Gaming Forums => Nintendo Gaming => Topic started by: UncleBob on June 21, 2010, 10:37:35 PM
Title: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: UncleBob on June 21, 2010, 10:37:35 PM
So, hot topic of discussion right now - you get seven days to vote. You can change your vote. When it launches, we'll dig this thread back up and see how close we were.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BeautifulShy on June 21, 2010, 10:44:33 PM
January 2011 is my guess. Pokemon Black and White will likely be in America in March and this will give players time to grab the 3DS before launch of Black and White.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: bustin98 on June 21, 2010, 10:47:17 PM
March 2011. Or later, depending on supply constraints of the display.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Guitar Smasher on June 21, 2010, 10:57:19 PM
I'm expecting the system to sell out in Japan. For months. This might delay the American launch, past March'11.
But if Sony somehow releases the rumoured PSP2 first quarter 2011, then NoA will be forced to launch.
Although the fact Americans have experienced the system already as opposed to the Japanese (who I assume haven't), this may entice NoA to get it out here much sooner.
Too many variables.
But my guess goes to March 2011.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Mop it up on June 21, 2010, 11:03:08 PM
It's a tough call, really. I wouldn't be surprised if Nintendo pushed it out for the holiday season. But I decided on March, since I think Nintendo will want to make sure they have a solid launch line up.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: nickmitch on June 22, 2010, 12:53:46 PM
I'm going with March too. If there aren't enough launch games (which I doubt) a new Pokemon game with optional 3D will be there.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on June 22, 2010, 01:06:35 PM
Holiday 2010 to combat Waanabwii's.
3DS is gonna take the attention of the casual and the core.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Pale on June 22, 2010, 01:53:06 PM
I don't think they are going to make their goal.
Mostly because I think they would be pretty dumb not to launch this thing at Christmas time and there is no way it's going to be ready for this Christmas.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: MysticGohan on June 22, 2010, 02:26:02 PM
Could end up repeating the DS's launch, what'cha think?
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: that Baby guy on June 22, 2010, 02:39:04 PM
Mostly because I think they would be pretty dumb not to launch this thing at Christmas time and there is no way it's going to be ready for this Christmas.
Seriously? With what they showed there, it looked like a variety of games were nearly completed. Maybe not so many 3rd party titles, but some of Nintendo's games looked almost ready to go. I say the third Sunday in November.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on June 22, 2010, 02:46:26 PM
Back at GDC devs were saying that they were supposed to target game completion for release this year.
I'm sure they will have plenty of games ready for launch including the 3DSware Retro Upgrades.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Kytim89 on June 22, 2010, 02:49:46 PM
I am going to bet and place the 3DS launch in November 2010. The anniversary of the official release of the DS brand in America. I see Nintendo releasing their new tech to reinforce the wii against the Kinect and Sony's Move.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: that Baby guy on June 22, 2010, 03:14:42 PM
Back at GDC devs were saying that they were supposed to target game completion for release this year.
I'm sure they will have plenty of games ready for launch including the 3DSware Retro Upgrades.
Has anyone actually published the prospective list Nintendo has up on their press kit for 3DS titles? It's long, I took a look at it for the first time today.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: DAaaMan64 on June 22, 2010, 03:18:49 PM
Rare should do some 3DS stuff. ;)
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: NWR_insanolord on June 22, 2010, 03:32:40 PM
The more I think about it, the more certain I am that it's coming this year. The 3DS would do a lot better in sales launching in the 4th quarter than in the 1st, and I don't think it would have any real effect on DS sales. Most of the people who would buy a DS this holiday season will do so regardless of whether or not the 3DS is there; there isn't much overlap between people who waited 6 years to buy a DS and people who will buy a 3DS at launch.
The 3DS will launch on November 21st, 2010. It was mentioned on RFN, and I saw the pattern prior to that: Nintendo launches hardware the Sunday before Thanksgiving. The GameCube, DS, and Wii all launched on that day, and I don't see any reason that will change. It also has the side benefit of being 6 years to the day after the launch of the original DS.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: TJ Spyke on June 22, 2010, 04:01:12 PM
I don't see it coming out this year, the DS is still selling way to good. March 2011 is when I see a worldwide launch.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: NWR_insanolord on June 22, 2010, 04:20:53 PM
The DS will sell really well whether the 3DS is out or not. The 3DS, on the other hand, would sell a lot better if it comes out late this year than if it comes out early next year.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on June 22, 2010, 05:33:08 PM
Back at GDC devs were saying that they were supposed to target game completion for release this year.
I'm sure they will have plenty of games ready for launch including the 3DSware Retro Upgrades.
Has anyone actually published the prospective list Nintendo has up on their press kit for 3DS titles? It's long, I took a look at it for the first time today.
