun, with many more spectating. I overheard quite a few people say they would buy a Wii U for their families.
 
I tried Zelda: Wind Waker, Sonic Lost World, and Super Mario 3D World, and those games sold me on the system. I play video games to have fun, and Nintendo certainly delivers on that front.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 01, 2014, 12:42:16 PM
It's been a while since I've posted here, more than a year actually, but I feel the need to vent so...

No, the Wii U is not the next PS3. The Wii U will actually make money for Nintendo. That right there puts it light years ahead of BOTH Sony and MS' previous disasters.

As for the discussion pertaining to 3rd parties, I'm just going to repost my last post from more than a year ago on this subject verbatim, as it still stands:

Quote
All excuses from 3rd parties as to why their games aren't going to appear on *Whatever* Nintendo systems always boil down to "Nintendo won't pay us".

That's pretty much it.

I mean, wasn't it these same developers who also said that they couldn't make their games for the Wii because it wasn't powerful enough and that they needed as many systems as possible to port around to since development costs had gone up so much?

Ignoring the first issue (since Wii development was pretty much the same as last gen and therefor Wii games were a fraction of the cost of HD titles and didn't NEED to be ported to hell and back in order to make a profit), now they have another HD system, something developers claimed that they needed. Now all of a sudden... they don't need it any more?

Could it be because that box has the word "Nintendo" on it?

3rd parties will support Nintendo hardware again when Sony and MS leave the industry, and the way things are going that's not going to be that far off. Until then, don't expect much beyond token support, specifically under the auspicious veil of "outsourced" ports. And it's nothing that Nintendo can control or change without driving themselves out of business. Something Sony and MS would absolutely LOVE since they wouldn't actually have to make games anymore in order to sell their little boxes.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on January 01, 2014, 04:32:59 PM
I've said before, there really isn't a great analog for the Wii U in the history of gaming. Nintendo operates so differently from most other gaming companies that it could really only be compared to one of their own, and I don't think Nintendo's been in this position before. The only real comparison you could make is a hypothetical one, as I'm pretty sure the Wii would have been in just about exactly this situation if Wii Sports never existed.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on January 01, 2014, 07:20:19 PM
No, the Wii U is not the next PS3. The Wii U will actually make money for Nintendo.

?

And the PS3 does not? If I remember correctly, one only needs to buy one or two games to recoup the costs, similar to how the Wii U is now.


Or am I thinking of the PS4?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: RedBlue on January 01, 2014, 07:38:47 PM
No, the Wii U is not the next PS3. The Wii U will actually make money for Nintendo.

?

And the PS3 does not? If I remember correctly, one only needs to buy one or two games to recoup the costs, similar to how the Wii U is now.


Or am I thinking of the PS4?

Making a profit now does not make up for all the money they (xbox 360 and PS3) lost  in the first 4 or 5 years they lost money on them.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: RedBlue on January 01, 2014, 07:39:59 PM
double post  ::)
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: pokepal148 on January 01, 2014, 07:47:32 PM
Alot of people I know at my school definitely have an eye on the system.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 01, 2014, 07:59:50 PM
No, the Wii U is not the next PS3. The Wii U will actually make money for Nintendo.

?

And the PS3 does not? If I remember correctly, one only needs to buy one or two games to recoup the costs, similar to how the Wii U is now.


Or am I thinking of the PS4?


Sony isn't about to tell the truth in regards to their losses they're taking on the PS4. Just like how MS has been burying their loses from the XBox brand for years. Neither company made a penny off their last systems. MS has yet to make ANY money on gaming at all and Sony blew all of their previous profits from the PS1 and PS2 on the black hole they called the PS3. And that's without even mentioning the financial flops of the PSP, PSP Go, and Vita.


Nintendo is the only hardware manufacturer in the industry that doesn't appear to be alergic to actually making money. Meaning year over year their books actually balance out in the black. Both Sony and MS have a LONG way to go before they can say the same. Sure they've had years where they've turned a profit but just like budgeting at home if you spend $5,000 more than you make one year but spend $500 less than you make the next that doesn't somehow negate that $4,500 you're still out from the year before. It simply means that at that rate it's going to take you another 9 years before you can even manage to break even let alone say that you're even making a profit.


Or more simply put...


Making a profit now does not make up for all the money they (xbox 360 and PS3) lost  in the first 4 or 5 years they lost money on them.


What he said. ^^^
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on January 01, 2014, 08:24:11 PM
Sorry, but I must have missed all those millions of dollars in profit the Wii U's brought to Nintendo so far. Come to think of it, I think Nintendo must have missed them, too, given that the 3DS' dominance in Japan counterbalancing the Wii U's worldwide failure is the only reason Iwata still has a job at this point.

Just sayin', you can't play the "Nintendo is the only company that makes money off their hardware!" card when Nintendo's attempting to sell the Wii U at a loss and people still don't want it.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 01, 2014, 08:54:20 PM
Sorry, but I must have missed all those millions of dollars in profit the Wii U's brought to Nintendo so far. Come to think of it, I think Nintendo must have missed them, too, given that the 3DS' dominance in Japan counterbalancing the Wii U's worldwide failure is the only reason Iwata still has a job at this point.

Just sayin', you can't play the "Nintendo is the only company that makes money off their hardware!" card when Nintendo's attempting to sell the Wii U at a loss and people still don't want it.


There is no card. That's how it is. The hardware losses for the Wii U have largely been atributed to currancy conversion and they're not very large at all. As has been said before, the Wii U makes a profit with a single software sale. Can Sony and MS say the same? And because of that the Wii U's losses are going to vanish this year.


As for your snaky comment about selling at a loss and nobody still wanting it, you have to agree that it's in pretty good company with the original XBox, the PSP, the Vita, the PS3, etc, etc. And honestly, we don't even know if people want the PS4 or XBone yet anyway. Remember how well the Wii U was selling at launch?


You're going to have to wait a while before we find out if the Wii U is the odd man out or if Sony and MS are going to be facing their own hardware sales issues once the holiday season is over and real world numbers come out.


Either way the Wii U is going to be very profitable for Nintendo. I highly doubt the same will hold true for the PS4 or the XBone.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on January 01, 2014, 09:04:44 PM
This year's E3 will the true milestone to judge whether the Wii U is a success or not. If sales improve by then then Nintendo will support the console for five more years. If not, then expect the Wii U successor by t E3 2015.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on January 01, 2014, 09:39:18 PM
PSP being a financial flop? Hahahahaha... Sorry gaugheyad, but I think your fanboyism is showing.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Kytim89 on January 01, 2014, 09:45:16 PM
PSP being a financial flop? Hahahahaha... Sorry gaugheyad, but I think your fanboyism is showing.

