Nintendo of America President Reggie Fils-Aime believes the Wii has many more systems to sell.
http://www.nintendoworldreport.com/news/24446
The successor to the Wii is not a must for 2011, according to Nintendo of America President Reggie Fils-Aime in an interview with Kotaku.
"As we sit here today we're saying the Wii has many, many more units to sell," Fils-Aime said. "After we've reached an installed base of 45 million here in the U.S., we can have a conversation about the next generation."
According to the NPD Group, the Wii has currently sold a little more than 30 million units. If the system were to continue to sell as well as it has over the past four years, then it would likely reach 45 million units, at the earliest, in 2012.
Reggie isn't stupid, his higher ups told him to say this. If Nintendo of Japan does not release a new console next year I bet investors would jump ship and the stock would fall.
Of course, that's based on the premise that Reggie isn't full of crap.
Of course, that's based on the premise that Reggie isn't full of crap.
Considering that Nintendo of America is little more than a puppet division of Nintendo of Japan, this is highly likely. Either that, or Nintendo of Japan is severely underestimating Kinect and Move's potential to slow Wii sales.
If Nintendo of Japan does not release a new console next year I bet investors would jump ship and the stock would fall.
There's also the fact that hardly any of Nintendo's major studio's couldn't realistically have anything for a Wii 2 launch in 2011. It takes Nintendo's studio's on average about 2-3 years to make a game. Considering all of their studio's have recently released something on the Wii in the last year, or have a 3DS game scheduled to come out next year, that makes it virtually impossible for them to have anything to launch the system with in 2011 or even early 2012.You make it sound like Nintendo's studios can't make more than one game at a time. And what have most of Nintendo's studios even released over the last year that would prevent them from being ready for a Wii2 near the end of 2011 (with a more likely release date of early 2012 now that 3DS has been delayed)?
Not to mention the fact that Nintendo has never developed any HD games before. If the Wii 2 is going to be rivaling the 360/PS3 or even more powerful, it's going to take the early generation of games even longer then normal for their studio's to make since none of them have any experience with HD development and have to create new engines as well. The jump between systems isn't going to be like it was with the Gamecube/Wii where they were able to easily modify all their existing Gamecube engines. If they're going to be hitting 360/PS3 level power, then it's going to take a lot more work this time.Actually Nintendo's may not have been doing HD development, but their assets have been of a really good quality and that is why they look so good ont he Dolphin emulator. If the Wii2 is capable of upscaling Wii games, Nintendo own games will already look HD, so I'm sure they will have it together when actual HD development is revealed. (I would love to see Kirby running on the Wii emulator BTW)
So like I've said many time before, the earliest a Wii's successor will launch is Fall 2012 just from the basic fact that's when we could realistically expect a decent lineup of games to be ready based on Nintendo's previous development history and how their studio's work. Hell, I wouldn't be surprised if the Wii successor doesn't launch until 2013 just for the fact that HD development might end up causes some of Nintendo's studio's some trouble because of their lack of experience right now. Similar to how most other Japanese studio's ended taking so long to release a lot of their 360/PS3 games because HD development proved to be harder then they expected it to be.I really wouldn't be surprised if Skyward Sword was getting the Twilight Princess treatment with a Wii & Wii2 version. And don't forget that a Wii2 launch would likely be littered with 3rd party ports from PS360. 3rd parties have got the HD development under control now and Nintendo is no slouch when it comes to the assets they've been using, so I think they are more ready for HD development than you give them credit for. I'm not expecting Nintendo to chase the Photorealism(outside of maybe pikmin) so I don't think HD development will be all that hard.
The 3DS strategy is unhealthy. (http://seanmalstrom.wordpress.com/2010/11/14/oct-29-2010-nintendo-corporate-briefing/) Nintendo is focusing too much on tech and not enough on games.
If you think the Wii's successor will come out any time before Holiday 2012, you're pretty much delusional, and apparently have also not paid any attention to the history of the various consoles' announce and release schedules. Just because they're launching the 3DS at an odd time of year doesn't mean they'll do the same with their next home console, especially considering they probably won't even announce it until E3.
I assume we will see or at least hear about the Wii 2 before we reach 45 million. I think it will be mentioned at E3 2011
Read the article and not the snippet. There was no puppetry and no sincere truth in it; just PR at it's most uninteresting.
I did the research for the story, and the Wii, despite all of its sales success, has sold 30 million in a month or two shy of four years. Do you really think it's got the power to keep that pace up for two years? I don't.
You make it sound like Nintendo's studios can't make more than one game at a time. And what have most of Nintendo's studios even released over the last year that would prevent them from being ready for a Wii2 near the end of 2011 (with a more likely release date of early 2012 now that 3DS has been delayed)?
I'm sure Retro is working on more than just Donkey Kong.
Who made Kirby? what else are they working on?
SMG2 is done and Pikmin 3 is being worked on, but what else is this studio working on?
WiiParty.... probably not a studio encompassing project.
Zelda Wii.... when does that come out again?
Xenoblade is done, what else are they working on?
Nintendo has plenty of studios that I'm sure we haven't seen anything from in quite a while, what are they all up to?