Quote from: Nintendo Press Site - 3DS Title List
Below is a partial list of upcoming first- and third- party games for the new Nintendo 3DS system. Note that game titles are subject to change. Publisher Game
Activision Publishing, Inc. DJ Hero® 3D AQ INTERACTIVE cubic ninja
KONAMI Baseball franchise Contra franchise Frogger franchise HIDEO KOJIMA’S METAL GEAR SOLID SNAKE EATER 3D “The Naked Sample” PRO EVOLUTION SOCCER franchise / WINNING ELEVEN franchise
LEVEL-5 Professor Layton and the Mask of Miracle (name not final)
Majesco Entertainment BloodRayne: The Shroud A Boy and His Blob Face Racers: Photo Finish Lion’s Pride: Adventures on the Serengeti Martha Stewart WonderWorld Amusement Park
Marvelous Entertainment BOKUJYOUMONOGATARI 3D (name not final)
NAMCO BANDAI Games Dragon Ball® franchise (name not final) Gundam® franchise (name not final) PAC-MAN™ & GALAGA™ (name not final) RIDGE RACER® (name not final) Super Robot franchise (name not final)
Nintendo Animal Crossing™ Kid Icarus: Uprising Mario Kart™ nintendogs™ + cats Paper Mario™ PilotWings Resort™ Star Fox 64™ 3D Steel Diver™
ROCKET Crash-City GP VS-robo
SEGA Sonic (name not final) Super Monkey Ball (name not final)
SQUARE ENIX CODENAME: Chocobo Racing® 3D DRAGON QUEST® franchise FINAL FANTASY® franchise KINGDOM HEARTS franchise
Take-Two Interactive Carnival Games® franchise
TECMO KOEI GAMES DEAD OR ALIVE® 3D (name not final) DYNASTY WARRIORS® (name not final) NINJA GAIDEN® (name not final) SAMURAI WARRIORS® 3D (name not final)
TOMY LOVELY LISA 3D NARUTO SHIPPUDEN ACTION
THQ de Blob 2 Kung Fu Panda Kaboom of Doom Marvel Super Hero Squad Infinity Gauntlet The Penguins of Madagascar Puss N Boots Saints Row: Drive-By
Ubisoft Assassin’s Creed™ Lost Legacy Battle of Giants™: Dinosaur Strike Driver® Renegade Hollywood 61 (name not final) Tom Clancy’s Ghost Recon™ Tom Clancy’s Splinter Cell Chaos Theory™ Warner Bros Batman franchise LEGO franchise
Dems alot a titles.... I think 3DS launch this Xmas will be fine ;)
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: TJ Spyke on June 22, 2010, 05:45:57 PM
I think it's a safe bet that at least 80% of those will not be at launch.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on June 22, 2010, 05:58:10 PM
That's the point. There is a metric ton of titles on the way and since GDC devs have been making games with Holiday 2010 release in mind. Assuming 80% of those don't ship during the holidays, there are still plenty of titles to trickle out over the following months with more to be revealed & released between Jan 2011 and E3 2011.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Arbok on June 22, 2010, 06:24:22 PM
My gut says November 2010, so going with that
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: NeoStar9X on June 22, 2010, 08:03:19 PM
Going to go with Nov 2010. I just have a feeling they will want to put a stop to whatever Sony and Microsoft are trying to do with their new control methods. The 3DS launch will dominate the gaming industry for months after the release. Things will sell out and we'll have lines for the system the same way there was some for the Wii. It gives them a chance to basically "relaunch" the Wii as well with new colors and their holiday games.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Louieturkey on June 24, 2010, 03:20:55 PM
I think January, but I may change to November after reading the comments here. One question: Do you think NPD will separate 3DS sales from DS/i sales or will they get lumped together still?
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on June 24, 2010, 03:28:50 PM
completely different system so they should be tracked separately.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Louieturkey on June 24, 2010, 03:30:46 PM
The DSi is different. It has games that cannot be played on the DS. DS, DSi and 3DS all can play DS games. So why isn't the DSi tracked separately?
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on June 24, 2010, 05:39:07 PM
The DSi is a DS, let's not complicate the situation.
The DSi is the DS as the GBC was to the GB
The 3DS is to the DS as the SNES was to the NES It's the next generation and not a minor upgrade within the same generation.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Mop it up on June 24, 2010, 08:43:49 PM
Except the Game Boy Color was considered a successor by all, replaced the Game Boy, had increased specs, and featured all-new games instead of just adding an online shop (with games that would be possible on the regular DS if it were capable of having the shop added to it).
The DSi is akin to the Game Boy Pocket.
3DS is the next generation and will be tracked separately.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Louieturkey on June 25, 2010, 02:27:57 AM
I agree, I'm just making an argument for the heck of it. :)
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Mop it up on June 25, 2010, 02:40:33 AM
That's what drives any good forum.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: ThePerm on June 25, 2010, 05:26:55 AM
i think i heard it reported on g4 febuary...but i dont remember...
screw the r
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Spak-Spang on June 26, 2010, 10:57:55 AM
I voted February as well. I believe this year is just too soon...and the market is already filled. Wait until Tokyo Game Show for the full update, and information. Though, I could see Nintendo having a surprise launch in Japan...but everywhere else next year is good...and it gives Nintendo an entire year to those units cracked out and supplies high for the holiday madness for the system.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: UncleBob on June 27, 2010, 01:48:59 PM
So, how many people changed their vote after Reggie said next year?