It was a financial success for hackers.  ;)
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on January 01, 2014, 10:19:41 PM
Nope. Wrong again. It was a financial success... maybe not next to the Nintendo DS juggernaut, but still. To say it wasn't would be a total fabrication.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on January 01, 2014, 10:22:58 PM
Nope. Wrong again. It was a financial success... maybe not next to the Nintendo DS juggernaut, but still. To say it wasn't would be a total fabrication.

Indeed, especially with it still getting new games in Japan every week, and more new games than the Wii U at that.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 02, 2014, 02:41:08 AM
Nope. Wrong again. It was a financial success... maybe not next to the Nintendo DS juggernaut, but still. To say it wasn't would be a total fabrication.

Indeed, especially with it still getting new games in Japan every week, and more new games than the Wii U at that.

No, it was a flop. Just like the PS3 and the entire XBox line. It doesn't matter how many systems you sell or how many games get published for your platform if you never see any return on your investment. That's called bad business and for some reason it's not only acceptable but apparently encouraged now a days.

As has been and always will be in business, he who makes the most money wins. And that's always been Nintendo.

Or should I say makes any money at all???
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on January 02, 2014, 02:58:53 AM
Nope. Wrong again. It was a financial success... maybe not next to the Nintendo DS juggernaut, but still. To say it wasn't would be a total fabrication.

Indeed, especially with it still getting new games in Japan every week, and more new games than the Wii U at that.

No, it was a flop. Just like the PS3 and the entire XBox line.


(http://i.imgur.com/NwmjwCn.gif)




Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on January 02, 2014, 03:26:47 AM
Nope. Wrong again. It was a financial success... maybe not next to the Nintendo DS juggernaut, but still. To say it wasn't would be a total fabrication.

Indeed, especially with it still getting new games in Japan every week, and more new games than the Wii U at that.

No, it was a flop. Just like the PS3 and the entire XBox line.


(http://i.imgur.com/NwmjwCn.gif)

Yeah, this is just getting painful to read now, so I'm going to sheathe my sword and walk away while he's still only making an ass of himself.  I generally enjoy speaking with fanboys on this site, but usually they provide more entertaining discussion.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on January 02, 2014, 05:12:56 AM
The Xbox line has lost Microsoft money if you're looking at the whole life of the division, but what Microsoft really cares about is making a profit for the year, which they've been doing for a while now. I believe they've actually even made money on the 360 as a whole at this point after putting themselves in a bad spot with the red ring of death early in its life. They'll probably never make back the billions they spent on busting into the market, but they don't care.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on January 02, 2014, 10:39:20 AM
Yes, PS3 and 360 have been profitable for a while. Unless another RROD issue comes up, there is little reason to believe PS4 and XBO won't be profitable.

Gaug- Nintendo posted a 9/30 operating loss. Operating losses exclude currency adjustments. That means the Wii U wiped out all the 3DS and software development profits for the period. Ironically, Nintendo made a net profit for the period because of favorable currency adjustments. That info may be useful to you.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 02, 2014, 12:29:55 PM
Yeah, this is just getting painful to read now, so I'm going to sheathe my sword and walk away while he's still only making an ass of himself.  I generally enjoy speaking with fanboys on this site, but usually they provide more entertaining discussion.

What's really harsh is how with so many games and systems Sony and MS have sold, they still can't seem to make any money. How is that possible? As for entertaining discussion, if you're not really interested don't comment. It's as simple as that.

The Xbox line has lost Microsoft money if you're looking at the whole life of the division, but what Microsoft really cares about is making a profit for the year, which they've been doing for a while now. I believe they've actually even made money on the 360 as a whole at this point after putting themselves in a bad spot with the red ring of death early in its life. They'll probably never make back the billions they spent on busting into the market, but they don't care.

MS isn't interested in making money at all. They're interested in stopping Sony from making inroads into the living room because that's what they're trying to do themselves. Kinect proved itself to be useless for gaming, but it's good as a user interface for the living room, apparently. Why the hell bundle something that's completely useless for gaming with your system and drive the cost up? Because they're not interested in gaming. Neither is Sony. If they happen to make any money off of games then that's just a side effect. They're both much more interested in controlling all of the media that you consume.

Whatever profits that MS has been making on the 360 recently are never going to make up for their losses from their first few years. Their losses from selling bellow cost added to what they lost from the lawsuit about the RRoD and the several billion dollars to fix that situation alone are going to take a while to dig out from under. Besides, there are no more hard numbers on their XBox division. They've buried it in a combined division so they can hide the losses. Apparently, the real numbers are closer to about $2 Billion lost each year, still.

Just like how Sony likes to hide their real hardware losses by selling components from their other divisions to their games division bellow cost so the numbers look better. Nobody ever really takes a good hard look at the books and everyone pretends that nothing's wrong. Par for the course.

As for MS not caring about all the money they lost on the original XBox, they should and so should you. Because of the huge losses that they've taking they've proven that they don't have a clue how to deal with video games. It's the same old story of throw money at it to make it better. Everyone's costs go up, developers go out of business and all of a sudden several million units sold, which used to be considered a smash hit, and a game still can't manage to break even let alone turn a profit. The entire situation becomes untenable and the industry as a whole begins to falter. Sony and MS don't care because they just want to push hardware that they can control into your living room on the backs of gamers. Everyone else can go bankrupt as long as they get what they want.

Yes, PS3 and 360 have been profitable for a while. Unless another RROD issue comes up, there is little reason to believe PS4 and XBO won't be profitable.

Gaug- Nintendo posted a 9/30 operating loss. Operating losses exclude currency adjustments. That means the Wii U wiped out all the 3DS and software development profits for the period. Ironically, Nintendo made a net profit for the period because of favorable currency adjustments. That info may be useful to you.

The original XBox didn't have any major hardware problems and MS still managed to lose around a billion dollars a year on it, that we know of anyway, and people say that is was a success. Neither did the PS3 and yet Sony still managed to wipe out every bit of money that they've ever made on games, and then some. You don't need a hardware disaster to lose money.

Nintendo isn't making money right now not just because of the Wii U but also because of the 3DS. It's selling great, yeah, but the hardware costs are still up there. That's one of the reasons the 2DS was released. They're really trying to get the costs down. I doubt they're making as much as you think on the 3DS even today. As the costs drop though, they'll make more. And the cost for the Wii U is dropping too. Shouldn't be too long before it becomes profitable as well.