You make it sound like Nintendo's studios can't make more than one game at a time. And what have most of Nintendo's studios even released over the last year that would prevent them from being ready for a Wii2 near the end of 2011 (with a more likely release date of early 2012 now that 3DS has been delayed)?
I'm sure Retro is working on more than just Donkey Kong.
Who made Kirby? what else are they working on?
SMG2 is done and Pikmin 3 is being worked on, but what else is this studio working on?
WiiParty.... probably not a studio encompassing project.
Zelda Wii.... when does that come out again?
Xenoblade is done, what else are they working on?
Nintendo has plenty of studios that I'm sure we haven't seen anything from in quite a while, what are they all up to?
Here's a list of all of Nintendo first and second party studio's that actually developed games for the Wii are currently up to and what they've recently done. I'm leaving out the studio's that only made games for the DS since I doubt Nintendo's going to suddenly have them start working on HD games when they weren't even making normal Wii games.
EAD 1 - Currently working on Mario Kart 3DS and Nintendogs + Cats. Last game released was Mario Kart Wii over 2.5 years ago and before that was Mario Kart DS released 5 years ago.
EAD 2 - Currently working on Animal Crossing 3DS and Pilotwings Resort. Last game released was Wii Sports Resort over a year ago, and before that was Animal Crossing Wii and Wii Music 2 years ago.
EAD 3 - Currently working on Skyward Sword and Ocarina of Time remake. Last handheld Zelda was release almost 1 year ago but last home console Zelda was released 4 years ago.
EAD 4 - Currently rumored to be working on Pikmin 3 for the Wii since they did the New Play Control Pikmin ports. Last game released was New Super Mario Bros Wii which was 1 year ago and before that was Big Brain Academy: Wii Degree over 3 years ago.
EAD 5 - Current development unknown. Last released game was Wii Fit Plus a little over a year ago and before that was Wii Fit almost 3 years ago in Japan.
Tokyo EAD - Current project unknown. Last game was Mario Galaxy 2 released 6 months ago and before that was Mario Galaxy released 3 years ago.
Intelligent Systems - Currently working on Paper Mario 3DS. Last game released was Fire Emblem: Mystery of the Emblem remake for the DS 4 months ago in Japan. Last home console game though was Fire Emblem: Radiant Dawn released over 3 years ago.
Monolith Soft - Current game unknown. Last game was Xenoblade released 5 months ago in Japan, and before that was Disaster released 2 years ago.
Retro Studios - Currently working on Donkey Kong Country Returns which comes out in almost a week. Last game before that was Metroid Prime 3 which was released 3 years ago.
Nd Cube - Just recently released Wii Party, can't find much on any of their previous games except for F-Zero Maximum Velocity for the GBA in 2001 and Tube Slider for the Gamecube in 2003. Of course Nintendo just bought the entire company and recently turned it into a first party studio so I imagine it'll be getting more productive soon.
Creatures Inc - Current project unknown. Recently released Pokemon Ranger: Guardian Signs for the DS and released PokePark Wii: Pikachu's Adventure for the Wii a year ago in Japan which was their first home console game since the canceled EarthBound 64.
Camelot - Recently released Golden Sun: Dark Dawn for the DS but they did make We Love Golf for Capcom on the Wii which was released almost 3 years ago.
Genius Sonority - Currently working on a Pokemon typing game for the DS. Last Wii game to be released was Pokemon Battle Revolution in late 2006 and Dragon Quest Swords back in 2007 where they help assist Eighting in development.
Good Feel - Just released Kirby's Epic Yarn and before that was Wario Land Shake back in 2008.
Monster Games - Current Project unknown. Last game released was Exitebots over 1.5 years ago and before that was Exite Trucks back in late 2006.
Next Level Games - Recently worked on several Wii titles, last one for Nintendo themselves was Punch-Out!! over 1.5 years ago and Mario Strikers Charged over 3 years ago.
Paon - Recent game unknown. Last game was the Klonoa remake for the Wii which was released 2 years ago in Japan and before that was DK: Barrel Blast over 3 years.
Skip - Recent game unknown. Last game was a Chibi Robo for the DS over a year ago that has stayed Japan only and for the Wii Captain Rainbow released over 2 years ago.
Based on the recent development history of all these studios, I just don't see how most of them could realistically have anything ready for a late 2011 or early 2012 launch. Not to mention the studio's that haven't released any Wii games lately are mostly the lesser ones like Paon and Skip which point to them probably releasing normal Wii games in 2011 to help give the Wii some more support for 2011/early 2012 since Nintendo would not launch a new system on the backs of these developers.
So what is the difference between these two stories that makes it so vastly different?
I'm pretty sure no one has actually forgotten about this but I think we all know the Wii swan song will be DQX sometime in the latter half of 2011. Or atleast it's supposed to be... the game still hasn't been officially announced or revealed.
I'm pretty sure no one has actually forgotten about this but I think we all know the Wii swan song will be DQX sometime in the latter half of 2011. Or atleast it's supposed to be... the game still hasn't been officially announced or revealed.
I hate to say it, but its very possible that game could either get canceled or moved to another console. I know no one wants to hear that or admit it could happen, but it has happened so often in the past that we should steel ourselves to the possibility so we don't get too devastated if it happens yet again. That said, of course I'm hoping it doesn't, but you really never know...
Don't count your chickens until they've hatched.