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on June 27, 2010, 01:53:11 PM
I'm still on Nov. 2010 even though I'm expecting March 2011.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BeautifulShy on June 27, 2010, 03:25:05 PM
Except the Game Boy Color was considered a successor by all, replaced the Game Boy, had increased specs, and featured all-new games instead of just adding an online shop (with games that would be possible on the regular DS if it were capable of having the shop added to it).
System Flaw, Foto Showdown, Picture Perfect Hair Salon, and Ghostwire say hi.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Mannypon on June 29, 2010, 02:45:42 AM
Well here are some more rumours I ran into pointing at a 2010 launch In Japan and possibly here.
First, a Japanese retailer listing. http://gonintendo.com/viewstory.php?id=128502 (http://gonintendo.com/viewstory.php?id=128502)
A "inside source close to Nintendo Co." claims Reggie was incorrect which his statement of a 2011 release http://gonintendo.com/viewstory.php?id=128488 (http://gonintendo.com/viewstory.php?id=128488)
FoxNews claims there's a rumor making the rounds of a 2010 release in NA http://gonintendo.com/viewstory.php?id=128615 (http://gonintendo.com/viewstory.php?id=128615)
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Mop it up on June 29, 2010, 03:46:16 AM
Except the Game Boy Color was considered a successor by all, replaced the Game Boy, had increased specs, and featured all-new games instead of just adding an online shop (with games that would be possible on the regular DS if it were capable of having the shop added to it).
System Flaw, Foto Showdown, Picture Perfect Hair Salon, and Ghostwire say hi.
I'm aware there are some camera games, and they don't change my point. They're like peripheral games.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: NWR_insanolord on June 29, 2010, 03:48:56 AM
I dint remember exactly which ones, but I know I've seen developers say that the games they made wouldn't have worked without the extra horsepower of the DSi.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Mop it up on June 29, 2010, 03:53:30 AM
Even if true, it doesn't change the fact that the DSi is a hardware revision, not a successor. But I doubt they're any different, it probably just made them easier to program.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: NWR_insanolord on June 29, 2010, 03:57:16 AM
I'm not arguing that the DSi isn't just a revision; I'm arguing that the GBC was.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Mop it up on June 29, 2010, 04:02:12 AM
Nintendo officially declared the Game Boy Color a successor and replaced the Game Boy with it. The DSi did not replace the DS. In the official videogame history timeline, the Game Boy is a part of the third generation and the Game Boy Color is the fourth generation. The DS and DSi are both the seventh generation. I s'pose you can consider them whatever you want, but it isn't what it is officially.
Is the Wii a GameCube revision? Is the PS2 a PlayStation revision? They're similar in concept to the Game Boy Color.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Caliban on June 29, 2010, 09:43:11 AM
Hey, why can't I vote for this? It's never coming out.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: UncleBob on June 29, 2010, 10:23:13 AM
Nintendo officially declared the Game Boy Color a successor
Source?
Quote
In the official videogame history timeline, the Game Boy is a part of the third generation and the Game Boy Color is the fourth generation.
Official? What makes this timeline you're quoting "official"?
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: Pale on June 29, 2010, 10:44:37 AM
Honestly, whatever Nintendo says isn't gospel. We should draw our own conclusions and ignore PR spin. :)
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: mac<censored> on June 29, 2010, 11:14:47 AM
Hmm, what I see is that the DS still seems hugely popular, is getting a massive push in stores, lots of new colors (this is in Japan), and of course the LL, tons of games, and just generally seems very "active."
It doesn't feel like a system which is being readied for phase-out, and I imagine they want to get at least one more holiday season out of it (at this point I'm assuming it's practically pure profit), and game devs probably feel the same way.
That's why I'd put any 3DS release in mid-2011, if not later, at least in Japan.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: TJ Spyke on June 29, 2010, 11:46:59 AM
The DS has always been profit for Nintendo, Nintendo never charges less than it costs to make the system (this way they always make a profit, even at launch).
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on June 29, 2010, 01:36:39 PM
Nintendo wants to HYPE up the current DS to get people paying attention and extra HYPED for the 3DS.
There is nothing better for an upsale than to get you ready to drop coin for the current product, then show you the much MUCH better product for only a little bit more.
You love the DSi XL with Xfeatures and Xgames at $150? well check out the 3DS with 5xfeatures and all those same Xgames and XYZgames too for ontly the price of a single game more! only the price of a single game more!!!.... and we'll even throw in a free game!!
The 3DS would sellout with ease anywhere it launched this year, especially if Nintendo can ramp up interest in the current DS line before hand.
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: UncleBob on September 12, 2010, 11:40:42 PM
Who voted for the sneak June 2010 launch? Because you're the only one out of the running so far. :p
Title: Re: Place Yer Bets: 3DS US Launch Month
Post by: BlackNMild2k1 on September 18, 2010, 11:12:07 AM