Currency conversion is always an issue though. Especially when you're a smaller company like Nintendo who keeps all of their resources in one country under one currency, and liquid to boot. A small shift can easily wipe out your profit margins. Which makes it even more amazing that Nintendo has seen so few losses over the years.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on January 02, 2014, 01:05:18 PM
I wouldn't call PS3 or 360 flops in pretty much any sense of the word, but they're not as successful as as they look to consumers. Most consumers don't know or care how much Sony and Microsoft lost and how much Nintendo profited. It should matter albeit indirectly because how well a console maker performs affects a lot of things.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 02, 2014, 01:17:18 PM
I wouldn't call PS3 or 360 flops in pretty much any sense of the word, but they're not as successful as as they look to consumers. Most consumers don't know or care how much Sony and Microsoft lost and how much Nintendo profited. It should matter albeit indirectly because how well a console maker performs affects a lot of things.

If the 3D0 was your favorite system of all time then you, your friends, hell everyone in the world could consider it the greatest system ever made! Means nothing in regards to whether it was actually profitable for the the company that made it though. And if your company isn't profitable you're doing it wrong.

If you're not making money, it's a flop. That's a period situation. But the PS3 and 360 were purposeful flops. Do you really think that companies as huge and varied as Sony and MS couldn't come up with a cost effective system that they could honestly sell for a profit from day one? Nintendo has been able to pull that off for almost every single piece of hardware that they've ever released.

Sony and MS have never been able to do that even once.

Why?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on January 02, 2014, 01:23:03 PM
Pretty much every game hardware company there ever was that isn't Nintendo sells the hardware at a loss in order to get it into as many hands as possible in order to make money on software. "Giving away the razor to sell the blades." They could probably do it Nintendo's way, but they want to do it that way, and the fact that virtually everyone else does it that way would lead me to believe it's (or at least it can be) an effective strategy.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Khushrenada on January 02, 2014, 01:25:00 PM
Printers and ink.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 02, 2014, 01:54:39 PM
Pretty much every game hardware company there ever was that isn't Nintendo sells the hardware at a loss in order to get it into as many hands as possible in order to make money on software. "Giving away the razor to sell the blades." They could probably do it Nintendo's way, but they want to do it that way, and the fact that virtually everyone else does it that way would lead me to believe it's (or at least it can be) an effective strategy.

It can be effective in certain industries but seeing as how Nintendo has been around since the early 80s and isn't going anywhere any time soon, you'd think some other companies would realize that the razor and blades method doesn't work with video games. It only works if you're not interested in making any money at all in the first place. And why would you be uninterested in making money? Because you're not interested in games at all to begin with.

I have a glucometer because I'm diabetic. The meter cost nearly nothing but the strips that I NEED to use it cost a fortune. I NEED to buy those strips to use that meter so they sell the meter at a loss because they know that they'll make that money back on the sales of strips.

How many games do I NEED to buy with a games console? If all it really does is plays games and doesn't come with a pack in, I would assume one. But I don't NEED to buy more than one if I don't want to. That's why the razor and blades model doesn't work with games. There is no intrinsic NEED to buy any more games and at that point, if you can't turn a profit from that one game, your console sale to me becomes nothing but red ink.

Printers and ink.

Except with Sony and MS you never make any money on the ink then release a new printer that makes the old printer obsolete and start the cycle all over.

When do they start turning a profit again?

Any other company would be smart enough to let their console division go at this point. MS is on their 3rd system in a row without seeing any return and Sony is, for all intents and purposes because of the huge losses the PS3 incurred for them, on their 4th. When is enough enough?

Everyone else got out. Atari, Sega, NEC, etc, etc. Why the hell are Sony and MS so adamant to continue losing money on games?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on January 02, 2014, 01:56:22 PM
Quote from: gaugheyad

The original XBox didn't have any major hardware problems and MS still managed to lose around a billion dollars ar on it, that we know of anyway, and people say that is was a success.

Microsoft had no first parties and no third party relations. They used an entrance strategy where they knew they were going to lose money initially. They are now fully entrenched in the industry and profitable.

Quote
Neither did the PS3 and yet Sony still managed to wipe out every bit of money that they've ever made on games, and then some. You don't need a hardware disaster to lose money.

Sony made the mistake of thinking people would pay $300 extra for a blue ray player. It was a bad plan. Bad plans can cause you to lose money, I don't see a bad plan this round.

They didn't try to lose money and I dont understand why people think Microsoft and Sony intentionally lose money other than the original Xbox.  These are investor owned companies who only evaluate executives based on profit. Read their financials and you'll get an idea of how important it is for these investments to turn a profit.

Quote
Nintendo isn't making money right now not just because of the Wii U but also because of the 3DS. It's selling great, yeah, but the hardware costs are still up there. That's one of the reasons the 2DS was released. They're really trying to get the costs down. I doubt they're making as much as you think on the 3DS even today. As the costs drop though, they'll make more. And the cost for the Wii U is dropping too. Shouldn't be too long before it becomes profitable as well.

Jigga what?  You think the 3DS is unprofitable?  You should read Iwata's quarterly comments. He clearly blames the financial struggles on the Wii U while having a 3DS love affair. He says fun comments like needing to see how the Wii U does over the holiday before deciding a long term plan for the Wii U. I'd think he'd be a little more upbeat about it if it were close to making a profit.

Quote
Currency conversion is always an issue though. Especially when you're a smaller company like Nintendo who keeps all of their resources in one country under one currency, and liquid to boot. A small shift can easily wipe out your profit margins. Which makes it even more amazing that Nintendo has seen so few losses over the years.

You don't understand currency conversion's impact on Nintendo. They keep a broad amount of cash in dollars and euros since they do business there. These get revalued back to yen and that change in value impacts Nintendo, not the money they hold as yen. The money held as yen will never have gains/loss associated with it since they report in yen.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 02, 2014, 02:25:22 PM
Microsoft had no first parties and no third party relations. They used an entrance strategy where they knew they were going to lose money initially. They are now fully entrenched in the industry and profitable.

http://www.businessinsider.com/microsoft-earns-2-billion-per-year-from-android-patent-royalties-2013-11

As I've said before, you really need to take a good look at those books.

Besides, Nintendo didn't have any real 1st or 3rd party relations either when they started with the NES in what everyone was calling a dead industry. Didn't stop them from posting amazing profits from day one.

Quote
Sony made the mistake of thinking people would pay $300 extra for a blue ray player. It was a bad plan. Bad plans can cause you to lose money, I don't see a bad plan this round.

They didn't try to lose money and I dont understand why people think Microsoft and Sony intentionally lose money other than the original Xbox.  These are investor owned companies who only evaluate executives based on profit. Read their financials and you'll get an idea of how important it is for these investments to turn a profit.

No, they're not actively trying to lose money. That would be insane. But it does sound funny and grab attention, especially since no one seems to be able to come up with a better reason.

What it is is their actual goals have nothing to do with games. So their games systems are really their loss leaders until they get to where they really want to get, which is entrenched in your living room and you paying them for every bit of media that flows into your home. Why else would a company like MS be willing to loose so much over so many years with no sign of a return in sight?

Quote
Jigga what?  You think the 3DS is unprofitable?  You should read Iwata's quarterly comments. He clearly blames the financial struggles on the Wii U while having a 3DS love affair. He says fun comments like needing to see how the Wii U does over the holiday before deciding a long term plan for the Wii U. I'd think he'd be a little more upbeat about it if it were close to making a profit.

I never said the 3DS was unprofitable. I said that it's not making the kinds of profits that a lot of people seem to be assuming that it is. When they dropped the price they started selling at a loss, and it took them a while to make up that loss. We're now looking at 3 different 3DS versions on the market at one time ranging from $129 to $199. Nintendo is currently trying to scrape the market from both ends because it's not turning the kinds of profits that they were hoping it would by now. Hell, even Iwata himself stated that he's been disappointed with sales outside of Japan.

Quote
You don't understand currency conversion's impact on Nintendo. They keep a broad amount of cash in dollars and euros since they do business there. These get revalued back to yen and that change in value impacts Nintendo, not the money they hold as yen. The money held as yen will never have gains/loss associated with it since they report in yen.

I understand that but Nintendo still holds most of their currency in Yen and any fluctuations in the market can still greatly impact their resources and profitability.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on January 02, 2014, 03:51:40 PM

http://www.businessinsider.com/microsoft-earns-2-billion-per-year-from-android-patent-royalties-2013-11

As I've said before, you really need to take a good look at those books.

There is no way for me or anyone to look into the books because Microsoft doesn't publish them. A fun article to generate hits but can't be proven. I think the math is a little fuzzy too. The division is on track for 1B profit. Back out 2B in royalties and you are at 1 B loss. Yet somehow xbox is responsible for 2B loss?  Did the windows phone make 1 B profit? 

Mehdi has said the XBO will break even on day one and tear downs support that.

But it doesn't really matter if Xbox is a failure or not. You seem to be implying that because the competitors are wrong, Nintendo is right. Nintendo is losing money and the Wii U is being rejected by the market. They are not in a good position even if their main competitors are screwing up.

Quote
Besides, Nintendo didn't have any real 1st or 3rd party relations either when they started with the NES in what everyone was calling a dead industry. Didn't stop them from posting amazing profits from day one.

Do I need to explain competition?  NES had none, Xbox had strong competitors. The 2 situations are completely different. And Nintendo did have game development experience with arcades ( DK) and game and watch.
 
Quote
What it is is their actual goals have nothing to do with games. So their games systems are really their loss leaders until they get to where they really want to get, which is entrenched in your living room and you paying them for every bit of media that flows into your home. Why else would a company like MS be willing to loose so much over so many years with no sign of a return in sight?

That's speculative. Microsoft's biggest profits come from supporting businesses. I think dont think xbox is as unprofitable as you think and I dont think they'd be willing to support it indefinitely with losses. Apple/Amazon are their closest competitors in the cloud realm and they get by fine without dedicated gaming devices.

Quote
I never said the 3DS was unprofitable. I said that it's not making the kinds of profits that a lot of people seem to be assuming that it is. When they dropped the price they started selling at a loss, and it took them a while to make up that loss. We're now looking at 3 different 3DS versions on the market at one time ranging from $129 to $199. Nintendo is currently trying to scrape the market from both ends because it's not turning the kinds of profits that they were hoping it would by now. Hell, even Iwata himself stated that he's been disappointed with sales outside of Japan.

Yes, Iwata was disappointed in 3DS sales in 2011. I haven't heard him say he is now. 3DS hasn't dropped in price in 2.5 years and I can't believe it isn't raking in the dough. 2DS is just a good business move and not indicative that they are unsatisfied with the 3DS.

Quote
I understand that but Nintendo still holds most of their currency in Yen and any fluctuations in the market can still greatly impact their resources and profitability.

See when you say things like that it makes me think you dont understand. If Nintendo held 100% of their cash in yen they would never be subject to currency gains/losses. Yen holdings mitigate the risk, they dont expose them to more risk.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: MagicCow64 on January 02, 2014, 04:19:52 PM

 
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What it is is their actual goals have nothing to do with games. So their games systems are really their loss leaders until they get to where they really want to get, which is entrenched in your living room and you paying them for every bit of media that flows into your home. Why else would a company like MS be willing to loose so much over so many years with no sign of a return in sight?

That's speculative. Microsoft's biggest profits come from supporting businesses. I think dont think xbox is as unprofitable as you think and I dont think they'd be willing to support it indefinitely with losses. Apple/Amazon are their closest competitors in the cloud realm and they get by fine without dedicated gaming devices.




I think it's pretty clear that MS doesn't have the healthiest idea of what they're doing in the gaming space. Their operational mode in the last decade has been to blow massive profit from enterprise on speculative ventures attempting to leech market share from established competitors. They're blowing billions eve3ry year on Bing with no hope of ever turning that around, with no end in site. Now that Ballmer's out we might see a rethinking of this late stage capitalism "sell at a loss on make it up in volume" nonsense that only actually seems to work for Amazon.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on January 02, 2014, 04:24:18 PM
It's fair to say they haven't gotten the results they expected. I think that's different than saying they don't care about making profits on games.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on January 02, 2014, 04:33:39 PM
PS3 and 360 have both sold over 80 million consoles. There is no planet where you can call that a flop.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 02, 2014, 04:40:55 PM
There is no way for me or anyone to look into the books because Microsoft doesn't publish them. A fun article to generate hits but can't be proven. I think the math is a little fuzzy too. The division is on track for 1B profit. Back out 2B in royalties and you are at 1 B loss. Yet somehow xbox is responsible for 2B loss?  Did the windows phone make 1 B profit? 

Mehdi has said the XBO will break even on day one and tear downs support that.

But it doesn't really matter if Xbox is a failure or not. You seem to be implying that because the competitors are wrong, Nintendo is right. Nintendo is losing money and the Wii U is being rejected by the market. They are not in a good position even if their main competitors are screwing up.

Sure, you can't 100% prove anything but MS and Sony have been trying their hardest to obscure what's really going on with their games divisions as of late. That's never a good sign.

As for weather XBone will break even or not, again we won't ever know that as, again, obscure and hide is the name of the game. Neither MS or Sony are ever going to be honest about what's really going on with their games divisions. Nintendo on the the other hand, has nowhere to hide so everything is in plain sight at all times.

And no, I'm not implying that Nintendo is right. I'm implying that Sony and MS don't have a single clue about how to deal with games. There is a smarter company out there who could easily show up and even blow Nintendo out of the water. That's always possible. What I'm saying is that if you're not making money, which Sony and MS are not, then you're a failure. Even if Nintendo didn't exist I would feel the same way. Sony and MS don't know how to deal with games at all.

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Do I need to explain competition?  NES had none, Xbox had strong competitors. The 2 situations are completely different. And Nintendo did have game development experience with arcades ( DK) and game and watch.

Do I need to repeat DEAD INDUSTRY? Nintendo may not have had any console competition at the time but according to prevailing thought, there weren't even any customers for Nintendo to sell the NES to in the first place. I'd say that's far more of a miracle than the largest company in the world managing to barely get their foot in the door by blowing billions of dollars year after year.
 
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That's speculative. Microsoft's biggest profits come from supporting businesses. I think dont think xbox is as unprofitable as you think and I dont think they'd be willing to support it indefinitely with losses. Apple/Amazon are their closest competitors in the cloud realm and they get by fine without dedicated gaming devices.

Speculative is it not. MS has stated themselves that the XBox was about getting into the living room before Sony could take it over. Business software is where they make most of their money today, but tablets and smart phones are beginning to eat into that heavily, and businesses want their employees to be as connected as possible so they can work them more hours. MS is currently failing miserably at adapting to that new market. For now the old market will sustain them, but as the old market fades, so will their profits.

It's another reason why they are so willing to continue dumping billions into XBox. They need those new revenue streams badly.

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Yes, Iwata was disappointed in 3DS sales in 2011. I haven't heard him say he is now. 3DS hasn't dropped in price in 2.5 years and I can't believe it isn't raking in the dough. 2DS is just a good business move and not indicative that they are unsatisfied with the 3DS.

He stated it in 2012 as well. I believe I read it around the summer. He was discussing how huge the 3DS was in Japan but he was still disappointed in sales elsewhere. And yes, the 2DS is a good business move but having 3 different models at the same time? And in such a short period of time? Reminds me of the PS3 and it's absurd number of revisions. Again though, I'm not saying it's not profitable, just that Nintendo seems to be less than happy with how it's been doing.

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See when you say things like that it makes me think you dont understand. If Nintendo held 100% of their cash in yen they would never be subject to currency gains/losses. Yen holdings mitigate the risk, they dont expose them to more risk.

Simply by virtue of doing business with companies outside of Japan they are exposed to risk. Their war chest is pretty much in tact, though it too fluctuates with companies outside of Japan, but their day to day and even yearly profits can swing wildly. Far more than either Sony or MS.

It's fair to say they haven't gotten the results they expected. I think that's different than saying they don't care about making profits on games.

And what results would those be? They haven't made any money on games at all and are set to come in 3rd in the last generation, down from 2nd the generation before. If MS would explain what all these losses are supposed to achieve then we might be able to make some sense out of it. But since all we have to go on is the fact that they've already stated that the XBox is a trojan horse to get their hardware into your home and in control of pretty much everything that you do, we're just going to have to go with that.

And at that, they have failed miserably.

I still remember when they anouced the first XBox and said they were expecting 300 millions sales within the first year. Ah... Good times. Good... times...

PS3 and 360 have both sold over 80 million consoles. There is no planet where you can call that a flop.

And neither has made any money for their respective companies. That, my friend, is the definition of a flop. Again, you can sell all the consoles and games you want but if you're not making any money (you know, the stuff that happens to be the life blood of companies?) you won't be doing it for long. Flops they are and flops they will remain, no matter how powerfully gaming fans want to pretend that they aren't.

NO MONEY == TOTAL FLOP
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on January 02, 2014, 05:01:42 PM
Financial statements for all companies including Nintendo's obscure a lot.   How much did Nintendo make off the 3DS last year?  How much on software development?  How much did they make on the Wii?  You can't find it. While Nintendo can't hide their overall results you won't find much in the way of detail.

NES was spectacular for sure. But the gaming crash cleaned out companies and left a void for consumers looking for games. I think it benefited them greatly that there were no competitors.  The main reason for the crash was a market saturation of low quality games, not a lack of consumers.   

Multinational companies are open to all sorts of risk, but we were talking about a very specific risk not all of Nintendo's potential problems. 

You care a lot more about Sony and Microsoft than I do.  They've had disappointments for sure, but they both seem to have learned a lot and I believe they will both be profitable because they are correcting issues instead of plowing ahead like Nintendo.  Sony is 2 out of 3, PS1/PS2 profitable and yet you think they should drop out because PS3 was not? 


So is the essence of what your saying that the Wii U is the PS3 in that it doesn't make money therefore it's a failure? 
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 02, 2014, 05:46:58 PM
Financial statements for all companies including Nintendo's obscure a lot.   How much did Nintendo make off the 3DS last year?  How much on software development?  How much did they make on the Wii?  You can't find it. While Nintendo can't hide their overall results you won't find much in the way of detail.

When Sony and MS won't even list what they made or lost on their console business, that's a problem. Breaking down the 3DS vs Wii U income and losses is absolutely nothing compared to that. At least with Nintendo you get numbers.

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NES was spectacular for sure. But the gaming crash cleaned out companies and left a void for consumers looking for games. I think it benefited them greatly that there were no competitors.

Or it could have failed instantly and drove Nintendo back to hanafuda cards and love hotels. Point being, EVERYONE at the time was saying the NES was going to fail. So much so that Nintendo had to promise stores that they would buy back unsold NES systems if it came to that.

Besides, again, who said there was anyone looking to buy games anymore? The fad was over. Or at least it was supposed to be.

With MS and the XBox though, everyone was certain they would easily become a huge player in the industry, even to the point of cockiness. Sure they're a big player now, but they haven't made any money yet. That's not good.

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Multinational companies are open to all sorts of risk, but we were talking about a very specific risk.

Yeah. But Nintendo will show more of those issues than either Sony and MS who can easily play the slide of hand game and make it look like they're making a profit even when they're losing money because of all the pies they have different fingers in.

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You care a lot more about Sony and Microsoft than I do.  They've had disappointments for sure, but they both seem to have learned a lot and I believe they will both be profitable because they are correcting issues instead of plowing ahead like Nintendo.

I care because they scare me. It wouldn't worry me if they weren't dragging the entire industry down this path of unsustainability. How many developers have gone under already? How many great games have been warped into carbon copies of yearly franchise rehases in an attempt to stem the blood flow? All I see is Sony and MS leading gaming to become more homoginized and less profitable. Eventually it won't be sustainable any more and I'm not even sure Nintendo could survive a crash of that magnitude.

If they can mange to get their act together, I wouldn't care so much. But right now one dumb move from either of them could take down any or even all of the remaining big developers. And as obsessed as 3rd parties are with Sony and MS they'll willingly walk right into it even if they know it will kill them. That combination of power and stupid really, really terrifies me.

An internal Sony developer has already stated that their PS4 budgets have quadrupled from the PS3 and PS3 budgets were already out of control. I don't see that as "learn(ing) a lot" or "correcting issues". Sounds like the same old business, different system.

Pretty much I've taken to the idea that as long as Nintendo is making money things will be okay. Since the Wii proved that 3rd parties are more than willing to burn their own market down in order to be seen as one of the "big boys", I've pretty much given up on all of them.

But I watch... because I'm expecting the worst. And that will most definitely be coming from either Sony, MS or most likely the both of them.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on January 02, 2014, 06:02:35 PM
What exactly is the point of this argument, anyway? Even if you're right that Sony and Microsoft are lying when they say their game divisions are profitable, how is that relevant to Nintendo and to us?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: smallsharkbigbite on January 02, 2014, 06:07:05 PM

When Sony and MS won't even list what they made or lost on their console business, that's a problem. Breaking down the 3DS vs Wii U income and losses is absolutely nothing compared to that. At least with Nintendo you get numbers.

Sony does, MS doesn't.

http://www.ign.com/articles/2013/08/01/sony-shows-a-profit-but-hardware-sales-are-soft (http://www.ign.com/articles/2013/08/01/sony-shows-a-profit-but-hardware-sales-are-soft)

I found older reports that showed the playstation division was profitable before PS4 costs crept in. 

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Or it could have failed instantly and drove Nintendo back to hanafuda cards and love hotels. Point being, EVERYONE at the time was saying the NES was going to fail. So much so that Nintendo had to promise stores that they would buy back unsold NES systems if it came to that.

LOL, if only the internet was around back then so I could fact check that.  I was too young to remember people predicting imminent failure for the NES> 

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Besides, again, who said there was anyone looking to buy games anymore? The fad was over. Or at least it was supposed to be.

Bunch of shovelware is why video games crashed.

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Yeah. But Nintendo will show more of those issues than either Sony and MS who can easily play the slide of hand game and make it look like they're making a profit even when they're losing money because of all the pies they have different fingers in.

You said Nintendo had currency losses because they kept 100% of their money in yen.

A: It's false they kept 100% of their money in yen.

B: It's false that keeping 100% of their money in yen would lead to a currency loss.

Now you're trying to change the discussion.  I'm not willing to take it farther, but I doubt that Nintendo has more risks than Sony or Microsoft. 

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I care because they scare me. It wouldn't worry me if they weren't dragging the entire industry down this path of unsustainability.

They aren't dragging the industry down.  Nintendo has failed to innovate and bring the software to the market that the market wants and they are unsuccessful because of it.  Plus, it's not worth worrying about, you can't change anything.

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How many developers have gone under already?

Developers are in general are very poorly capitalized.  They distribute any profits, take out loans to make games.  If they game fails and they can't pay the loan, they close up shop and move to a different studio.  It's been going on this way for a while. 

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An internal Sony developer has already stated that their PS4 budgets have quadrupled from the PS3 and PS3 budgets were already out of control. I don't see that as "learn(ing) a lot" or "correcting issues". Sounds like the same old business, different system.

Missed that quote and there really is no reason to believe those budgets would have quadrupled.  EA is on record as saying next gen is 4% more costly. 

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Pretty much I've taken to the idea that as long as Nintendo is making money things will be okay. Since the Wii proved that 3rd parties are more than willing to burn their own market down in order to be seen as one of the "big boys", I've pretty much given up on all of them.

So things aren't okay since they aren't making money.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on January 02, 2014, 06:32:43 PM
PS3 and 360 were sold (and are still sold) at prices that they know they aren't profiting from the hardware with. I don't know how you can call that a flop, especially when they sold over 80 million each. They didn't expect people to pay $1000 for their consoles, they are sold at their own MSRP. If you average the PS3's price at $450 over the past 7 years, that's $36 billion in revenue. If they sold, let's say, 1 million consoles, then you could call it a flop. No interest and no sales = flop. Selling 80 million systems  = not a flop.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 02, 2014, 10:06:52 PM
What exactly is the point of this argument, anyway? Even if you're right that Sony and Microsoft are lying when they say their game divisions are profitable, how is that relevant to Nintendo and to us?

The point is that they're putting out hardware that is severely overpowered and selling it at a loss, meaning that they can't even afford to be putting the hardware out at it's actual cost because no one would buy it then. Now because the hardware is so overpowered that leaves a lot of power to dump into games. Problem is, the way Sony and MS "encourage" 3rd parties to do business, they're going to feel pressured to use all that power, even if the costs associated with it are so high that a multi-million selling game can fail to make back its budget.

The whole system is out of whack. Budgets have already blown up to the point where they're dangerously out of control and now they're releasing even more powerful hardware ensuring that budgets will continue to swell even more? They just don't seem to give a damn about whether 3rd parties can support this hardware but they will try and they will push for bigger and better because that's been the mantra for years from both Sony, MS and even other developers.

The only one who doesn't follow that ideology is Nintendo. They ensure that their hardware isn't so powerful that their own developers can't get a grip on it and put out games that will be difficult if not impossible to control the costs of. Yes, developers NEED those limits or they will kill themselves. That has been shown time and time again these last several years.

Missed that quote and there really is no reason to believe those budgets would have quadrupled.  EA is on record as saying next gen is 4% more costly.

Killzone: Shadow Fall’s lead designer on the PS4:

“The architecture is really cool because it’s easier to develop for, you get more memory, you get more hard drive space, you get more processing power so the architecture is easier,”
“It’s also a lot more demanding, because the production effort needed just to make a next-gen title now is not doubled; it’s quadrupled.”
“That’s because everything needs to look that much better.”
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So things aren't okay since they aren't making money.

No they're not. But they will be making money again soon so it's not that big of a deal. Now if they were predicting to see losses for several years, now that would be a problem.

Nothing else needs to be responded to because you're simply splitting hairs at this point.

PS3 and 360 were sold (and are still sold) at prices that they know they aren't profiting from the hardware with. I don't know how you can call that a flop, especially when they sold over 80 million each. They didn't expect people to pay $1000 for their consoles, they are sold at their own MSRP. If you average the PS3's price at $450 over the past 7 years, that's $36 billion in revenue. If they sold, let's say, 1 million consoles, then you could call it a flop. No interest and no sales = flop. Selling 80 million systems  = not a flop.

80 millions systems and not a dime to show for it screams flop. Deny it all you want. They made NO MONEY AT ALL. Now I know you can read that. None. Nada. Zip. They're even more in the hole now because of the losses from the PS4 and XBone. No money. Lost a fortune on the deal actually. Didn't even break even which would be SOMETHING. Sony is completely in the red from ALL of their previous games profits because of the PS3. All of it gone. Poof! Up in smoke. MS is even worse off. They still haven't even made a dent on the losses from the original XBox, let alone the 360.

Failure.
Failure.
Failure.

If Nintendo had put out either the PS3 or the 360 with the same sales and even the same 3rd party support they would be gone today. G-O-N-E. No money means no company. Sony and MS are feeding off the entrails of their other divisions in order to keep their consoles going.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: pokepal148 on January 02, 2014, 11:34:32 PM
We have no idea how much money Sony and Microsoft made (or un-made) from their respective divisions. We can't make such statements based only on speculation like this. We cannot say conclusively that the Xbox and PlayStation brands were unsuccessful as a whole because we do not have every piece of information to make such judgments.

Right now however after the disaster that was once known as Windows 8 I think it's safe to say Microsoft will take what they can get from the xbone. Sure it may have lost them money compared to ten years ago but I think it's safe to say right now the xbone is all they have atm. Sony has had to have made something on the PlayStation brand overall considering the relative haywire going on with that company just hemorrhagging money on half baked ideas in their other departments (see any smartphone they made before the Xperia Z or that bid they made on 3d TV)
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: tendoboy1984 on January 02, 2014, 11:38:43 PM
Sony and Microsoft make up for their hardware losses with PSN/Xbox Live subscriptions and 3rd-party royalties.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 03, 2014, 12:00:53 AM
We have no idea how much money Sony and Microsoft made (or un-made) from their respective divisions. We can't make such statements based only on speculation like this. We cannot say conclusively that the Xbox and PlayStation brands were unsuccessful as a whole because we do not have every piece of information to make such judgments.

Right now however after the disaster that was once known as Windows 8 I think it's safe to say Microsoft will take what they can get from the xbone. Sure it may have lost them money compared to ten years ago but I think it's safe to say right now the xbone is all they have atm. Sony has had to have made something on the PlayStation brand overall considering the relative haywire going on with that company just hemorrhagging money on half baked ideas in their other departments (see any smartphone they made before the Xperia Z or that bid they made on 3d TV)

We know that it was billions that were lost, by both of them, up until they started to try and obscure what was really happening. We'll never know the real extent of the damage but it was very sever. We also know that a company doing well isn't going to try and hide those profits by burying them under an umbrella division as Sony and MS have done.

Sony and Microsoft make up for their hardware losses with PSN/Xbox Live subscriptions and 3rd-party royalties.

Neither of them make enough from royalties or services to cover the kinds of losses that they've accrued. Again, billions. They've each lost billions.

How can that not be seen as anything but absurd?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on January 03, 2014, 01:06:50 AM
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101212582

"Although Sony brought the PlayStation 3's costs down significantly during its lifetime, the company's intent was never to make money on the hardware, but rather to profit through sales of games and content," said Andrew Rassweiler, senior director, cost benchmarking services for IHS.

How can you call that a flop? Like I said, they did exactly what they set out to do - sell millions of consoles at their MSRP, even if it was at a loss (for a while). Doing what you plan on doing = not a flop. Not failure. Not failure. Not failure. Every extra controller, every licensed accessory, every game (especially digital) sold = profit, or at least break even to wear the PS4 is already being sold for more than it costs to build and Sony will join Nintendo in making money off of hardware sales.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on January 03, 2014, 01:07:48 AM
By the way, I basically loathe Sony. Yes, I own a PS4...and PS3...and PSP. I do enjoy games.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 03, 2014, 01:29:16 AM
http://www.cnbc.com/id/101212582 (http://www.cnbc.com/id/101212582)

"Although Sony brought the PlayStation 3's costs down significantly during its lifetime, the company's intent was never to make money on the hardware, but rather to profit through sales of games and content," said Andrew Rassweiler, senior director, cost benchmarking services for IHS.

How can you call that a flop? Like I said, they did exactly what they set out to do - sell millions of consoles at their MSRP, even if it was at a loss (for a while). Doing what you plan on doing = not a flop. Not failure. Not failure. Not failure. Every extra controller, every licensed accessory, every game (especially digital) sold = profit, or at least break even to wear the PS4 is already being sold for more than it costs to build and Sony will join Nintendo in making money off of hardware sales.

Except they didn't do that. They didn't profit from the hardware, sure NOW they say that they never intended to (riiiiiiiiiight..., he said sarcastically), but they also didn't profit from software or peripherals nor anything else. They didn't make any profit AT ALL. The PS3 was one giant money sink from beginning to end.

Flop.

As for the PS4, we'll have to see if Sony has learned any real lessons but it's going to be near impossible to prove what with all the juggling Sony has been doing to hide their real losses as it is. And they've had years of practice at it.

In regards to disclosure: I bought an original PSX. Completely swore off Sony after that, and have never owned an XBox anything.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on January 03, 2014, 02:22:24 AM
It seems Sean Malstrom reads this forum, and he goes by the name of gaugheyad. He makes just about as much sense and is just about as tolerable.  ::)

Hey Nostradamus! I'm really curious on what factual basis you're basing your claim that Nintendo will "make money on the Wii U in the future."  So far, the Wii U's been a failure sold at a loss with few 3rd party games and very little sales on what 1st party titles Nintendo did release.  Despite this, you somehow claim that the Wii U will be profitable for Nintendo next year being sold at an even greater loss, with even fewer 3rd party games, even less media coverage, and even fewer 1st party games (as far as we know). Yeah, Mario Kart Wii and Smash Bros. Brawl sold well on the Wii, but this is not the Wii and Nintendo does not have the install base on the Wii U that the Wii had.  It's just a liiiiitle reaching to think that just those 2 games (which are all Nintendo has announced for 2014 that could sell particularly well) are enough to make the Wii U suddenly not a disaster.  Mario 3D World under-performing in November certainly doesn't help that claim, either.

Unless Nintendo can bring down the cost of producing the albatross that is the GamePad and make people give a flying **** about the Wii U in 2014 against two significantly more capable consoles and the PC, I just don't see that happening.  Once again, it'll be up to the 3DS to hide what a failure the Wii U was, just as Nintendo tried to do this year.  Say...that sounds an awful lot like what you accuse Sony and Microsoft of doing! Who'd have thought?!

On top of that, you repeatedly claim that Sony hides the cost of their PlayStation division behind the profits of their other divisions, but the PlayStation division has been one of the few profitable Sony divisions in recent years.  Their Home Electronics division (TVs, etc.). has routinely been an economic disaster, which the PlayStation division has been forced to try to promote in the past with gimmicky features like 3D, etc.  IIRC It got so bad, actually, that Kaz Hirai had to basically come out and tell the other divisions that they were on their own once he took over as President, because the PlayStation division wouldn't be carrying their water anymore.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on January 03, 2014, 02:30:44 AM
God damn, gaugheyad. What are you smoking?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: gaugheyad on January 03, 2014, 05:10:36 AM
...
...

Here's are a couple of links form Wikipedia that you two might find interesting:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egocentrism
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terror_management_theory

Sorry there aren't any pictures.

Don't respond because I won't be back to read it.

Ever.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Spak-Spang on January 03, 2014, 08:12:16 AM
What just happened? 
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on January 03, 2014, 08:51:19 AM
The guy making baseless claims about Sony and Microsoft's business practices announced he's never coming back because of two very slight, somewhat playful insults. Where's broodwars to come in here and post that clip from The Critic?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: BranDonk Kong on January 03, 2014, 09:02:27 AM
Probably another animecyberat dupe.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: NWR_insanolord on January 03, 2014, 09:12:30 AM
I thought it might be Ty but dismissed that as this guy wasn't up to his level, but being rat makes a lot more sense.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Adrock on January 03, 2014, 10:40:07 AM
So far, the Wii U's been a failure sold at a loss with few 3rd party games and very little sales on what 1st party titles Nintendo did release.  Despite this, you somehow claim that the Wii U will be profitable for Nintendo next year being sold at an even greater loss, with even fewer 3rd party games, even less media coverage, and even fewer 1st party games (as far as we know).
Not that I want to get in the middle of this (which has been entertaining thus far and nice to be on the outside looking in for a change), but is Wii U still sold at a loss? I was unclear over whether the Basic and Premium Sets were both sold at a loss at launch. I recall reading that the Basic Set was sold at a loss while the Premium Set was not though I'm not sure if that was ever confirmed. That wouldn't surprise me because I didn't think the Premium Set cost Nintendo $50 in raw materials. Nintendo cut the price of the Premium Set (and quietly recalled the Basic Set then repackaged it with Skylanders) about 11 months after launch. The cost of components could have dropped enough in that time for Nintendo to cut the price $50 and still turn a profit.
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Unless Nintendo can bring down the cost of producing the albatross that is the GamePad...
Raw materials were estimated at a little less than $80 at launch. It's probably less than that now. How much does Nintendo have to bring down the cost?

"The way I remember it, albatross was a ship's good luck, 'til some idiot killed it." - Captain Mal Reynolds
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Soren on January 03, 2014, 11:15:10 AM
The Wii U was still being sold at a loss as of August. There was an erroneous report that said it made a profit after selling one piece of software. Reggie later clarified it was "more than one game", but didn't specify how many. If current attach rates for the console are true then it wouldn't be a stretch to say it's still being sold at a loss.
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on January 03, 2014, 11:37:56 AM
The guy making baseless claims about Sony and Microsoft's business practices announced he's never coming back because of two very slight, somewhat playful insults. Where's broodwars to come in here and post that clip from The Critic?

Ask and ye shall receive.


...
...

Here's are a couple of links form Wikipedia that you two might find interesting:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egocentrism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egocentrism)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terror_management_theory (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terror_management_theory)

Sorry there aren't any pictures.

Don't respond because I won't be back to read it.

Ever.

*sheathes his hidden blades*

Ti ho dato un giorno intero per fare un pazzo di te. Lo strumento della tua scomparsa è stata una delle vostra creazione. Requiescat in pace.

(I gave you an entire day to make a fool of yourself. The instrument of your demise was one of your own making. Rest in peace.)
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: Oblivion on January 03, 2014, 05:09:14 PM

The guy making baseless claims about Sony and Microsoft's business practices announced he's never coming back because of two very slight, somewhat playful insults. Where's broodwars to come in here and post that clip from The Critic?

Ask and ye shall receive.


...
...

Here's are a couple of links form Wikipedia that you two might find interesting:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egocentrism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egocentrism)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terror_management_theory (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terror_management_theory)

Sorry there aren't any pictures.

Don't respond because I won't be back to read it.

Ever.

*sheathes his hidden blades*

Ti ho dato un giorno intero per fare un pazzo di te. Lo strumento della tua scomparsa è stata una delle vostra creazione. Requiescat in pace.

(I gave you an entire day to make a fool of yourself. The instrument of your demise was one of your own making. Rest in peace.)


Are you Italian? Or did you just Google Translate it like I did?
Title: Re: Wii U is the new PS3?
Post by: broodwars on January 03, 2014, 05:28:42 PM

The guy making baseless claims about Sony and Microsoft's business practices announced he's never coming back because of two very slight, somewhat playful insults. Where's broodwars to come in here and post that clip from The Critic?

Ask and ye shall receive.


...
...

Here's are a couple of links form Wikipedia that you two might find interesting:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egocentrism (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Egocentrism)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terror_management_theory (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Terror_management_theory)

Sorry there aren't any pictures.

Don't respond because I won't be back to read it.

Ever.

*sheathes his hidden blades*

Ti ho dato un giorno intero per fare un pazzo di te. Lo strumento della tua scomparsa è stata una delle vostra creazione. Requiescat in pace.

(I gave you an entire day to make a fool of yourself. The instrument of your demise was one of your own making. Rest in peace.)


Are you Italian? Or did you just Google Translate it like I did?

Google Translate, which is probably as accurate as Ezio's Italian ever was in the Assassin's Creed games, anyway. :p